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Merrimack Warriors vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-71
38-31 27-40
Position#91
Record9-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#193
Record8-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game62.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Wagner
12 Mar 2024
MERR47
WAGN54
19 Jan 2024
MERR65
WAGN71
16 Jan 2023
MERR57
WAGN62
23 Jan 2022
MERR57
WAGN71
15 Feb 2020
MERR68
WAGN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A06/12
NCAA
Felician Golden
#381
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
42-40
31-30
26-47
43-35
46-50
17-27
32-38
34-16
34-36
22-38
41-36
30-24
30-32
41-26
41-32
34-19
32-43
28-36
42-39
135.0Avg total
67.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.168.8137.9+0.250%
Season at home (7)75.165.3140.4+9.986%
Season away (11)65.271.1136.3-5.927%
Last 10 (10)67.867.2135.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)68.265.0133.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.771.3138.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.465.9131.4-0.557%
vs Weaker (12)74.664.4139.0+10.283%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#114
L
52-86
52
86
-34
A29/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#85
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#624
W
98-49
98
49
+49
H22/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
32-48
21-34
39-25
23-31
39-28
28-30
–
22-31
29-32
47-19
51-30
25-27
43-29
28-45
39-24
37-23
34-33
32-19
32-35
127.6Avg total
65.2Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.562.1126.6+2.353%
Season at home (6)73.255.2128.3+18.083%
Season away (9)58.766.8125.4-8.133%
Last 10 (10)65.262.4127.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)73.656.8130.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.063.0114.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)60.767.4128.1-6.738%
vs Weaker (15)64.356.8121.1+7.560%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +6.0+6.0
Merrimack WarriorsWagner
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#55
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Felician Golden
#381
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A15/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
31.2Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.628.361.0+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.026.661.6+8.493%-
Last 30 away (15)30.330.160.3+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)31.227.959.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)31.028.659.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.332.359.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.428.859.1+1.664%-
vs Weaker (12)36.026.762.7+9.383%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#114
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#155
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#85
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#624
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H15/01
NCAA
58.0Avg total
28.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.827.656.4+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.923.856.7+9.277%-
Last 30 away (17)25.630.656.2-4.924%-
Last 10 (10)28.329.758.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.826.660.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.031.053.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.130.558.5-2.431%-
vs Weaker (15)28.925.154.0+3.760%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Merrimack Warriors wins
4
Wagner wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24ACentral Connecticut State70-75
13/01/24ALe Moyne66-62
06/01/24HSacred Heart82-58
05/01/24HFairleigh Dickinson60-56
30/12/23ABoston University63-74
22/12/23HBucknell68-52
20/12/23ACincinnati49-65
10/12/23HFelician Golden89-85
06/12/23AFlorida57-77
03/12/23HUMass Lowell74-68
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HStonehill64-54
06/01/24HSt. Francis (PA)71-56
05/01/24ALIU Sharks67-69
31/12/23AManhattan68-56
22/12/23HGwynedd-Mercy98-49
17/12/23AFairfield51-63
10/12/23HBoston University59-73
07/12/23ACoppin State62-59
02/12/23AStony Brook60-59
29/11/23AProvidence52-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %50%86%27%
Points / game69.175.165.2
Allowed / game68.865.371.1
Point differential+0.2+9.9-5.9
Avg total137.9140.4136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%43%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%83%33%
Points / game64.573.258.7
Allowed / game62.155.266.8
Point differential+2.3+18.0-8.1
Avg total126.6128.3125.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%83%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1612475%77.871.4+6.4
2 St. Peters149564%65.463.8+1.6
3 Fairfield1710759%76.371.3+5.0
4 Marist148657%66.462.6+3.7
5 Merrimack Warriors189950%69.168.8+0.2
6 Sacred Heart1991047%73.672.2+1.4
7 Canisius167944%74.974.2+0.7
8 Iona167944%71.771.0+0.7
9 Niagara167944%75.975.4+0.5
10 Mount St. Mary's156940%72.370.9+1.4
11 Rider1751229%71.676.8-5.2
12 Manhattan1541127%64.776.3-11.7
13 Siena1631319%62.478.1-15.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State169756%73.766.4+7.2
2 Wagner158753%64.562.1+2.3
3 Fairleigh Dickinson2091145%78.179.0-0.9
4 Chicago State2491538%64.770.6-5.9
5 Le Moyne1761135%73.172.9+0.2
6 St. Francis (PA)1851328%65.172.6-7.5
7 LIU Sharks1531220%63.479.6-16.2
8 Stonehill2021810%63.978.7-14.8
9 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.079.0-32.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors382765
Wagner314071
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