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Melilla vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-77
23-22 17-22 21-16 22-17
Position#17
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game88.5
Melilla 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record8-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game85.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 22
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melilla v Estela
22 Feb 2026
MELI83
ESTE77
13 Mar 2024
MELI71
ESTE84
30 Apr 2023
MELI89
ESTE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
57avg 68
H14/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 68
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
65-95
65
95
-30
60avg 68
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 68
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 68
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-101
70
101
-31
no box
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 68
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 68
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 68
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 68
H15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
22-23
12-22
25-9
21-30
11-20
15-14
15-20
20-28
17-24
14-25
14-18
20-27
21-24
28-26
19-20
27-30
12-19
19-19
26-23
25-16
17-27
12-28
16-30
11-28
22-25
26-19
13-33
23-21
24-21
18-16
13-26
11-14
20-19
13-22
27-23
19-26
21-22
14-21
16-23
163.8Avg total
73.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.588.5164.1-13.010%
Season at home (9)75.887.2163.0-11.422%
Season away (11)75.389.6164.9-14.40%
Last 10 (10)73.290.6163.8-17.40%
Last 5 (5)72.292.0164.2-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.489.9164.2-15.56%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.884.2170.0+1.640%
vs Weaker (8)91.581.0172.5+10.562%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
74-68
74
68
+6
68avg 70
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 70
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 70
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 70
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 70
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 70
H15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
18-20
12-17
28-21
27-21
23-13
13-15
14-16
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
18-26
23-23
23-7
15-31
34-20
15-26
20-15
22-29
158.9Avg total
77.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.185.0163.1-6.940%
Season at home (11)78.082.0160.0-4.055%
Season away (9)78.288.7166.9-10.422%
Last 10 (10)77.181.8158.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)80.683.8164.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.588.1165.6-10.530%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.874.9152.7+2.970%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
MelillaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H21/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/02
Primera FEB
84.6Avg total
37.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.5-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.043.585.5-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)38.445.283.7-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.746.984.6-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.882.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.445.883.2-8.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.645.885.4-6.220%-
vs Weaker (8)46.140.886.9+5.462%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Primera FEB
83.3Avg total
40.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.740.681.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.781.6-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.583.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.089.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.545.284.8-5.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.235.674.8+3.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.0
51.7%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws11.38.3
73.5%
73.4%8.3
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.0
57.7%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.3%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.4%
73.4%9.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melilla
LLLLLLLLLL
Estela
WLLWLLLLWW
#17
League position
#12
-20.9
Net rating
-15.5
104.3
Offensive rating
105.9
125.2
Defensive rating
121.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
30.3%
52.7%
Assist %
50.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 105.9Defence125.2 · 121.4Shooting52.4% · 52.5%3-point %35.5% · 30.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.16 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Melilla   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melilla wins
5
Estela wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Estela v Melilla76-72
13/03/24Melilla v Estela71-84
29/11/23Estela v Melilla75-69
30/04/23Melilla v Estela89-95
28/12/22Estela v Melilla83-80 OT
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HObradoiro CAB70-92
11/02/26AAlicante71-78
08/02/26AFibwi Palma78-84
01/02/26HLeyma Coruna72-105
17/01/26AOviedo70-101
11/01/26HCartagena84-91
04/01/26AZamora88-97
21/12/25HHestia Menorca65-95
17/12/25AGipuzkoa62-84
14/12/25HFibwi Palma72-79
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HGipuzkoa91-90
11/02/26HOviedo79-87
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88
21/12/25HFibwi Palma77-65
17/12/25ACartagena74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %10%22%0%
Points / game75.575.875.3
Allowed / game88.587.289.6
Point differential-13.1-11.4-14.4
Avg total164.1163.0164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%55%22%
Points / game78.178.078.2
Allowed / game85.082.088.7
Point differential-6.9-4.0-10.4
Avg total163.1160.0166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2120195%93.077.8+15.1
2 Obradoiro CAB2017385%91.878.3+13.5
3 Palencia2115671%84.072.8+11.2
4 Gipuzkoa2113862%80.674.0+6.6
5 Hestia Menorca2012860%82.577.3+5.2
6 Estudiantes2012860%84.782.0+2.6
7 Alicante2112957%83.280.3+2.9
8 Fuenlabrada2112957%79.882.0-2.2
9 Oviedo21101148%82.280.2+2.0
10 Ourense21101148%82.281.2+1.0
11 Zamora2191243%84.988.6-3.7
12 Fibwi Palma2191243%77.181.0-3.9
13 Estela2081240%78.185.0-6.9
14 Cartagena2051525%73.084.9-11.9
15 Tizona Burgos2151624%83.089.2-6.2
16 Palmer Basket2041620%71.584.9-13.4
17 Melilla2021810%75.588.5-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2317212283
Estela2222161777
← all games of the day
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