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Mercer vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 66-41
27-10 39-31
Position#261
Record13-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game67.6
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#330
Record10-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
32-27
30-29
44-36
21-41
28-28
39-26
41-28
29-26
36-39
38-33
18-40
31-29
36-41
33-31
35-40
29-33
38-37
34-25
38-25
133.2Avg total
67.3Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)69.267.6136.8+1.542%
Season at home (15)71.764.5136.2+7.153%
Season away (16)66.870.6137.4-3.831%
Last 10 (10)67.365.9133.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)66.066.8132.8-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.171.9136.0-7.812%
vs Similar (14)63.465.9129.4-2.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.565.2148.8+18.275%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
36-44
34-44
41-32
43-36
26-39
29-38
30-41
38-41
25-41
27-32
43-44
34-36
35-29
33-37
35-35
21-29
49-49
25-34
25-38
140.7Avg total
65.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)68.374.5142.7-6.232%
Season at home (15)70.772.9143.5-2.233%
Season away (16)66.175.9142.0-9.931%
Last 10 (10)65.874.9140.7-9.110%
Last 5 (5)65.472.6138.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.077.5143.6-11.522%
vs Similar (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H25/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.864.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.331.766.0+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.331.963.3-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.561.6+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.263.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.835.865.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (14)30.129.459.4+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.632.272.9+8.462%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A25/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.664.9-4.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.134.566.5-2.420%-
Last 30 away (15)28.534.763.2-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.767.0-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.661.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.635.864.4-7.213%-
vs Similar (5)31.034.665.6-3.620%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mercer wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HCitadel72-50
23/02/23AFurman67-70
18/02/23HWestern Carolina68-71
16/02/23AWofford67-70
11/02/23AChattanooga Mocs56-73
09/02/23HSamford69-70 OT
04/02/23HVMI80-54
03/02/23HNC Greensboro49-69
28/01/23ACitadel74-65
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AMercer50-72
23/02/23AEast Tennessee St70-78
18/02/23HWofford68-72
16/02/23HFurman69-65
11/02/23ASamford70-76
09/02/23AChattanooga Mocs63-82
04/02/23HNC Greensboro59-79
03/02/23HVMI69-75
31/01/23HChicago State75-76
28/01/23HMercer65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWLLW53%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%53%31%
Points / game69.271.766.8
Allowed / game67.664.570.6
Point differential+1.5+7.1-3.8
Avg total136.8136.2137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)33% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %10%13%6%
Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %32%33%31%
Points / game68.370.766.1
Allowed / game74.572.975.9
Point differential-6.2-2.2-9.9
Avg total142.7143.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman3124777%82.271.1+11.1
2 Samford31211068%78.671.1+7.5
3 NC Greensboro31201165%72.364.4+7.8
4 Western Carolina31171455%74.571.0+3.5
5 Wofford31161552%75.472.6+2.7
6 Chattanooga Mocs31151648%76.571.6+4.9
7 Mercer31131842%69.267.6+1.5
8 East Tennessee St31121939%69.569.0+0.5
9 Citadel31102132%68.374.5-6.2
10 VMI3172423%69.376.3-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer273966
Citadel103141
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