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Merkezefendi vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-79
25-22 22-20 24-17 16-20
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game73.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 5
Domestic2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merkezefendi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerkezefendi
Date
Competition
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H05/04
TBL
Balikesir
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
A12/04
TBL
Samsunspor
#3
W
82-75 OT
82
75
+7
no box
H19/04
TBL
Final Spor
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
A24/04
TBL
Istanbul Basket
#16
W
87-63
87
63
+24
no box
H01/05
TBL
Duzce Belediye
#12
W
102-73
102
73
+29
no box
A08/05
TBL
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
77avg 58
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
49-82
49
82
-33
33avg 58
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 58
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
27-17
22-17
12-18
25-25
22-15
15-23
23-18
22-15
16-23
15-21
16-10
21-14
22-21
12-18
22-13
21-15
25-17
19-16
22-15
17-23
21-24
28-15
36-11
18-29
19-17
29-19
20-21
15-22
17-14
23-9
19-26
7-23
16-15
12-23
14-21
18-18
28-24
11-17
16-28
155.7Avg total
80.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.283.5155.8-11.225%
Season at home (2)73.579.0152.5-5.550%
Season away (2)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)80.375.4155.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)78.281.4159.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.082.3154.3-10.333%
vs Similar (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.471.7155.1+11.877%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
103-85
103
85
+18
107avg 76
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 76
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 76
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
84avg 76
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
70-110
70
110
-40
60avg 76
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
91-114
91
114
-23
84avg 76
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 76
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
61-80
61
80
-19
51avg 76
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
51-63
51
63
-12
38avg 76
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 76
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
30-27
20-7
31-27
15-22
26-10
16-17
12-26
13-23
22-21
23-14
17-23
27-28
12-28
19-21
29-20
24-31
20-21
16-35
10-23
27-25
22-29
18-29
24-31
20-27
25-21
21-15
20-22
18-11
11-20
13-28
19-21
11-14
9-6
13-12
18-31
25-15
14-19
17-18
20-14
162.5Avg total
76.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.573.5142.0-5.050%
Season at home (2)68.573.0141.5-4.550%
Season away (2)68.574.0142.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.985.6162.5-8.730%
Last 5 (5)73.081.6154.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.085.4163.4-7.433%
vs Similar (9)80.882.8163.6-2.056%
vs Weaker (3)93.799.7193.3-6.033%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
MerkezefendiAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/04
TBL
Balikesir
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A12/04
TBL
Samsunspor
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/04
TBL
Final Spor
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/04
TBL
Istanbul Basket
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H01/05
TBL
Duzce Belediye
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/05
TBL
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.8Avg total
39.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.676.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.235.576.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.675.7+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.177.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.877.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.740.070.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (1)46.042.088.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.436.076.4+4.558%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.5Avg total
39.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.184.0-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.883.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.484.7-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.281.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.473.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.942.481.3-3.439%-
vs Similar (9)43.341.684.9+1.833%-
vs Weaker (3)45.052.097.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.3
49.0%
53.2%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.7
32.8%
36.5%20.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.9%
75.6%12.0
They take 53.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.7
51.7%
53.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
36.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.011.8
78.7%
75.6%11.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Merkezefendi
LLWLWWWWWW
Afyon Belediye
WLLWLLLLLW
#14
League position
#16
-20.7
Net rating
-12.1
93.5
Offensive rating
104.6
114.2
Defensive rating
116.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.8%
3-point %
34.2%
63.8%
Assist %
68.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 104.6Defence114.2 · 116.7Shooting49.1% · 51.5%3-point %32.8% · 34.2%Ball care18.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds19.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Merkezefendi   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merkezefendi wins
0
Afyon Belediye wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21HYalovaspor73-87
10/10/21AGaziantep49-82
03/10/21HBursaspor74-71
25/09/21AAnadolu Efes93-94 OT
08/05/21ADuzce Belediye102-73
01/05/21HIstanbul Basket87-63
24/04/21AFinal Spor77-66
19/04/21HSamsunspor82-75 OT
12/04/21ABalikesir85-81
05/04/21HKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor81-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21HBuyukcekmece76-66
10/10/21AYalovaspor51-63
03/10/21HTurk Telekom61-80
25/09/21AGaziantep86-85
27/04/21HOGM Ormanspor91-114
04/04/21AGalatasaray70-110
28/03/21HFenerbahce87-97
21/03/21ABursaspor75-81
13/03/21HKarsiyaka69-75
07/03/21HAnadolu Efes103-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.273.571.0
Allowed / game83.579.088.0
Point differential-11.2-5.5-17.0
Avg total155.8152.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.568.568.5
Allowed / game73.573.074.0
Point differential-5.0-4.5-5.5
Avg total142.0141.5142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karsiyaka54180%82.269.4+12.8
2 Fenerbahce54180%77.671.6+6.0
3 Tofas54180%86.281.8+4.4
4 Gaziantep53260%79.473.6+5.8
5 Anadolu Efes53260%85.281.4+3.8
6 Galatasaray53260%92.289.0+3.2
7 Darussafaka42250%78.078.2-0.2
8 Afyon Belediye42250%68.573.5-5.0
9 Yalovaspor52340%78.475.4+3.0
10 Turk Telekom52340%68.266.6+1.6
11 Bahcesehir Kol.52340%80.681.6-1.0
12 Bursaspor52340%75.276.8-1.6
13 Besiktas52340%70.079.6-9.6
14 Buyukcekmece41325%80.285.0-4.8
15 Merkezefendi41325%72.283.5-11.2
16 Petkim Spor51420%71.482.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Merkezefendi2522241687
Afyon Belediye2220172079
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