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Melbourne Tigers W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 92-101
30-31 25-23 16-28 21-19
Position#15
Record5-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#5
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game70.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Ballarat W
18 May 2024
MELB92
BALL101
04 Jun 2023
MELB68
BALL75
07 Aug 2022
MELB59
BALL85
27 Jun 2021
MELB68
BALL80
20 May 2017
MELB95
BALL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
25-17
31-19
24-18
28-23
22-20
17-17
19-19
27-24
18-20
16-23
24-25
19-19
14-27
20-33
22-14
18-19
18-13
21-14
11-10
24-20
20-20
21-17
18-15
15-24
12-23
15-21
28-27
23-25
7-15
24-20
15-19
12-22
15-10
16-18
29-18
13-20
19-13
10-19
25-26
156.5Avg total
77.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.878.7156.5-0.950%
Season at home (5)83.886.8170.6-3.040%
Season away (5)71.870.6142.4+1.260%
Last 10 (10)77.878.7156.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)72.278.4150.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.681.0149.6-12.425%
vs Similar (4)73.064.8137.8+8.275%
vs Weaker (2)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
46-88
46
88
-42
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
11-18
19-26
28-18
16-23
12-23
11-25
7-17
25-25
26-29
17-22
27-9
19-17
10-17
18-15
17-18
29-16
19-25
25-22
20-21
12-26
8-14
23-20
18-19
12-18
20-20
14-11
19-23
–
–
–
–
28-19
13-22
14-15
20-10
31-12
17-27
15-19
25-16
138.8Avg total
66.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.270.6135.8-5.344%
Season at home (4)77.280.8158.0-3.575%
Season away (5)55.662.4118.0-6.820%
Last 10 (10)66.272.6138.8-6.440%
Last 5 (5)57.862.2120.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)61.879.2141.0-17.45%
vs Similar (6)76.873.2150.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.576.5151.0-2.050%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Melbourne Tigers WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
76.7Avg total
37.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.976.7-5.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.979.9-3.847%-
Last 30 away (15)33.539.973.4-6.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.576.7-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.470.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.942.577.4-7.633%-
vs Similar (4)38.532.571.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker (2)41.038.079.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
78.3Avg total
36.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.642.778.2-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.884.6-6.914%-
Last 30 away (15)32.539.772.2-7.320%-
Last 10 (9)36.142.278.3-6.122%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.743.778.4-9.010%-
vs Similar (6)39.240.079.2-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.039.573.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
6
Ballarat W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24ALaunceston W67-78
10/05/24AHobart Chargers W72-68
04/05/24ASandringham W69-79
27/04/24HEltham W70-95
21/04/24ADiamond Valley W83-72
20/04/24AWaverley W68-56
14/04/24HKnox W75-93
13/04/24HRingwood W85-92
07/04/24HNunawading W86-79
04/04/24HDandenong Rangers W103-75
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AKilsyth W88-74
11/05/24HEltham W75-66
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder W0-20
27/04/24AHobart Chargers W65-72
26/04/24ALaunceston W61-79
20/04/24HRingwood W93-84
14/04/24AMt. Gambier W64-67
07/04/24HGeelong W95-85
03/04/24HBendigo Braves W46-88
15/07/23ABendigo W75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game77.883.871.8
Allowed / game78.786.870.6
Point differential-0.9-3.0+1.2
Avg total156.5170.6142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game65.277.255.6
Allowed / game70.680.862.4
Point differential-5.3-3.5-6.8
Avg total135.8158.0118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W109190%75.059.1+15.9
2 Mt. Gambier W98189%83.266.0+17.2
3 Knox W98189%81.270.8+10.4
4 Sandringham W97278%79.171.4+7.7
5 Bendigo Braves W118373%93.377.2+16.1
6 Dandenong Rangers W118373%78.373.1+5.2
7 Ringwood W127558%80.380.4-0.1
8 Melbourne Tigers W105550%77.878.7-0.9
9 Eltham W94544%81.376.3+5.0
10 Frankston W94544%72.174.0-1.9
11 Ballarat W94544%65.270.6-5.3
12 Geelong W104640%79.982.0-2.1
13 Diamond Valley W83538%79.683.1-3.5
14 Hobart Chargers W93633%66.371.4-5.1
15 Launceston W92722%69.279.2-10.0
16 Waverley W102820%71.580.5-9.0
17 Kilsyth W102820%70.181.6-11.5
18 Nunawading W102820%69.282.5-13.3
19 Casey Cavaliers W102820%70.986.7-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W3025162192
Ballarat W31232819101
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