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Melbourne Tigers W vs Frankston W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 68-62
16-14 12-18 18-11 22-19
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.3
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Frankston W
11 May 2025
MELB68
FRAN62
16 Jun 2024
MELB70
FRAN80
25 Jun 2023
MELB75
FRAN88
14 Aug 2022
MELB59
FRAN72
07 Apr 2019
MELB77
FRAN71
01 Jul 2017
MELB79
FRAN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
84-109
84
109
-25
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
82-49
82
49
+33
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
17-24
10-29
19-29
15-33
18-24
16-24
29-13
22-18
29-30
8-24
25-37
20-13
21-24
16-22
17-20
25-20
20-23
29-19
16-14
27-19
18-20
18-33
18-18
22-18
20-27
22-18
18-17
23-18
16-24
19-24
21-29
25-18
23-25
9-21
29-17
29-21
13-6
21-7
19-15
166.9Avg total
80.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.078.6160.6+3.457%
Season at home (4)81.282.5163.8-1.250%
Season away (3)83.073.3156.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)80.886.1166.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.283.0158.2-7.824%
vs Similar (3)75.779.0154.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (10)81.980.5162.4+1.460%
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
22-14
18-27
26-26
18-13
17-23
21-15
26-26
26-7
20-23
17-18
25-24
17-16
19-15
16-18
10-24
17-23
19-17
18-21
21-8
23-12
16-25
12-24
13-21
13-15
13-12
14-17
14-11
17-12
13-21
18-23
30-8
23-12
22-19
23-12
18-23
27-13
25-19
24-24
23-20
150.3Avg total
77.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.069.3143.3+4.757%
Season at home (5)77.872.2150.0+5.660%
Season away (2)64.562.0126.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)77.672.7150.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)76.268.6144.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.077.5150.5-4.533%
vs Similar (12)71.375.7147.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.670.8149.4+7.875%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Melbourne Tigers WFrankston W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
86.0Avg total
42.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.380.6-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.443.282.6-3.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.178.4+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.186.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.943.180.9-5.247%-
vs Similar (3)37.736.073.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
72.6Avg total
38.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.972.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.633.170.7+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)36.837.274.0-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.772.6+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.335.570.8-0.233%-
vs Similar (12)33.435.568.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.034.076.0+8.083%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
5
Frankston W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ABallarat W82-49
04/05/25AEltham W86-81
24/04/25HNunawading W79-95
13/04/25HDandenong Rangers W82-80
08/04/25ADiamond Valley W81-90
04/04/25HKilsyth W90-76
30/03/25HSandringham W74-79
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers W84-109
11/07/24HWaverley W78-94
06/07/24AMt. Gambier W72-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HMt. Gambier W99-76
03/05/25HLaunceston W86-66
24/04/25HDandenong Rangers W78-64
13/04/25AKeilor Thunder W54-55
11/04/25HDiamond Valley W64-82
07/04/25ARingwood W75-69
29/03/25HSandringham W62-73
12/07/24HHobart Chargers W88-72
09/07/24ASandringham W82-77
06/07/24AWaverley W88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.081.283.0
Allowed / game78.682.573.3
Point differential+3.4-1.2+9.7
Avg total160.6163.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game74.077.864.5
Allowed / game69.372.262.0
Point differential+4.7+5.6+2.5
Avg total143.3150.0126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W880100%91.866.5+25.2
2 Knox W87188%86.467.8+18.6
3 Keilor Thunder W97278%77.871.0+6.8
4 Waverley W86275%77.469.8+7.6
5 Diamond Valley W96367%85.381.0+4.3
6 Dandenong Rangers W85362%83.872.2+11.5
7 Frankston W74357%74.069.3+4.7
8 Melbourne Tigers W74357%82.078.6+3.4
9 Sandringham W95456%77.677.4+0.1
10 Nunawading W95456%70.472.2-1.8
11 Ringwood W84450%77.571.5+6.0
12 Casey Cavaliers W84450%71.077.0-6.0
13 Ballarat W93633%72.080.6-8.6
14 Mt. Gambier W93633%68.680.1-11.6
15 Kilsyth W93633%66.679.1-12.6
16 Hobart Chargers W103730%69.676.5-6.9
17 Eltham W82625%77.082.9-5.9
18 Bendigo Braves W92722%73.082.8-9.8
19 Launceston W100100%66.781.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W1612182268
Frankston W1418111962
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