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Merrimack Warriors vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-68
41-36 30-32
Position#91
Record12-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#88
Record13-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Central Connecticut State
03 Feb 2024
MERR71
CENT68
23 Feb 2023
MERR70
CENT54
10 Feb 2022
MERR57
CENT60
27 Feb 2020
MERR69
CENT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#270
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H20/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-16
34-36
22-38
41-36
30-24
30-32
41-26
41-32
34-19
32-43
28-36
42-39
38-31
27-40
28-28
35-19
21-24
39-20
39-23
35-32
126.5Avg total
67.1Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.466.2134.6+2.255%
Season at home (9)72.763.9136.6+8.878%
Season away (13)65.567.8133.2-2.338%
Last 10 (10)67.159.4126.5+7.770%
Last 5 (5)66.458.4124.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.771.3138.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.965.5130.4-0.554%
vs Weaker (13)73.562.8136.3+10.885%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A21/12
NCAA
St. Elizabeth
#686
W
99-38
99
38
+61
H30/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A13/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H20/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
69-68 OT
69
68
+1
H27/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
46-42
46-21
53-17
30-29
44-30
32-36
43-25
36-28
39-42
34-35
39-40
32-32
40-31
41-29
35-31
33-33
27-27
36-27
27-35
139.4Avg total
75.8Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.066.2139.2+6.762%
Season at home (9)77.063.1140.1+13.967%
Season away (12)69.968.6138.5+1.358%
Last 10 (10)75.863.6139.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)70.665.6136.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.066.7129.7-3.767%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.874.3142.1-6.527%
vs Weaker (14)72.467.1139.5+5.271%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +7.3+7.3
Merrimack WarriorsCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#270
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A27/01
NCAA
58.0Avg total
31.5Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.428.160.5+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.226.661.8+8.685%-
Last 30 away (17)30.229.359.5+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)31.526.558.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.828.459.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.332.359.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.029.259.2+0.854%-
vs Weaker (13)35.425.961.3+9.577%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A21/12
NCAA
St. Elizabeth
#686
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H20/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H27/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H02/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
35.6Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.265.0+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.528.765.2+7.867%-
Last 30 away (18)30.234.664.8-4.422%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.866.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.266.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.730.356.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.135.165.2-5.027%-
vs Weaker (14)34.132.166.2+2.143%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ASt. Francis (PA)74-55
26/01/24AWagner60-44
21/01/24HStonehill63-47
20/01/24HWagner65-71
15/01/24ACentral Connecticut State70-75
13/01/24ALe Moyne66-62
06/01/24HSacred Heart82-58
05/01/24HFairleigh Dickinson60-56
30/12/23ABoston University63-74
22/12/23HBucknell68-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HSt. Francis (PA)63-62
27/01/24HWagner69-68 OT
25/01/24AFairleigh Dickinson76-60
22/01/24ALIU Sharks72-63
20/01/24HLe Moyne73-75
15/01/24HMerrimack Warriors75-70
13/01/24ASt. Francis (PA)75-61
05/01/24AStonehill74-59
30/12/23HSt. Elizabeth99-38
21/12/23AFordham82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %55%78%38%
Points / game68.472.765.5
Allowed / game66.263.967.8
Point differential+2.2+8.8-2.3
Avg total134.6136.6133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game73.077.069.9
Allowed / game66.263.168.6
Point differential+6.7+13.9+1.3
Avg total139.2140.1138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac2117481%78.171.4+6.7
2 St. Peters1911858%64.863.7+1.2
3 Fairfield2112957%76.272.0+4.3
4 Merrimack Warriors22121055%68.466.2+2.2
5 Marist1910953%64.663.4+1.2
6 Niagara21111052%75.674.1+1.5
7 Iona20101050%73.270.9+2.4
8 Sacred Heart24121250%74.673.0+1.5
9 Mount St. Mary's2081240%71.269.8+1.4
10 Canisius2081240%73.573.9-0.5
11 Rider2181338%72.074.0-2.0
12 Manhattan1951426%66.877.1-10.2
13 Siena2131814%60.576.5-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State2113862%73.066.2+6.7
2 Fairleigh Dickinson23111248%78.179.2-1.1
3 Wagner21101148%64.462.9+1.5
4 Le Moyne2291341%74.473.2+1.2
5 Chicago State27111641%68.669.3-0.7
6 St. Francis (PA)2371630%64.972.8-7.9
7 LIU Sharks2041620%64.678.3-13.8
8 Stonehill2432112%63.676.6-13.0
9 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.079.0-32.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors413071
Central Connecticut State363268
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