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Melilla vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 79-92
14-28 20-28 21-23 24-13
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 8
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melilla v San Pablo Burgos
17 Nov 2023
MELI79
SPB92
27 Jan 2023
MELI67
SPB88
12 May 2017
MELI76
SPB91
17 Feb 2017
MELI77
SPB66
05 Feb 2016
MELI66
SPB65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Albacete
#18
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A07/05
Primera FEB
Caceres
#15
W
97-89
97
89
+8
no box
H14/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
86-115
86
115
-29
no box
A19/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
83-66
83
66
+17
76avg 69
A07/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
65-87
65
87
-22
56avg 69
H13/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 69
A20/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
79avg 69
H27/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
62-96
62
96
-34
59avg 69
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 69
H05/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
80avg 69
A11/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
17-15
19-22
32-24
30-19
19-29
29-19
19-22
11-31
24-29
35-26
16-29
18-15
26-14
20-19
19-18
19-23
18-17
8-33
20-14
19-27
24-28
19-19
14-16
19-29
16-19
23-19
25-20
21-19
14-20
21-31
6-26
14-17
17-15
17-25
21-16
19-23
26-15
21-17
13-16
164.8Avg total
79.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.981.4155.3-7.629%
Season at home (3)72.382.3154.7-10.00%
Season away (4)75.080.8155.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)79.085.8164.8-6.840%
Last 5 (5)73.883.4157.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.087.4161.4-13.411%
vs Similar (11)80.581.2161.6-0.745%
vs Weaker (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H02/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A17/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A18/06
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
A07/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 80
H14/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 80
A21/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
90avg 80
A27/10
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
94-69
94
69
+25
90avg 80
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
77avg 80
A05/11
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
83-66
83
66
+17
83avg 80
H11/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-23
21-19
28-21
15-21
19-18
17-17
18-8
22-28
20-22
19-23
22-22
26-17
14-11
10-18
16-20
19-22
16-17
28-17
16-10
23-17
15-14
18-17
16-16
25-23
22-16
31-26
16-16
29-25
18-7
23-18
24-19
24-16
18-17
23-24
19-15
26-16
18-12
20-17
19-21
155.3Avg total
81.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.470.4152.9+12.086%
Season at home (3)85.367.0152.3+18.3100%
Season away (4)80.273.0153.2+7.275%
Last 10 (10)81.673.7155.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)85.470.4155.8+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.095.0168.0-22.00%
vs Similar (9)88.385.1173.4+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.869.5155.2+16.385%
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
MelillaSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/05
Primera FEB
Caceres
#15
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H14/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A19/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A07/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A20/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H27/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H05/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/11
Primera FEB
82.0Avg total
39.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.879.1-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.142.980.0-5.721%-
Last 30 away (16)37.540.878.3-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.782.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.480.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.342.777.9-7.417%-
vs Similar (11)40.239.179.3+1.164%-
vs Weaker (1)43.055.098.0-12.00%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/06
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A07/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/10
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A05/11
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
40.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.235.778.9+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.832.975.8+9.977%-
Last 30 away (17)43.437.881.2+5.676%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.477.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.632.676.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (9)43.741.385.0+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.933.075.9+9.985%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melilla wins
7
San Pablo Burgos wins
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AOviedo79-71
05/11/23HAlicante69-73
01/11/23AForca Lleida62-96
27/10/23HReal Betis83-87
20/10/23ACaceres76-90
13/10/23HFuenlabrada65-87
07/10/23AHestia Menorca83-66
19/05/23APalencia86-115
14/05/23HCaceres97-89
07/05/23AAlbacete90-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HClavijo83-66
05/11/23AEstela84-72
31/10/23HReal Valladolid94-69
27/10/23ACastello94-81
21/10/23AFuenlabrada72-64
14/10/23HForca Lleida79-66
07/10/23AOviedo71-75 OT
18/06/23APalencia83-95
17/06/23AGipuzkoa69-64
02/06/23HEstudiantes87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game73.972.375.0
Allowed / game81.482.380.8
Point differential-7.6-10.0-5.8
Avg total155.3154.7155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.485.380.2
Allowed / game70.467.073.0
Point differential+12.0+18.3+7.2
Avg total152.9152.3153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes76186%85.473.1+12.3
2 San Pablo Burgos76186%82.470.4+12.0
3 Leyma Coruna75271%88.479.4+9.0
4 Ourense75271%76.369.3+7.0
5 Tizona Burgos75271%89.085.0+4.0
6 Gipuzkoa75271%78.775.9+2.9
7 Alicante74357%75.474.4+1.0
8 Real Valladolid74357%78.380.6-2.3
9 Forca Lleida73443%77.778.4-0.7
10 Caceres73443%79.081.9-2.9
11 Castello73443%82.785.9-3.1
12 Oviedo73443%79.383.1-3.9
13 Fuenlabrada72529%73.477.4-4.0
14 Hestia Menorca72529%65.370.6-5.3
15 Estela72529%78.784.3-5.6
16 Melilla72529%73.981.4-7.6
17 Clavijo72529%64.373.7-9.4
18 Real Betis71614%75.478.9-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla1420212479
San Pablo Burgos2828231392
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