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Mercer vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 62-83
31-44 31-39
Position#223
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#212
Record4-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
38-25
27-10
39-31
32-29
26-44
34-31
30-40
33-30
33-31
30-38
36-36
29-56
38-42
32-17
28-42
36-32
30-40
31-44
38-36
133.3Avg total
65.4Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.473.6139.0-8.129%
Season at home (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Season away (6)65.774.0139.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)65.467.9133.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)65.676.6142.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.175.4139.5-11.310%
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.966.6129.5-3.836%
vs Weaker (5)72.254.2126.4+18.0100%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H07/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
46-102
46
102
-56
A15/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Lynn University
#390
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H22/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
29-38
23-47
51-36
33-29
37-27
23-47
23-55
40-28
28-40
33-30
49-45
38-35
48-39
42-27
32-35
26-29
29-39
23-37
29-33
146.5Avg total
70.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.776.9147.6-6.244%
Season at home (5)82.679.2161.8+3.460%
Season away (4)55.874.0129.8-18.225%
Last 10 (10)70.276.3146.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)69.869.8139.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.273.6131.8-15.440%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.470.6146.0+4.950%
vs Weaker (10)72.460.7133.1+11.770%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
MercerSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
27-10
27
10
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Clarke
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A10/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A02/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.562.3-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.530.260.7+0.358%-
Last 30 away (18)31.132.363.4-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.263.0+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.469.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.237.267.4-7.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.730.160.8+0.657%-
vs Weaker (5)32.024.056.0+8.080%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H07/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A15/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H17/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Lynn University
#390
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H22/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A01/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
31.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.864.6+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.229.664.8+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)32.132.164.3+0.064%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.266.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.664.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.633.662.2-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.031.166.1+3.979%-
vs Weaker (10)33.829.363.1+4.570%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercer wins
0
South Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AGeorgia69-80
25/11/23AWestern Michigan66-72
24/11/23ATennessee State60-59
18/11/23AAlabama67-98
15/11/23AMorehead State66-74
10/11/23AChicago State66-61
07/11/23HClarke64-71
04/03/23AFurman58-73
03/03/23HCitadel66-41
25/02/23HCitadel72-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AJacksonville State52-70
26/11/23AMaryland55-68
22/11/23HLynn University74-62
19/11/23HSiu Edwardsville86-74
17/11/23HDenver82-75
17/11/23HNicholls State97-102 OT
15/11/23AAlabama46-102
11/11/23ABuffalo70-56
07/11/23HMobile74-83
07/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeL0%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %29%0%33%
Points / game65.464.065.7
Allowed / game73.671.074.0
Point differential-8.1-7.0-8.3
Avg total139.0135.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game70.782.655.8
Allowed / game76.979.274.0
Point differential-6.2+3.4-18.2
Avg total147.6161.8129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Greensboro76186%78.968.3+10.6
2 Samford97278%87.873.9+13.9
3 Western Carolina86275%77.171.4+5.8
4 Chattanooga Mocs85362%75.969.0+6.9
5 Citadel106460%71.264.4+6.8
6 East Tennessee St84450%67.569.8-2.2
7 Furman94544%82.380.8+1.6
8 Wofford83538%77.882.0-4.2
9 Mercer72529%65.473.6-8.1
10 VMI92722%72.072.4-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison880100%95.476.0+19.4
2 Appalachian State97278%79.961.3+18.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Louisiana Monroe74357%73.171.1+2.0
5 Troy84450%84.869.2+15.5
6 Georgia State84450%79.075.8+3.2
7 Southern Miss84450%69.466.4+3.0
8 South Alabama94544%70.776.9-6.2
9 Old Dominion73443%68.171.7-3.6
10 Coastal Carolina83538%80.577.1+3.4
11 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
12 Marshall72529%74.080.9-6.9
13 Arkansas State92722%73.281.1-7.9
14 Georgia Southern8080%69.584.6-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer313162
South Alabama443983
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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