Melilla vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 77-74

18-29 10-10 24-18 25-17

Position#5

Record9-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game75.7

Melilla 🏆

Palencia

Position#9

Record11-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game81.7

Primera FEBRound 16

Other2018-19

Meetings · Melilla v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#13

82-72

+10

H02/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

66-67

-1

A09/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

69-79

-10

H16/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

76-72

A23/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

79-72

H27/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

64-85

-21

A02/12

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

75-63

+12

H07/12

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

77-73

A15/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

63-76

-13

H21/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

71-60

+11

A28/12

Primera FEB

15-17

29-16

15-19

23-20

22-19

18-16

9-13

17-19

22-22

20-19

21-13

6-25

27-20

19-16

16-19

14-17

18-11

33-15

15-20

13-26

18-23

20-19

11-27

15-16

21-19

18-13

22-9

14-22

21-14

28-31

14-14

25-17

11-17

9-17

18-25

19-18

15-14

9-12

28-16

144.1Avg total

72.2Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	73.9	75.7	149.6	-1.7	60%
Season at home (7)	71.1	72.9	144.0	-1.7	57%
Season away (8)	76.4	78.1	154.5	-1.8	62%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	71.9	144.1	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	71.4	141.4	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.0	74.8	144.8	-4.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	73.7	73.0	146.7	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker (5)	78.0	84.2	162.2	-6.2	60%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#10

77-76

H02/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

109-95

109

+14

A09/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

101-97 OT

101

H16/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

69-94

-25

A23/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

87-95 OT

-8

H28/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

98-55

+43

A02/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

78-71

H07/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

87-85

A14/12

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

92-87

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

76-88

-12

H30/12

Primera FEB

20-25

20-21

25-13

12-17

30-19

23-29

32-22

24-25

24-20

21-19

17-23

25-25

24-21

13-23

19-26

13-24

24-16

21-21

22-19

11-22

21-8

19-20

25-13

33-14

20-15

26-16

18-16

14-24

25-21

21-17

14-28

27-19

28-23

16-22

26-21

22-21

7-24

25-17

18-27

26-20

171.7Avg total

87.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	86.1	81.7	167.8	+4.3	73%
Season at home (8)	85.1	82.0	167.1	+3.1	75%
Season away (7)	87.1	81.4	168.6	+5.7	71%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	84.3	171.7	+3.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	77.2	163.4	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.8	85.7	166.5	-4.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.2	75.9	154.2	+2.3	58%
vs Weaker (5)	86.4	75.4	161.8	+11.0	80%

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.0	38.1	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	17.5	38.5	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.8	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.2	41.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	18.7	40.3	+3.0	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	17.1	35.5	+1.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	19.2	39.0	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	40%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#13

44-33

+11

H02/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

40-35

A09/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

42-41

H16/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

46-36

+10

A23/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

51-26

+25

H27/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

38-42

-4

A02/12

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

39-32

H07/12

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

49-45

A15/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

36-34

H21/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

34-32

A28/12

Primera FEB

77.5Avg total

41.9Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	34.5	74.1	+5.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	39.2	78.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	35.6	77.5	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.0	36.7	75.8	+2.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	80%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#10

40-46

-6

H02/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

53-48

A09/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

45-39

H16/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-44

-7

A23/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

45-37

H28/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

40-28

+12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Bilbao

46-31

+15

H07/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

46-38

A14/12

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

44-45

-1

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

32-41

-9

H30/12

Primera FEB

82.5Avg total

42.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.8	78.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	40.3	79.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.7	82.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.6	78.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	41.2	81.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.2	38.5	76.6	-0.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.2	37.4	79.6	+4.8	60%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.2	18.4	33.5	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	16.3	30.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	15.8	28.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	13.6	22.2	35.8	-8.6	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	17.2	34.3	-0.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	21.2	39.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	15.9	17.4	33.2	-1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	36.4	69.5	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.1	37.5	71.6	-3.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	32.2	35.6	67.8	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.3	36.3	66.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	34.4	65.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	37.8	72.0	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	33.0	34.7	67.7	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.0	42.8	74.8	-10.8	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.1	78.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	36.1	75.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	40.1	81.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.1	37.5	77.5	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.2	38.0	82.2	+6.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/18	Palencia v Melilla	69-72
29/09/17	Melilla v Palencia	67-60
04/03/17	Melilla v Palencia	88-76
11/11/16	Palencia v Melilla	87-84
15/04/16	Melilla v Palencia	89-77
30/12/15	Palencia v Melilla	80-83 OT
06/03/15	Palencia v Melilla	59-62
21/11/14	Melilla v Palencia	73-69
28/03/14	Palencia v Melilla	62-54
20/12/13	Melilla v Palencia	71-81

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/18	A	Caceres	71-60
21/12/18	H	Bilbao	63-76
15/12/18	A	Prat Joventut	77-73
07/12/18	H	Iberojet Palma	75-63
02/12/18	A	Real Betis	64-85
27/11/18	H	Valladolid	79-72
23/11/18	A	Leyma Coruna	76-72
16/11/18	H	Huesca	69-79
09/11/18	A	Forca Lleida	66-67
02/11/18	H	Castello	82-72

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/18	H	Ourense	76-88
21/12/18	H	Araberri	92-87
14/12/18	A	Caceres	87-85
07/12/18	H	Bilbao	78-71
02/12/18	A	Prat Joventut	98-55
28/11/18	H	Iberojet Palma	87-95 OT
23/11/18	A	Real Betis	69-94
16/11/18	H	Valladolid	101-97 OT
09/11/18	A	Leyma Coruna	109-95
02/11/18	H	Huesca	77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	LWLWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	60%	57%	62%
Points / game	73.9	71.1	76.4
Allowed / game	75.7	72.9	78.1
Point differential	-1.7	-1.7	-1.8
Avg total	149.6	144.0	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	43%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	-	80% (5)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	73%
Home	WLWWL	75%
Away	LWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	73%	75%	71%
Points / game	86.1	85.1	87.1
Allowed / game	81.7	82.0	81.4
Point differential	+4.3	+3.1	+5.7
Avg total	167.8	167.1	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	12%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	16	14	2	88%	84.6	73.4	+11.2
2	Bilbao	16	12	4	75%	77.3	69.5	+7.8
3	Huesca	15	11	4	73%	80.3	75.8	+4.5
4	Palencia	15	11	4	73%	86.1	81.7	+4.3
5	Forca Lleida	15	9	6	60%	74.1	70.1	+4.0
6	Oviedo	15	9	6	60%	74.9	71.5	+3.4
7	Melilla	15	9	6	60%	73.9	75.7	-1.7
8	Granada	15	8	7	53%	74.7	71.6	+3.1
9	Ourense	15	8	7	53%	74.1	71.8	+2.3
10	Iberojet Palma	15	8	7	53%	77.3	76.3	+1.1
11	Valladolid	15	7	8	47%	78.1	77.5	+0.6
12	Real Canoe	16	7	9	44%	69.9	76.6	-6.8
13	Leyma Coruna	15	6	9	40%	79.1	79.5	-0.5
14	Araberri	15	5	10	33%	80.5	86.1	-5.6
15	Barcelona B	15	4	11	27%	75.1	76.1	-0.9
16	Caceres	15	4	11	27%	69.2	76.7	-7.5
17	Castello	16	4	12	25%	72.2	78.2	-6.0
18	Prat Joventut	15	1	14	7%	70.5	84.3	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	18	10	24	25	77
Palencia	29	10	18	17	74

← all games of the day

Melilla vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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