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Merrimack Warriors vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-54
38-24 29-30
Position#164
Record5-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#307
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Fairfield
06 Dec 2026
MERR v FAIR
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
MERR74
FAIR63
03 Jan 2025
MERR67
FAIR54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
39-78
39
78
-39
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
33-37
31-37
8-41
35-32
39-49
36-37
38-39
43-32
29-36
20-27
40-25
40-21
40-41
29-21
35-40
30-39
38-35
26-32
42-41
136.1Avg total
66.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)63.567.8131.3-4.238%
Season at home (4)65.064.0129.0+1.050%
Season away (9)62.969.4132.3-6.633%
Last 10 (10)66.269.9136.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)68.064.4132.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%
vs Similar (17)64.466.3130.7-1.941%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.560.7133.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
John Jay
#609
W
93-44
93
44
+49
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H01/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H19/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-29
42-15
21-33
40-34
26-46
40-45
37-35
30-31
30-32
48-42
39-34
39-41
39-49
55-52
30-30
33-34
33-43
41-45
41-32
31-53
150.1Avg total
74.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.075.1146.1-4.138%
Season at home (6)73.269.2142.3+4.050%
Season away (7)69.180.1149.3-11.029%
Last 10 (10)74.675.5150.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.282.6158.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.575.2138.8-11.825%
vs Similar (8)75.077.9152.9-2.950%
vs Weaker (12)76.269.8146.1+6.475%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
Merrimack WarriorsFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A08/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
32.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.230.362.5+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.229.262.5+4.069%-
Last 30 away (17)31.531.162.5+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)32.031.563.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.028.057.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.734.062.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (17)32.130.562.6+1.659%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.528.762.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
John Jay
#609
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H05/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia
#260
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A28/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.169.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.632.465.0+0.341%-
Last 30 away (13)35.938.774.6-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.371.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.535.664.1-7.112%-
vs Similar (8)36.135.871.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)34.834.369.2+0.550%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
0
Fairfield wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-73
18/12/24AStanford68-74
14/12/24HBoston University64-61
08/12/24ANiagara80-62
07/12/24ACanisius60-52
29/11/24ATroy72-68
27/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners74-76
25/11/24AUMass Lowell74-81
23/11/24AButler39-78
21/11/24ARutgers63-74
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AColumbia72-85
21/12/24AMonmouth74-88
19/12/24HCentral Connecticut State63-64
08/12/24AMount St. Mary's94-101
05/12/24HRider78-75
01/12/24HFairleigh Dickinson78-74
24/11/24AVermont67-66
23/11/24HYale66-91
20/11/24HDrexel61-67
16/11/24HJohn Jay93-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %38%50%33%
Points / game63.565.062.9
Allowed / game67.864.069.4
Point differential-4.2+1.0-6.6
Avg total131.3129.0132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game71.073.269.1
Allowed / game75.169.280.1
Point differential-4.1+4.0-11.0
Avg total146.1142.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist119282%71.167.2+3.9
2 Mount St. Mary's148657%71.275.0-3.8
3 Manhattan116555%75.576.5-1.0
4 St. Peters105550%71.966.6+5.3
5 Niagara136746%68.571.1-2.5
6 Quinnipiac136746%71.473.9-2.5
7 Siena136746%67.670.8-3.2
8 Sacred Heart135838%74.275.2-0.9
9 Fairfield135838%71.075.1-4.1
10 Merrimack Warriors135838%63.567.8-4.2
11 Iona134931%66.673.4-6.8
12 Rider134931%63.673.4-9.8
13 Canisius130130%61.680.5-18.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors382967
Fairfield243054
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