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Melbourne Tigers W vs Waverley W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 78-94
15-33 18-24 16-24 29-13
Position#15
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#4
Record11-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Waverley W
11 Jul 2024
MELB78
WAVE94
13 Apr 2023
MELB78
WAVE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
25-23
16-28
21-19
16-17
29-21
24-26
12-17
19-17
15-14
12-11
19-23
18-25
17-20
30-21
25-22
26-23
25-22
15-20
11-26
19-21
10-24
17-8
24-27
11-15
25-22
14-9
11-17
26-19
15-20
12-18
11-11
9-26
11-17
14-24
17-9
26-26
17-24
10-29
19-29
158.0Avg total
74.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.081.3157.2-5.335%
Season at home (10)80.584.8165.3-4.330%
Season away (10)71.477.8149.2-6.440%
Last 10 (10)74.183.9158.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)63.679.0142.6-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.784.0153.7-14.214%
vs Similar (3)70.369.0139.3+1.367%
vs Weaker (5)79.679.0158.6+0.660%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-12
13-20
20-19
13-15
29-17
15-12
23-19
34-16
13-9
27-16
7-16
14-14
22-14
14-13
16-13
23-24
20-24
19-13
23-11
15-26
16-21
11-14
20-16
17-21
20-16
20-14
24-21
21-9
16-11
18-26
20-14
26-25
25-24
17-17
23-15
26-22
14-22
27-18
26-26
150.5Avg total
80.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.875.5151.2+0.255%
Season at home (11)73.478.3151.6-4.945%
Season away (9)78.772.1150.8+6.667%
Last 10 (10)80.070.5150.5+9.590%
Last 5 (5)80.475.6156.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.082.1149.1-15.10%
vs Similar (7)76.977.7154.6-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.968.3149.2+12.675%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
Melbourne Tigers WWaverley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
81.6Avg total
38.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.878.5-5.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.242.180.3-3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)34.941.576.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.781.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.842.876.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.043.379.3-7.441%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.072.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
76.0Avg total
40.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.177.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.237.076.2+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.179.5+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.076.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.443.681.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (7)39.438.477.9+1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.833.676.4+9.275%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
3
Waverley W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24AMt. Gambier W72-108
29/06/24ABallarat W51-76
28/06/24HBendigo Braves W64-68
22/06/24AKilsyth W61-63
16/06/24HFrankston W70-80
15/06/24AGeelong W77-91
06/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W90-88
01/06/24HKeilor Thunder W70-77 OT
25/05/24ANunawading W94-87 OT
18/05/24HBallarat W92-101
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24HFrankston W93-88
04/07/24AEltham W91-81
01/07/24ARingwood W75-60
22/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W81-72
16/06/24HBallarat W62-77
15/06/24ADiamond Valley W85-72
07/06/24HSandringham W66-54
01/06/24ANunawading W81-57
26/05/24HLaunceston W80-63
18/05/24HKilsyth W86-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%30%40%
Points / game76.080.571.4
Allowed / game81.384.877.8
Point differential-5.3-4.3-6.4
Avg total157.2165.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWWLWW45%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%45%67%
Points / game75.873.478.7
Allowed / game75.578.372.1
Point differential+0.2-4.9+6.6
Avg total151.2151.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%18%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2119290%85.271.5+13.7
2 Keilor Thunder W2018290%76.863.9+13.0
3 Dandenong Rangers W2014670%79.872.8+7.0
4 Mt. Gambier W2113862%77.369.9+7.4
5 Sandringham W2113862%75.972.0+3.9
6 Ballarat W2113862%73.075.0-2.1
7 Eltham W2012860%81.075.9+5.2
8 Geelong W2011955%82.079.1+2.9
9 Waverley W2011955%75.875.5+0.2
10 Bendigo Braves W21111052%87.179.0+8.1
11 Frankston W21101148%75.175.8-0.6
12 Ringwood W2191243%76.778.3-1.6
13 Hobart Chargers W2081240%72.274.9-2.6
14 Diamond Valley W2071335%75.579.5-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2071335%76.081.3-5.3
16 Kilsyth W2051525%69.679.7-10.1
17 Launceston W2051525%70.580.6-10.1
18 Nunawading W2041620%70.082.8-12.8
19 Casey Cavaliers W2141719%73.085.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W1518162978
Waverley W3324241394
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