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Merrimack Warriors vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-63
39-30 35-33
Position#66
Record4-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#105
Record5-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Fairfield
06 Dec 2026
MERR v FAIR
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
MERR74
FAIR63
03 Jan 2025
MERR67
FAIR54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
33-37
22-39
35-56
31-34
31-42
48-34
43-45
34-27
38-38
17-44
28-36
30-35
35-42
30-43
28-35
42-36
24-24
37-33
31-33
140.1Avg total
65.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.075.1140.1-10.140%
Season at home (3)68.768.7137.3+0.067%
Season away (7)63.477.9141.3-14.429%
Last 10 (10)65.075.1140.1-10.140%
Last 5 (5)60.472.2132.6-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)66.467.2133.6-0.747%
vs Weaker (9)69.461.8131.2+7.789%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#240
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A04/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A08/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A11/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
73-71 OT
73
71
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
77-106
77
106
-29
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
29-32
37-37
31-39
34-29
40-24
28-35
31-47
30-27
35-38
40-32
45-50
56-38
41-45
29-46
48-60
35-45
37-23
26-31
40-39
149.1Avg total
72.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.676.8151.3-2.256%
Season at home (4)76.881.8158.5-5.075%
Season away (5)72.872.8145.6+0.040%
Last 10 (10)72.976.2149.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)79.481.8161.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.272.9137.1-8.727%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.477.6151.0-4.250%
vs Weaker (7)72.171.1143.3+1.057%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -6.2-6.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -6.2-6.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
Merrimack WarriorsFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
32.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.164.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.329.861.1+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)33.634.367.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.368.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.269.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.331.662.9-0.342%-
vs Weaker (9)36.930.467.3+6.478%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#240
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H27/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/12
NCAA
70.3Avg total
34.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.434.667.0-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.434.667.0-2.238%-
Last 30 away (17)32.534.667.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.970.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.435.665.0-6.213%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.233.470.6+3.962%-
vs Weaker (7)33.433.967.3-0.443%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Fairfield wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HRider68-66
30/11/25ALa Salle66-60
29/11/25AHofstra58-78
28/11/25APenn65-77
22/11/25AFlorida45-80
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
15/11/25ABoston University91-79
12/11/25ATarleton62-76
07/11/25AAuburn57-95
04/11/25HSouth Dakota St.66-75
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AManhattan66-70
30/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats72-68
27/11/25HColumbia77-106
22/11/25ALe Moyne97-83
16/11/25HLoyola Maryland85-82
15/11/25HStonehill73-71 OT
11/11/25ASeton Hall59-82
08/11/25ANJIT74-53
04/11/25APenn State68-76
12/03/25ASacred Heart58-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%67%29%
Points / game65.068.763.4
Allowed / game75.168.777.9
Point differential-10.1+0.0-14.4
Avg total140.1137.3141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game74.676.872.8
Allowed / game76.881.872.8
Point differential-2.2-5.0+0.0
Avg total151.3158.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena108280%70.162.3+7.8
2 Marist75271%71.759.3+12.4
3 Quinnipiac96367%80.775.2+5.4
4 Iona96367%83.279.9+3.3
5 Fairfield95456%74.676.8-2.2
6 Manhattan94544%82.285.1-2.9
7 Canisius94544%61.770.1-8.4
8 St. Peters73443%67.475.6-8.1
9 Merrimack Warriors104640%65.075.1-10.1
10 Sacred Heart83538%79.882.1-2.4
11 Niagara82625%62.275.8-13.5
12 Mount St. Mary's102820%67.079.8-12.8
13 Rider71614%61.978.3-16.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors393574
Fairfield303363
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