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Memphis vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 66-79
32-48 34-31
Position#15
Record9-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#116
Record10-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Memphis v Mississippi St.
21 Dec 2024
MEMP66
MISS79
28 Mar 2021
MEMP77
MISS64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H16/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A27/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H08/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
50-40
43-38
51-32
22-31
46-33
40-40
42-42
34-31
37-32
31-47
45-43
37-38
44-33
29-42
43-43
33-32
39-40
21-30
43-32
155.0Avg total
79.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.575.7155.3+3.882%
Season at home (4)82.575.2157.8+7.275%
Season away (7)77.976.0153.9+1.986%
Last 10 (10)79.275.8155.0+3.480%
Last 5 (5)76.078.0154.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.278.7159.9+2.563%
vs Weaker (9)81.174.0155.1+7.178%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H17/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A23/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A29/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-25
54-41
40-37
40-22
28-39
50-34
33-38
51-41
45-32
35-26
34-40
43-47
47-25
43-32
44-44
47-40
29-29
37-34
32-25
51-34
151.5Avg total
83.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.167.7151.8+16.491%
Season at home (8)86.968.1155.0+18.888%
Season away (3)76.766.7143.3+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.068.5151.5+14.590%
Last 5 (5)81.470.0151.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.172.7143.9-1.643%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.473.3150.6+4.157%
vs Weaker (9)81.465.6147.0+15.989%
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +10.0+10.0
MemphisMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H08/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A19/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.236.972.1-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.937.171.9-2.229%-
Last 30 away (16)35.636.872.3-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.368.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.868.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.738.675.3-1.932%-
vs Weaker (9)32.832.965.7-0.133%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H05/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H18/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.668.0+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.431.968.4+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)32.035.567.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.471.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.669.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.431.662.0-1.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.736.670.4-2.929%-
vs Weaker (9)38.430.468.9+8.078%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Memphis wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
28/03/21Memphis v Mississippi St.77-64
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24AVirginia64-62
14/12/24AClemson87-82 OT
08/12/24HArkansas State72-85
05/12/24HLouisiana Tech81-71
27/11/24AAuburn76-90
26/11/24AMichigan State71-63
25/11/24AUconn99-97 OT
22/11/24ASan Francisco68-64
16/11/24HOhio94-70
09/11/24AUNLV80-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HCentral Michigan83-59
14/12/24AMcNeese State66-63
08/12/24HPrairie View A&M91-84
05/12/24HPittsburgh90-57
30/11/24HButler77-87
29/11/24AUNLV80-58
23/11/24ASMU Mustangs84-79
17/11/24HUtah Utes78-73
13/11/24HSE Louisiana80-59
09/11/24HGeorgia State101-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW82%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %82%75%86%
Points / game79.582.577.9
Allowed / game75.775.276.0
Point differential+3.8+7.2+1.9
Avg total155.3157.8153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)-100% (4)
Overtime %18%0%29%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game84.186.976.7
Allowed / game67.768.166.7
Point differential+16.4+18.8+10.0
Avg total151.8155.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis119282%79.575.7+3.8
2 North Texas118373%68.557.5+11.0
3 Wichita State118373%76.974.1+2.8
4 East Carolina128467%77.169.4+7.7
5 Rice128467%70.767.2+3.4
6 Temple117464%77.372.4+4.9
7 Charlotte106460%72.470.7+1.7
8 Florida Atlantic127558%86.176.8+9.2
9 UTSA Roadrunners116555%81.077.3+3.7
10 UAB126650%85.676.8+8.8
11 Tulane136746%75.067.2+7.8
12 South Florida115645%75.577.6-2.2
13 Tulsa114736%74.277.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee11110100%81.155.9+25.2
2 Florida12120100%87.665.0+22.6
3 Oklahoma11110100%82.067.7+14.3
4 Auburn1110191%88.565.1+23.5
5 Missouri1110191%88.766.7+22.0
6 Georgia1110191%83.163.4+19.7
7 Kentucky1110191%91.371.6+19.6
8 Ole Miss1110191%81.963.9+18.0
9 Vanderbilt1110191%85.568.0+17.5
10 Mississippi St.1110191%84.167.7+16.4
11 Texas1210283%85.162.8+22.3
12 Texas A&M1210283%74.863.3+11.5
13 Arkansas119282%80.565.6+14.9
14 LSU119282%81.768.7+13.0
15 Alabama119282%89.478.9+10.5
16 South Carolina118373%76.467.8+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Memphis323466
Mississippi St.483179
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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