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Dandenong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-95
21-24 17-25 21-19 23-27
Position#18
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game86.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Dandenong v Melbourne Tigers
22 Apr 2023
DAND82
MELB95
27 Apr 2019
DAND106
MELB66
02 Apr 2017
DAND83
MELB69
17 Jul 2016
DAND85
MELB86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
H23/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
83-105
83
105
-22
A24/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A06/08
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
71-115
71
115
-44
H13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A14/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
107-84
107
84
+23
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H16/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
24-32
18-17
30-34
25-26
14-32
24-21
20-26
17-3
11-19
12-34
15-11
19-28
19-26
20-25
22-14
27-24
16-28
14-41
14-22
21-17
20-21
19-22
18-22
28-11
27-25
22-18
20-18
12-31
19-24
16-23
31-15
25-19
22-19
33-23
27-23
23-18
27-16
21-31
18-25
173.4Avg total
83.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.884.8177.5+8.050%
Season at home (3)97.782.0179.7+15.767%
Season away (1)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.889.6173.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)89.884.2174.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.690.2170.8-9.623%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.378.7152.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/08
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A13/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
61-105
61
105
-44
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-16
23-13
15-24
3-17
19-11
34-12
11-15
16-22
22-19
16-16
6-13
25-27
23-18
28-20
10-13
24-21
22-22
32-18
15-26
22-23
20-31
8-26
11-25
13-25
23-18
18-23
14-26
30-22
25-25
17-26
16-18
15-23
19-29
14-16
24-16
29-13
26-19
15-25
12-22
157.0Avg total
75.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.586.5164.0-9.025%
Season at home (2)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
Season away (2)70.088.0158.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)75.281.8157.0-6.640%
Last 5 (5)74.290.2164.4-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)73.485.8159.2-12.421%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.077.8156.8+1.260%
vs Weaker (1)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -6.4-6.4
DandenongMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A24/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A06/08
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H16/04
NBL1 South
85.5Avg total
42.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.985.4-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.043.786.7-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)37.646.483.9-8.821%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.185.5-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.285.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)40.446.386.7-5.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.036.372.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H07/08
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A13/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
83.8Avg total
41.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.781.9-5.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.244.684.9-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.442.979.4-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.583.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.690.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.043.581.5-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
vs Weaker (1)34.052.086.0-18.00%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dandenong wins
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HDiamond Valley89-90
15/04/23HHobart Chargers107-84
06/04/23AKilsyth78-93
01/04/23HCasey Cavaliers97-72
14/08/22AEltham78-82
13/08/22HWaverley71-115
06/08/22ACasey Cavaliers80-93
31/07/22AMelbourne Tigers55-67
24/07/22ADiamond Valley83-105
23/07/22HRingwood100-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23HNunawading82-79
15/04/23AKeilor Thunder72-84
13/04/23HWaverley88-91
01/04/23ABallarat68-92
14/08/22HFrankston61-105
13/08/22ANunawading93-87
07/08/22HBallarat86-78
06/08/22ABendigo Braves60-70
31/07/22HDandenong67-55
30/07/22AKnox75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game92.897.778.0
Allowed / game84.882.093.0
Point differential+8.0+15.7-15.0
Avg total177.5179.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.585.070.0
Allowed / game86.585.088.0
Point differential-9.0+0.0-18.0
Avg total164.0170.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier440100%105.889.2+16.5
2 Eltham330100%90.775.3+15.3
3 Frankston43175%100.287.5+12.8
4 Kilsyth64267%94.890.5+4.3
5 Diamond Valley32167%91.791.7+0.0
6 Keilor Thunder32167%84.084.0+0.0
7 Nunawading53260%93.886.0+7.8
8 Ballarat53260%94.490.0+4.4
9 Dandenong42250%92.884.8+8.0
10 Sandringham Sabres63350%87.294.3-7.2
11 NW Tasmania42250%78.290.8-12.5
12 Knox52340%83.676.6+7.0
13 Casey Cavaliers52340%79.680.0-0.4
14 Ringwood52340%90.692.2-1.6
15 Hobart Chargers52340%84.290.6-6.4
16 Melbourne Tigers41325%77.586.5-9.0
17 Waverley41325%81.592.5-11.0
18 Bendigo Braves51420%87.699.0-11.4
19 Geelong4040%82.593.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong2117212382
Melbourne Tigers2425192795
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