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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-61
42-28 37-33
Position#206
Record7-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#114
Record10-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Central Connecticut State
10 Jan 2027
MERC v CENT
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
MERC79
CENT61
05 Jan 2025
MERC50
CENT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H07/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
57-62 OT
57
62
-5
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
37-45
45-22
35-29
15-36
32-44
23-39
39-37
42-18
40-43
32-28
35-46
34-31
40-29
26-39
32-21
32-32
38-37
26-18
29-37
134.0Avg total
66.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.266.4132.6-0.239%
Season at home (7)77.060.4137.4+16.671%
Season away (11)59.370.2129.5-10.918%
Last 10 (10)66.867.2134.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)65.265.0130.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.575.2145.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)61.367.3128.7-6.047%
vs Weaker (10)76.469.1145.5+7.360%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
122-57
122
57
+65
H30/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A07/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A13/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H19/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H09/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A10/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
55-28
67-29
27-37
34-40
21-35
35-38
46-39
38-28
26-47
44-37
34-37
44-47
35-29
37-32
31-24
45-45
26-17
43-42
47-43
51-47
150.7Avg total
78.6Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.071.9150.9+7.162%
Season at home (6)94.272.0166.2+22.283%
Season away (10)69.971.8141.7-1.950%
Last 10 (10)78.672.1150.7+6.560%
Last 5 (5)78.672.6151.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.376.5143.8-9.217%
vs Weaker (24)79.364.9144.2+14.492%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +5.3+5.3
Mercyhurst LakersCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H07/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
15-36
15
36
-21
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H17/01
NCAA
60.6Avg total
30.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.061.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.125.261.2+10.992%-
Last 30 away (17)28.633.862.4-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)30.929.760.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.659.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)27.431.458.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (10)37.628.165.7+9.580%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H30/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H19/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H09/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
26-17
26
17
+9
A10/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A17/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.068.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.032.772.7+7.367%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.264.6-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.668.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)28.037.765.7-9.717%-
vs Weaker (24)37.631.869.4+5.867%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
2
Central Connecticut State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HStonehill57-62 OT
10/01/26AWagner70-69
09/01/26ALIU Sharks58-60
04/01/26HLe Moyne74-60
03/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson67-74
20/12/25HBinghamton82-61
18/12/25ASyracuse62-76
13/12/25ADavidson47-80
07/12/25HBethany80-51
06/12/25ALafayette71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ASt. Francis (PA)98-90
10/01/26ALe Moyne69-59
09/01/26HStonehill76-69
04/01/26HNew Haven Chargers72-61
03/01/26ALIU Sharks78-84
19/12/25HFairfield70-84
13/12/25ABinghamton84-67
07/12/25ANortheastern56-73
04/12/25ASeton Hall61-77
30/11/25HJohnson & Wales (RI)122-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %39%71%18%
Points / game66.277.059.3
Allowed / game66.460.470.2
Point differential-0.2+16.6-10.9
Avg total132.6137.4129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %62%83%50%
Points / game79.094.269.9
Allowed / game71.972.071.8
Point differential+7.1+22.2-1.9
Avg total150.9166.2141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State1610662%79.071.9+7.1
2 LIU Sharks1811761%74.876.1-1.2
3 Le Moyne1881044%73.873.9-0.2
4 New Haven Chargers1881044%65.367.7-2.3
5 Mercyhurst Lakers1871139%66.266.4-0.2
6 Wagner1661038%74.874.9-0.1
7 Stonehill1971237%68.270.2-2.0
8 Fairleigh Dickinson1851328%68.672.4-3.8
9 St. Francis (PA)1951426%69.581.6-12.1
10 Chicago State1821611%66.181.5-15.4
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers423779
Central Connecticut State283361
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