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UNLV vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 58-80
32-45 26-35
Position#165
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#116
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A10/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Princeton
#25
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A21/03
NIT
Boston College
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H25/03
NIT
Seton Hall
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A27/03
NIT
Alabama State
#156
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-39
0-0
34-36
0-0
27-22
0-0
38-43
0-0
36-38
0-0
48-39
0-0
37-37
0-0
42-33
0-0
26-44
0-0
42-47
0-0
46-41
0-0
47-38
0-0
34-30
0-0
40-50
0-0
35-29
0-0
45-40
0-0
46-17
0-0
34-42
0-0
37-34
0-0
35-31
150.5Avg total
76.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.870.4150.2+9.480%
Season at home (5)79.870.4150.2+9.480%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.673.9150.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)79.870.4150.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.280.2156.5-4.050%
vs Similar (14)72.769.7142.4+3.057%
vs Weaker (11)76.060.5136.5+15.591%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A15/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A16/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H21/03
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H17/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
40-39
22-29
48-31
38-19
35-37
31-31
35-42
24-31
27-38
40-29
55-31
47-25
54-41
40-37
40-22
28-39
50-34
33-38
51-41
147.5Avg total
78.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.667.4155.0+20.2100%
Season at home (4)88.564.5153.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.768.8147.5+9.970%
Last 5 (5)87.667.4155.0+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.774.0146.7-1.343%
vs Similar (15)74.574.3148.8+0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.060.4140.4+19.6100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +7.9+7.9
UNLVMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H14/03
NCAA
Princeton
#25
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A21/03
NIT
Boston College
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/03
NIT
Seton Hall
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A27/03
NIT
Alabama State
#156
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
35.5Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.965.9+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.828.965.7+7.884%-
Last 30 away (11)32.134.266.3-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.168.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.269.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.838.072.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (14)34.932.167.0+2.971%-
vs Weaker (11)35.326.161.4+9.273%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A15/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A16/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H21/03
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.966.5+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.030.866.8+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.835.466.1-4.621%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.665.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.330.661.9+0.743%-
vs Similar (15)33.037.770.7-4.720%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.626.162.8+10.588%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UNLV wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
No previous meetings.
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HNew Mexico State72-65
21/11/24HPepperdine80-59
15/11/24HNebraska O.80-69
09/11/24HMemphis74-80
05/11/24HAlabama State93-79
27/03/24ASeton Hall68-91
25/03/24HBoston College79-70
21/03/24APrinceton84-77
14/03/24HSan Diego State71-74 OT
10/03/24ANevada65-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24ASMU Mustangs84-79
17/11/24HUtah Utes78-73
13/11/24HSE Louisiana80-59
09/11/24HGeorgia State101-66
05/11/24HWest Georgia95-60
21/03/24HMichigan State51-69
16/03/24AAuburn66-73
15/03/24ATennessee73-56
14/03/24ALSU70-60
09/03/24HSouth Carolina89-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLWWW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game79.879.8-
Allowed / game70.470.4-
Point differential+9.4+9.4-
Avg total150.2150.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.688.584.0
Allowed / game67.464.579.0
Point differential+20.2+24.0+5.0
Avg total155.0153.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%94.265.3+28.8
2 Nevada76186%78.965.3+13.6
3 New Mexico65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 UNLV54180%79.870.4+9.4
5 Boise State75271%81.668.1+13.4
6 Wyoming75271%74.673.3+1.3
7 Grand Canyon64267%79.376.2+3.2
8 San Diego State53260%73.863.6+10.2
9 Colorado State63350%75.772.3+3.3
10 San Jose State94544%70.368.4+1.9
11 Fresno State73443%75.477.7-2.3
12 Air Force72529%66.767.3-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kentucky660100%95.366.8+28.5
2 Tennessee770100%81.654.7+26.9
3 Mississippi St.550100%87.667.4+20.2
4 Auburn770100%86.766.6+20.1
5 Florida770100%86.366.4+19.9
6 Oklahoma660100%82.765.2+17.5
7 Ole Miss660100%83.366.7+16.7
8 Missouri76186%90.163.0+27.1
9 Georgia76186%81.468.0+13.4
10 Alabama76186%89.777.3+12.4
11 Vanderbilt76186%83.671.6+12.0
12 Texas65183%82.260.7+21.5
13 LSU65183%82.371.7+10.7
14 Arkansas75271%80.663.6+17.0
15 Texas A&M75271%77.365.9+11.4
16 South Carolina74357%75.469.4+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV322658
Mississippi St.453580
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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