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Mercer vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-52
41-25 38-27
Position#261
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game69.5
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#82
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milligan
#551
W
118-64
118
64
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
66-38
52-26
40-43
37-34
40-31
37-37
34-42
38-39
29-27
43-39
24-24
36-34
30-31
30-39
27-37
36-29
52-25
48-37
25-26
37-41
145.4Avg total
76.7Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.569.5146.0+7.145%
Season at home (5)83.663.6147.2+20.080%
Season away (6)70.774.3145.0-3.717%
Last 10 (10)76.768.7145.4+8.050%
Last 5 (5)69.064.6133.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.976.7146.6-6.822%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.766.9134.6+0.857%
vs Weaker (7)84.468.3152.7+16.157%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
114-49
114
49
+65
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
109-62
109
62
+47
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
52-27
47-31
28-16
34-39
28-37
29-38
13-38
30-38
49-26
65-23
31-37
28-46
58-34
51-28
41-25
34-56
27-36
34-21
34-20
40-51
142.0Avg total
75.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.368.6141.9+4.655%
Season at home (6)86.760.3147.0+26.383%
Season away (5)57.278.6135.8-21.420%
Last 10 (10)75.366.7142.0+8.660%
Last 5 (5)75.670.8146.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.272.0133.2-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.769.0129.7-8.344%
vs Weaker (17)79.362.2141.5+17.188%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +2.1+2.1
MercerMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milligan
#551
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A11/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.366.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.132.668.7+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)32.731.964.6+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.469.1+4.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.660.2+3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.035.468.4-2.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.629.961.5+1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)41.932.974.7+9.057%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#593
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H13/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
13-38
13
38
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A15/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
36.1Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.929.764.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.528.366.8+10.187%-
Last 30 away (15)31.331.162.3+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.665.7+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.468.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.232.062.2-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.630.360.9+0.256%-
vs Weaker (17)38.228.867.1+9.476%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercer wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AFlorida Gulf Coast62-67
06/12/22HMiddle Georgia State100-62
03/12/22HKennesaw State63-66
27/11/22ATowson60-70
27/11/22HFairfield60-58
26/11/22ARobert Morris72-66
21/11/22AFlorida State72-81
19/11/22HWinthrop77-68
16/11/22AGeorgia State83-85 OT
11/11/22HMilligan118-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/22AGeorgia Southern74-71
11/12/22HEast Tennessee St61-57
03/12/22HNorth Alabama75-81
30/11/22HKentucky Christian109-62
27/11/22AMarshall59-83
23/11/22HKentucky State114-49
19/11/22AVanderbilt43-76
16/11/22AWest Virginia57-75
13/11/22HBellarmine62-55
10/11/22HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg99-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game76.583.670.7
Allowed / game69.563.674.3
Point differential+7.1+20.0-3.7
Avg total146.0147.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game73.386.757.2
Allowed / game68.660.378.6
Point differential+4.6+26.3-21.4
Avg total141.9147.0135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs118373%82.067.1+14.9
2 Furman117464%81.572.6+8.8
3 Samford116555%82.871.0+11.8
4 Wofford116555%74.667.8+6.8
5 Mercer115645%76.569.5+7.1
6 Western Carolina115645%76.171.1+5.0
7 NC Greensboro115645%66.367.2-0.9
8 Citadel115645%70.673.8-3.2
9 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
10 East Tennessee St114736%71.168.2+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville117464%75.568.8+6.6
2 Western Illinois117464%77.672.2+5.5
3 Southern Indiana116555%76.669.3+7.4
4 UT Martin116555%82.675.5+7.1
5 Morehead State116555%73.368.6+4.6
6 Tennessee State116555%76.972.8+4.1
7 Southeast Missouri State115645%71.068.4+2.6
8 Lindenwood104640%70.772.1-1.4
9 UALR103730%73.280.9-7.7
10 Tennessee Tech113827%70.273.7-3.5
11 Eastern Illinois123925%66.967.8-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer413879
Morehead State252752
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