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Tofas vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 80-62
14-21 16-12 29-8 21-21
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.9
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#11
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 11· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Manisa
13 Dec 2025
TOF80
MAI62
29 Mar 2025
TOF98
MAI106
22 Oct 2023
TOF77
MAI89
15 Oct 2022
TOF90
MAI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 81
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
94avg 81
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
70-92
70
92
-22
64avg 81
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
92avg 81
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 81
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 81
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 81
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 81
A09/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-22
22-19
21-23
22-15
24-15
21-21
24-19
12-20
16-20
23-16
13-25
18-19
15-20
18-26
19-27
20-21
23-20
26-13
15-16
22-18
16-21
10-20
22-21
17-16
18-22
13-24
24-16
22-22
25-25
12-13
27-19
19-26
24-20
24-21
20-25
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
159.3Avg total
78.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.680.9163.5+1.750%
Season at home (5)85.274.0159.2+11.2100%
Season away (5)80.087.8167.8-7.80%
Last 10 (10)78.580.8159.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)79.282.2161.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.983.8164.6-2.950%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.587.5171.1-4.027%
vs Weaker (7)92.980.6173.4+12.386%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 79
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
89-69
89
69
+20
88avg 79
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
75-95
75
95
-20
66avg 79
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
69-84
69
84
-15
67avg 79
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
55avg 79
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 79
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 79
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 79
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 79
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
15-22
21-24
18-22
25-17
19-16
21-20
24-16
21-21
20-25
12-28
22-21
20-19
18-17
9-26
22-22
23-24
20-21
20-16
25-18
15-25
19-30
17-34
21-15
26-26
22-30
16-18
18-19
21-20
24-16
15-14
20-19
19-17
25-15
12-25
9-22
26-20
19-21
15-22
10-14
159.4Avg total
75.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.883.6159.4-7.830%
Season at home (5)76.686.2162.8-9.620%
Season away (5)75.081.0156.0-6.040%
Last 10 (10)75.883.6159.4-7.830%
Last 5 (5)73.884.4158.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.489.8168.1-11.47%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.386.5175.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (3)94.084.7178.7+9.367%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
TofasManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H28/10
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
79.6Avg total
39.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.685.9+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.641.387.9+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.983.6-0.329%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.479.6-1.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.541.184.6+2.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.042.285.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker (7)47.940.988.7+7.086%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.2Avg total
41.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.189.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.946.090.9-1.131%-
Last 30 away (14)43.244.087.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.183.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.087.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.245.187.3-2.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.445.290.6+0.238%-
vs Weaker (3)47.344.391.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.9
54.2%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
35.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
76.0%13.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.3
26.1%
35.6%15.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.7
75.2%
76.0%19.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLLWLLWL
Manisa
LLWLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#11
-3.4
Net rating
-10.6
105.9
Offensive rating
101.5
109.3
Defensive rating
112.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
45.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.44
33.5%
3-point %
26.1%
73.1%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 101.5Defence109.3 · 112.0Shooting52.6% · 45.8%3-point %33.5% · 26.1%Ball care18.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tofas   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
4
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Tofas v Manisa98-106
29/11/24Manisa v Tofas106-109 OT
04/02/24Manisa v Tofas91-89
22/10/23Tofas v Manisa77-89
04/02/23Manisa v Tofas82-76
15/10/22Tofas v Manisa90-69
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82
05/12/25ATrabzonspor87-92
23/11/25HAnadolu Efes86-79
16/11/25AMerkezefendi72-78
11/11/25ATenerife70-80
08/11/25HBursaspor84-70
31/10/25AEsenler Erokspor70-92
28/10/25HTenerife64-81
25/10/25HBuyukcekmece91-70
19/10/25AMersin SK80-84
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.70-77
22/11/25ABesiktas65-79
15/11/25AKarsiyaka80-69
09/11/25HTrabzonspor82-93
03/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-104
25/10/25HMerkezefendi88-79
18/10/25ABursaspor69-84
13/10/25HEsenler Erokspor75-95
05/10/25ABuyukcekmece89-69
28/09/25HMersin SK68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.685.280.0
Allowed / game80.974.087.8
Point differential+1.7+11.2-7.8
Avg total163.5159.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game75.876.675.0
Allowed / game83.686.281.0
Point differential-7.8-9.6-6.0
Avg total159.4162.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas10100100%88.475.2+13.2
2 Fenerbahce109190%89.878.9+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.109190%83.678.1+5.5
4 Turk Telekom117464%87.277.8+9.4
5 Galatasaray117464%87.484.2+3.2
6 Anadolu Efes106460%87.479.2+8.2
7 Tofas105550%82.680.9+1.7
8 Trabzonspor105550%82.582.0+0.5
9 Esenler Erokspor104640%78.977.5+1.4
10 Petkim Spor104640%79.684.2-4.6
11 Merkezefendi114736%75.982.2-6.3
12 Bursaspor114736%77.083.5-6.5
13 Mersin SK103730%82.085.2-3.2
14 Manisa103730%75.883.6-7.8
15 Buyukcekmece101910%79.590.0-10.5
16 Karsiyaka101910%74.989.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1416292180
Manisa211282162
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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