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Fenerbahce vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 93-79
26-20 17-18 23-14 27-27
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game85.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 13· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Manisa
27 Dec 2025
FEN93
MAI79
15 Mar 2025
FEN77
MAI73
16 Mar 2024
FEN98
MAI82
05 Mar 2023
FEN92
MAI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
99-87
99
87
+12
97avg 82
A21/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 82
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
66-64
66
64
+2
56avg 82
H25/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
87-64
87
64
+23
79avg 82
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#10
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 82
A12/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
92avg 82
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 82
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 82
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 82
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
32-28
19-29
24-19
23-21
18-24
26-19
25-20
15-17
15-14
20-16
16-17
14-20
24-18
25-17
24-9
14-21
24-25
22-23
32-17
27-15
20-24
22-28
14-16
16-17
21-24
20-9
20-31
19-11
21-21
16-23
31-17
29-25
16-28
11-22
17-24
17-13
18-20
18-19
19-19
164.4Avg total
84.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.081.8170.8+7.283%
Season at home (6)94.084.2178.2+9.8100%
Season away (6)84.079.5163.5+4.567%
Last 10 (10)84.280.2164.4+4.080%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)81.482.1163.4-0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.177.6163.7+8.587%
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
75-95
75
95
-20
66avg 78
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
69-84
69
84
-15
67avg 78
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 78
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
55avg 78
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 78
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 78
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 78
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 78
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 78
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 78
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
20-25
12-28
22-21
20-19
18-17
9-26
22-22
23-24
20-21
20-16
25-18
15-25
19-30
17-34
21-15
26-26
22-30
16-18
18-19
21-20
24-16
15-14
20-19
19-17
25-15
12-25
9-22
26-20
19-21
15-22
10-14
21-14
12-16
8-29
21-21
22-25
29-25
17-23
20-15
162.8Avg total
76.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.885.0161.8-8.225%
Season at home (6)80.789.2169.8-8.517%
Season away (6)72.880.8153.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)76.486.4162.8-10.020%
Last 5 (5)75.681.8157.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.889.7168.5-10.98%
vs Similar (15)88.387.3175.5+1.053%
vs Weaker (2)98.079.0177.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
FenerbahceManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A21/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H25/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A12/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/12
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
40.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.480.9+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.478.6+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)40.843.183.8-2.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.780.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)37.340.377.6-3.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.340.984.2+2.360%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.9Avg total
42.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.889.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.846.292.1-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)42.643.185.7-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.784.9-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.245.387.5-3.138%-
vs Similar (15)44.944.589.5+0.447%-
vs Weaker (2)53.043.596.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.1%
54.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.4%
35.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
76.0%16.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.4
47.5%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.35.8
26.0%
35.6%17.4
🏀 Free throws27.119.2
70.8%
76.0%19.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWLWWWWWW
Manisa
LLLLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+5.1
Net rating
-13.4
112.3
Offensive rating
101.2
107.1
Defensive rating
114.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
44.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
37.4%
3-point %
26.0%
56.8%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 101.2Defence107.1 · 114.6Shooting53.3% · 44.5%3-point %37.4% · 26.0%Ball care20.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds37.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
0
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Fenerbahce v Manisa77-73
10/11/24Manisa v Fenerbahce82-90
16/03/24Fenerbahce v Manisa98-82
19/11/23Manisa v Fenerbahce69-82
05/03/23Fenerbahce v Manisa92-78
22/10/22Manisa v Fenerbahce58-93
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HBarcelona72-71
20/12/25ATrabzonspor73-99
18/12/25AOlimpia Milano87-72
16/12/25HPanathinaikos77-81
14/12/25HAnadolu Efes97-94 OT
12/12/25AMonaco92-86
07/12/25AMerkezefendi87-64
25/11/25HVirtus Bologna66-64
23/11/25HBursaspor92-84
21/11/25APartizan99-87
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HPetkim Spor101-104 OT
13/12/25ATofas62-80
06/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.70-77
22/11/25ABesiktas65-79
15/11/25AKarsiyaka80-69
09/11/25HTrabzonspor82-93
03/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-104
25/10/25HMerkezefendi88-79
18/10/25ABursaspor69-84
13/10/25HEsenler Erokspor75-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.094.084.0
Allowed / game81.884.279.5
Point differential+7.2+9.8+4.5
Avg total170.8178.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game76.880.772.8
Allowed / game85.089.280.8
Point differential-8.2-8.5-8.0
Avg total161.8169.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas12120100%87.776.0+11.7
2 Fenerbahce1210283%89.081.8+7.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1310377%83.179.9+3.2
4 Turk Telekom128467%87.778.8+8.9
5 Anadolu Efes127558%88.381.1+7.2
6 Trabzonspor127558%85.882.0+3.8
7 Galatasaray127558%87.184.8+2.2
8 Tofas137654%82.378.9+3.4
9 Esenler Erokspor126650%80.276.9+3.3
10 Petkim Spor125742%82.687.3-4.8
11 Bursaspor125742%78.883.9-5.1
12 Merkezefendi124833%77.083.1-6.1
13 Mersin SK123925%82.686.6-4.0
14 Manisa123925%76.885.0-8.2
15 Karsiyaka1221017%75.688.0-12.4
16 Buyukcekmece121118%78.689.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2617232793
Manisa2018142779
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