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Meralco Bolts vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:40
Final 79-88
16-26 20-25 22-23 21-14
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.8
Meralco Bolts
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEASL· Smart Araneta Coliseum
Other2026
Meetings · Meralco Bolts v Ryukyu
11 Feb 2026
MERA79
RYUK88
22 Jan 2025
MERA71
RYUK89
13 Dec 2023
MERA97
RYUK88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Meralco Bolts winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Meralco BoltsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBolts
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
92-117
92
117
-25
no box
H14/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H21/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
108-92
108
92
+16
no box
A25/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
97-108
97
108
-11
no box
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 77
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
58avg 77
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 77
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 77
H15/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 77
A06/12
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
26-25
28-27
19-35
22-18
30-21
24-23
27-23
21-18
24-29
32-23
31-22
17-17
20-20
24-19
21-17
20-35
24-23
31-23
22-27
18-14
18-23
20-22
16-22
16-21
14-22
17-21
25-18
23-14
20-16
23-20
19-26
25-24
23-14
17-14
27-22
29-27
22-17
20-19
22-28
177.5Avg total
89.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Season at home (2)88.575.0163.5+13.5100%
Season away (3)79.084.7163.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)89.687.9177.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)93.2100.6193.8-7.427%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.694.2186.8-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)102.286.8189.0+15.4100%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 79
H04/01
B League
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
102-79
102
79
+23
105avg 79
A21/01
EASL
Chiba
#6
W
92-61
92
61
+31
87avg 79
A24/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
65-63
65
63
+2
48avg 79
A25/01
B League
Shiga
#18
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 79
H28/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
88-85
88
85
+3
80avg 79
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
61-73
61
73
-12
22avg 79
A01/02
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 79
H04/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-55
82
55
+27
82avg 79
A07/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
77-66
77
66
+11
76avg 79
A08/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-27
9-13
22-20
20-17
29-21
26-16
27-25
26-9
23-20
21-21
22-11
12-21
15-13
16-17
22-12
23-19
32-16
24-22
11-17
21-29
20-20
21-19
26-17
20-16
16-14
14-20
11-23
21-27
25-22
25-22
17-11
21-14
8-9
25-12
28-20
19-18
17-12
26-20
15-16
152.3Avg total
81.0Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.681.6169.2+6.080%
Season at home (3)85.378.3163.7+7.0100%
Season away (2)91.086.5177.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.071.3152.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)79.272.2151.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.667.4141.0+6.260%
vs Weaker (24)83.675.9159.5+7.775%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
Meralco BoltsRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H14/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H21/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A25/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A06/12
EASL
85.9Avg total
43.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.447.591.9-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.549.193.6-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)44.345.990.1-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.885.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.649.291.8-6.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.346.991.2-2.630%-
vs Weaker (5)49.843.693.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H04/01
B League
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A21/01
EASL
Chiba
#6
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A24/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A25/01
B League
Shiga
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H28/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A31/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A07/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/02
B League
76.1Avg total
40.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.680.7+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.841.784.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (18)41.636.678.2+5.172%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.976.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.273.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.049.095.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.436.272.6+0.240%-
vs Weaker (24)43.138.781.8+4.471%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.0
50.9%
52.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.04.6
25.6%
36.8%13.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
75.1%12.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.5
53.0%
52.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
36.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
75.1%12.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Meralco Bolts
WWWLLLWWWL
Ryukyu
WWWLWWWWWL
#7
League position
#2
+1.0
Net rating
+15.1
104.9
Offensive rating
100.7
103.9
Defensive rating
85.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
12.4%
Turnover %
10.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
40.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.6%
3-point %
31.7%
57.5%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 100.7Defence103.9 · 85.6Shooting47.2% · 50.9%3-point %25.6% · 31.7%Ball care12.4% · 10.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 40.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Meralco Bolts   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Meralco Bolts wins
4
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Ryukyu v Meralco Bolts81-72
22/01/25Meralco Bolts v Ryukyu71-89
16/10/24Ryukyu v Meralco Bolts77-74
13/12/23Meralco Bolts v Ryukyu97-88 OT
15/11/23Ryukyu v Meralco Bolts89-61
Meralco Boltslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AMacau Black Bears93-91
15/11/25HMacau Black Bears92-74
08/11/25HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots85-76
02/11/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots72-82
22/10/25ARyukyu72-81
20/06/25HSan Miguel Beermen97-108
30/05/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel82-73
25/05/25ANLEX Road Warriors108-92
21/05/25HBlackwater Bossing103-85
14/05/25HMagnolia Hotshots92-117
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ABrave Thunders77-66
07/02/26ABrave Thunders82-55
04/02/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots88-82
01/02/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles61-73
31/01/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles88-85
28/01/26HShiga90-74
25/01/26AChiba65-63
24/01/26AChiba92-61
21/01/26AMacau Black Bears102-79
04/01/26HSeaHorses Mikawa65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Meralco Bolts
EASL 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game82.888.579.0
Allowed / game80.875.084.7
Point differential+2.0+13.5-5.7
Avg total163.6163.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ryukyu
EASL 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game87.685.391.0
Allowed / game81.678.386.5
Point differential+6.0+7.0+4.5
Avg total169.2163.7177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark65183%90.883.2+7.7
2 Ryukyu54180%87.681.6+6.0
3 Taoyuan Pauian Pilots64267%88.882.3+6.5
4 Utsunomiya Brex64267%93.288.3+4.8
5 Seoul Knights64267%87.885.8+2.0
6 Meralco Bolts53260%82.880.8+2.0
7 Xac Broncos63350%91.587.7+3.8
8 New Taipei Kings63350%89.391.3-2.0
9 Hong Kong Eastern62433%87.889.5-1.7
10 Fubon Braves62433%90.395.5-5.2
11 LG Sakers61517%82.391.8-9.5
12 Macau Black Bears6060%82.395.5-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Meralco Bolts1620222179
Ryukyu2625231488
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