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Mercer vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-50
34-25 38-25
Position#261
Record12-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game68.2
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#330
Record10-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
24-30
27-32
32-27
30-29
44-36
21-41
28-28
39-26
41-28
29-26
36-39
38-33
18-40
31-29
36-41
33-31
35-40
29-33
38-37
131.7Avg total
64.9Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.168.2137.3+0.840%
Season at home (14)71.665.6137.2+6.150%
Season away (16)66.870.6137.4-3.831%
Last 10 (10)64.966.8131.7-1.930%
Last 5 (5)65.470.8136.2-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.171.9136.0-7.812%
vs Similar (15)64.266.7130.9-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.167.4152.6+17.771%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#161
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
46-39
29-30
36-44
34-44
41-32
43-36
26-39
29-38
30-41
38-41
25-41
27-32
43-44
34-36
35-29
33-37
35-35
21-29
49-49
143.6Avg total
68.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.974.5143.4-5.633%
Season at home (15)70.772.9143.5-2.233%
Season away (15)67.176.2143.3-9.133%
Last 10 (10)68.974.7143.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)68.074.6142.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.977.9144.7-11.022%
vs Similar (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.7-2.7
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A23/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
30.1Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.065.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.332.266.5+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)31.831.863.6+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)30.130.961.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.462.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.835.865.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (15)30.729.460.1+1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.633.374.9+8.357%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#161
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H31/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
32.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.535.065.4-4.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.134.566.5-2.420%-
Last 30 away (15)28.935.564.3-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.467.7-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.065.6-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.936.365.2-7.413%-
vs Similar (5)31.034.665.6-3.620%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mercer wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AFurman67-70
18/02/23HWestern Carolina68-71
16/02/23AWofford67-70
11/02/23AChattanooga Mocs56-73
09/02/23HSamford69-70 OT
04/02/23HVMI80-54
03/02/23HNC Greensboro49-69
28/01/23ACitadel74-65
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
21/01/23ANC Greensboro48-59
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AEast Tennessee St70-78
18/02/23HWofford68-72
16/02/23HFurman69-65
11/02/23ASamford70-76
09/02/23AChattanooga Mocs63-82
04/02/23HNC Greensboro59-79
03/02/23HVMI69-75
31/01/23HChicago State75-76
28/01/23HMercer65-74
26/01/23AWestern Carolina81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game69.171.666.8
Allowed / game68.265.670.6
Point differential+0.8+6.1-3.8
Avg total137.3137.2137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)33% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %10%14%6%
Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game68.970.767.1
Allowed / game74.572.976.2
Point differential-5.6-2.2-9.1
Avg total143.4143.5143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman3023777%81.870.8+11.0
2 Samford3021970%78.670.4+8.2
3 NC Greensboro30201067%72.664.5+8.1
4 Western Carolina30161453%74.171.1+3.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs30151550%76.671.1+5.5
6 Wofford30151550%75.072.6+2.4
7 Mercer30121840%69.168.2+0.8
8 East Tennessee St30111937%69.769.2+0.5
9 Citadel30102033%68.974.5-5.6
10 VMI3072323%69.476.0-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer343872
Citadel252550
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