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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Central Connecticut State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#337
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#183
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Central Connecticut State
10 Jan 2027
MERC v CENT
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
MERC79
CENT61
05 Jan 2025
MERC50
CENT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#188
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#33
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#176
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A12/11
NCAA
James Madison
#232
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
23-19
33-32
40-42
30-37
14-36
29-42
23-38
33-45
44-25
45-25
29-33
28-39
–
–
137.1Avg total
66.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.272.6135.8-9.420%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (4)56.878.2135.0-21.50%
Last 10 (10)66.570.6137.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)63.272.6135.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.878.2135.0-21.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.867.6135.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (9)75.367.4142.8+7.967%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#239
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#145
L
49-102
49
102
-53
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#169
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#189
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A13/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#274
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
39-43
25-28
26-42
34-30
46-48
32-29
37-35
35-31
25-39
16-36
40-32
23-47
26-55
33-30
33-36
31-43
48-32
–
–
141.4Avg total
67.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.876.6143.4-9.860%
Season at home (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Season away (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)67.274.2141.4-7.060%
Last 5 (5)66.876.6143.4-9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.573.1142.6-3.650%
vs Weaker (14)77.471.0148.4+6.471%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.7-4.7
Mercyhurst LakersCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#188
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#33
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#176
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/11
NCAA
61.4Avg total
29.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.231.063.2+1.248%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.663.8+8.579%-
Last 30 away (15)28.534.162.6-5.520%-
Last 10 (9)29.831.761.4-1.933%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.035.757.7-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.631.662.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker (9)37.228.966.1+8.378%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#239
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#145
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#169
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#189
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.233.466.6-0.262%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.832.969.8+3.977%-
Last 30 away (16)30.233.864.1-3.650%-
Last 10 (9)29.834.264.0-4.456%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.465.0-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.839.064.8-13.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.333.365.5-1.055%-
vs Weaker (14)36.131.968.0+4.179%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
3
Central Connecticut State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AJames Madison71-80
12/11/26APenn State57-72
07/11/26HPenn State-Shenango89-50
06/11/26ANotre Dame56-83
03/11/26AMarquette43-78
10/03/26ALIU Sharks70-79
07/03/26HStonehill56-51
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HQuinnipiac72-67
13/11/26ASacred Heart79-75
08/11/26ADartmouth78-71 OT
06/11/26ASyracuse49-102
02/11/26ATemple56-68
05/03/26HWagner60-70
28/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)69-64
27/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-78
21/02/26AChicago State51-70
20/02/26HLe Moyne78-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game63.289.056.8
Allowed / game72.650.078.2
Point differential-9.4+39.0-21.5
Avg total135.8139.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game66.872.065.5
Allowed / game76.667.079.0
Point differential-9.8+5.0-13.5
Avg total143.4139.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State53260%66.876.6-9.8
2 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
3 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
4 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
5 Chicago State62433%64.880.0-15.2
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
8 Mercyhurst Lakers51420%63.272.6-9.4
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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