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Central Connecticut State vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-64
32-32 29-32
Position#326
Record5-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game69.6
Central Connecticut State
USA
vs
Merrimack Warriors 🏆
USA
Position#186
Record6-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game57.3
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Central Connecticut State v Merrimack Warriors
15 Jan 2024
CENT75
MERR70
26 Jan 2023
CENT61
MERR64
08 Jan 2022
CENT57
MERR66
12 Feb 2021
CENT52
MERR72
11 Feb 2021
CENT46
MERR62
11 Jan 2020
CENT46
MERR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#274
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Army
#194
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H21/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A23/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A21/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
39-39
30-38
25-28
20-43
46-40
38-36
34-44
29-23
45-29
34-29
44-30
23-19
26-32
42-44
38-44
16-28
34-44
34-18
24-24
132.0Avg total
66.0Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)64.269.6133.8-5.424%
Season at home (9)63.963.0126.9+0.933%
Season away (12)64.474.5138.9-10.117%
Last 10 (10)66.066.0132.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)63.062.4125.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.874.6136.4-12.86%
vs Similar (12)65.767.4133.1-1.842%
vs Weaker (2)68.050.5118.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New England Noreasters
#663
W
82-23
82
23
+59
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H17/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-6
34-17
26-23
21-27
21-23
34-38
39-33
24-38
32-20
26-28
32-29
23-30
37-34
28-19
28-29
31-18
28-33
29-29
33-30
30-25
113.3Avg total
60.4Scored
52.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)57.362.6119.9-5.329%
Season at home (8)58.453.6112.0+4.838%
Season away (13)56.668.2124.8-11.523%
Last 10 (10)60.452.9113.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)59.855.2115.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.174.3131.4-17.114%
vs Similar (19)60.663.2123.8-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)60.552.0112.5+8.550%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
Central Connecticut StateMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#274
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Army
#194
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A23/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
23-19
23
19
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A21/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A22/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
30.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.633.562.1-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (13)27.933.561.5-5.623%-
Last 30 away (17)29.133.562.6-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)30.530.661.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)29.827.657.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.335.964.2-7.612%-
vs Similar (12)28.032.060.0-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)34.023.557.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New England Noreasters
#663
W
48-6
48
6
+42
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Wagner
#167
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A22/01
NCAA
58.4Avg total
32.4Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.330.760.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.628.359.9+3.473%-
Last 30 away (19)27.932.160.1-4.232%-
Last 10 (10)32.426.058.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)23.136.759.9-13.614%-
vs Similar (19)30.730.961.6-0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)28.527.055.5+1.5100%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Connecticut State wins
5
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
11/02/22Merrimack Warriors v Central Connecticut State57-60
08/01/22Central Connecticut State v Merrimack Warriors57-66
13/02/21Central Connecticut State v Merrimack Warriors52-72
12/02/21Central Connecticut State v Merrimack Warriors46-62
28/02/20Merrimack Warriors v Central Connecticut State69-58
11/01/20Central Connecticut State v Merrimack Warriors46-58
Central Connecticut Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ALIU Sharks58-42
21/01/23AWagner50-72
14/01/23HFairleigh Dickinson80-88
07/01/23AStonehill49-51
06/01/23HLIU Sharks78-59
31/12/22HSt. Francis Brooklyn74-52
30/12/22ASt. Francis (PA)72-80
23/12/22ASaint Josephs Hawks66-83
21/12/22HArmy55-66
17/12/22AManhattan78-67
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ASt. Francis Brooklyn63-55
17/01/23HWagner57-62
14/01/23AStonehill59-47
07/01/23HSt. Francis Brooklyn65-53
06/01/23HSacred Heart55-59
31/12/22AWagner58-48
30/12/22AFairleigh Dickinson63-71
18/12/22ABucknell55-61
11/12/22HMaine Black Bears47-50
10/12/22HNew England Noreasters82-23

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW24%
HomeWLWWL33%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %24%33%17%
Points / game64.263.964.4
Allowed / game69.663.074.5
Point differential-5.4+0.9-10.1
Avg total133.8126.9138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW29%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLLWWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %29%38%23%
Points / game57.358.456.6
Allowed / game62.653.668.2
Point differential-5.3+4.8-11.5
Avg total119.9112.0124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner1911858%64.562.1+2.4
2 Fairleigh Dickinson22121055%78.275.9+2.3
3 Stonehill2391439%67.071.3-4.3
4 St. Francis (PA)2181338%71.973.0-1.1
5 Central Connecticut State2151624%64.269.6-5.4
6 Chicago State2251723%67.073.6-6.6
7 LIU Sharks2021810%67.081.2-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac2014670%72.267.0+5.1
2 Iona1913668%76.467.4+9.0
3 Siena2013765%69.967.3+2.5
4 Niagara1910953%64.564.6-0.2
5 Rider189950%69.267.9+1.3
6 Sacred Heart22111150%70.671.8-1.2
7 Fairfield1991047%64.763.9+0.8
8 St. Peters2081240%61.564.2-2.6
9 Marist1871139%62.765.6-2.9
10 Mount St. Mary's2071335%62.164.2-2.1
11 Manhattan1861233%68.371.7-3.4
12 Merrimack Warriors2161529%57.362.6-5.3
13 Canisius1951426%69.573.7-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Connecticut State322961
Merrimack Warriors323264
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