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Memphis vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-85
29-42 43-43
Position#15
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#54
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Memphis v Arkansas State
08 Dec 2024
MEMP72
ARKA85
02 Dec 2020
MEMP83
ARKA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H05/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H16/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A27/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-41
49-51
33-35
32-36
32-42
51-33
30-34
50-40
43-38
51-32
22-31
46-33
40-40
42-42
34-31
37-32
31-47
45-43
37-38
44-33
156.8Avg total
80.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.575.5157.0+6.088%
Season at home (3)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Season away (5)78.877.6156.4+1.280%
Last 10 (10)80.176.7156.8+3.470%
Last 5 (5)79.077.0156.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.276.4157.6+4.768%
vs Weaker (9)82.675.4158.0+7.178%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
32-42
0-0
40-43
0-0
39-45
0-0
33-27
0-0
47-36
0-0
30-24
0-0
29-25
0-0
54-24
0-0
49-36
0-0
46-35
0-0
40-46
0-0
33-34
0-0
34-41
0-0
29-29
0-0
37-39
0-0
37-31
0-0
29-33
147.0Avg total
76.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.269.2145.4+7.067%
Season at home (7)74.464.9139.3+9.671%
Season away (2)82.584.5167.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.670.4147.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)77.669.6147.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.575.8155.3+3.655%
vs Weaker (10)74.668.6143.2+6.070%
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
MemphisArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A09/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H05/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.873.0-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.636.271.8-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)36.837.674.4-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.771.4-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.470.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.438.275.5-0.837%-
vs Weaker (9)34.333.667.9+0.833%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.072.4+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.533.472.9+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)37.034.871.8+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.370.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.670.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.836.975.7+1.955%-
vs Weaker (10)38.629.768.3+8.980%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Memphis wins
0
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
03/12/20Memphis v Arkansas State83-54
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HLouisiana Tech81-71
27/11/24AAuburn76-90
26/11/24AMichigan State71-63
25/11/24AUconn99-97 OT
22/11/24ASan Francisco68-64
16/11/24HOhio94-70
09/11/24AUNLV80-74
05/11/24HMissouri83-75
14/03/24HWichita State65-71
09/03/24AFlorida Atlantic84-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
01/12/24HHofstra66-68
01/12/24HRice67-75
29/11/24AIndiana State86-81
23/11/24HLane College103-60
16/11/24HStephen F. Austin59-49
13/11/24HUALR80-63
09/11/24AAlabama79-88
05/11/24HAkron80-75 OT
26/03/24HHigh Point80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game81.586.078.8
Allowed / game75.572.077.6
Point differential+6.0+14.0+1.2
Avg total157.0158.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game76.274.482.5
Allowed / game69.264.984.5
Point differential+7.0+9.6-2.0
Avg total145.4139.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State98189%78.972.2+6.7
2 Memphis87188%81.575.5+6.0
3 East Carolina107370%78.369.5+8.8
4 Rice107370%70.366.3+4.0
5 North Texas96367%66.958.4+8.4
6 Charlotte74357%71.671.3+0.3
7 South Florida95456%77.176.6+0.6
8 UAB105550%84.275.6+8.6
9 Florida Atlantic105550%85.977.9+8.0
10 Temple84450%77.276.5+0.8
11 Tulane104640%72.668.2+4.4
12 Tulsa104640%74.175.9-1.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners83538%74.978.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State107370%76.665.5+11.1
2 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
3 Arkansas State96367%76.269.2+7.0
4 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
5 Troy85362%74.270.6+3.6
6 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
7 Georgia Southern106460%75.778.5-2.8
8 Marshall95456%76.472.2+4.2
9 Southern Miss84450%77.677.8-0.1
10 Coastal Carolina94544%67.067.8-0.8
11 Georgia State94544%75.678.1-2.6
12 Louisiana Monroe103730%71.970.9+1.0
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%69.881.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Memphis294372
Arkansas State424385
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