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Melilla vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 61-67
12-12 19-21 11-20 19-14
Position#14
Record9-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#11
Record8-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game74.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 14
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H29/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A02/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A05/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H28/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A07/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H19/03
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A26/03
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A31/03
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H04/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A11/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
15-19
21-19
16-22
22-21
21-21
20-17
17-23
22-22
14-25
19-11
17-23
24-25
16-16
13-16
24-23
24-12
10-22
15-15
17-21
17-20
19-22
25-23
24-13
29-20
18-17
15-18
17-15
12-25
28-13
12-18
16-9
15-25
24-15
24-26
20-17
17-17
23-25
19-25
22-28
157.0Avg total
78.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.479.7156.0-3.343%
Season at home (10)78.777.7156.4+1.060%
Season away (11)74.381.5155.7-7.227%
Last 10 (10)78.178.9157.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.680.2161.8+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.981.6158.4-4.743%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.776.4150.1-2.839%
vs Weaker (5)80.865.4146.2+15.4100%
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#19
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A19/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H27/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H31/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H10/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
21-13
12-26
14-22
16-22
14-21
25-14
24-29
18-15
10-25
26-18
23-19
19-20
11-26
17-16
21-18
35-15
21-23
25-20
24-23
19-14
15-18
18-19
11-17
20-14
19-21
8-16
21-23
24-20
15-18
19-14
23-17
25-12
13-28
18-12
9-16
15-16
30-15
31-21
26-19
154.1Avg total
78.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.774.1146.8-1.536%
Season at home (12)71.871.8143.5+0.050%
Season away (10)73.877.0150.8-3.220%
Last 10 (10)78.875.3154.1+3.540%
Last 5 (5)75.870.0145.8+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.173.2145.2-1.142%
vs Weaker (9)78.669.2147.8+9.367%
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
MelillaReal Murcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H29/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A02/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/03
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H19/03
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A26/03
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/04
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
39.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.737.175.8+1.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.872.9+3.353%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.679.0-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.779.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.938.975.7-2.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.438.475.7-1.041%-
vs Weaker (5)46.030.476.4+15.6100%-
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#19
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/04
Primera FEB
74.1Avg total
37.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.971.8+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.136.271.3-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.735.672.3+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.474.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.274.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.572.0-9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.537.573.1-2.037%-
vs Weaker (9)37.731.469.1+6.256%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melilla wins
0
Real Murcia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/21Real Murcia v Melilla65-68
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21AForca Lleida81-95
04/04/21HBasquet Girona95-93 OT
31/03/21AReal Murcia68-65
26/03/21AReal Canoe79-70
19/03/21HHuesca85-78
07/03/21AOurense66-70
28/02/21HReal Valladolid77-80
05/02/21ABreogan72-81
02/02/21ACaceres80-82
29/01/21HLeyma Coruna78-75
Real Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21HTizona Burgos102-71
31/03/21HMelilla65-68
27/03/21HOurense81-69
19/03/21ACaceres68-74
07/03/21HFibwi Palma63-68
28/02/21AAlicante105-81
23/02/21HGranada68-80
14/02/21HBasquet Girona93-87 OT
10/02/21AAlmansa79-86
05/02/21AReal Canoe64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game76.478.774.3
Allowed / game79.777.781.5
Point differential-3.3+1.0-7.2
Avg total156.0156.4155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Real Murcia
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game72.771.873.8
Allowed / game74.171.877.0
Point differential-1.5+0.0-3.2
Avg total146.8143.5150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan2116576%78.772.0+6.7
2 Granada2316770%78.372.9+5.4
3 Castello2316770%80.075.3+4.7
4 Leyma Coruna2114767%76.171.2+4.9
5 Oviedo2114767%81.076.9+4.2
6 Alicante2315865%81.875.3+6.5
7 Fibwi Palma23131057%78.779.3-0.7
8 Basquet Girona22111150%79.777.5+2.1
9 Almansa24121250%77.076.4+0.5
10 Forca Lleida23111248%76.777.6-0.9
11 Real Valladolid21101148%82.083.3-1.2
12 Melilla2191243%76.479.7-3.3
13 Palencia2291341%72.773.1-0.5
14 Caceres2291341%73.276.9-3.7
15 Ourense2081240%76.078.3-2.4
16 Real Murcia2281436%72.774.1-1.5
17 Tizona Burgos2281436%78.884.9-6.1
18 Huesca2271532%71.876.7-4.9
19 Real Canoe2231914%71.782.0-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla1219111961
Real Murcia1221201467
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