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Mersin SK vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 79-58
19-14 24-17 16-12 20-15
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#4
Record10-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game83.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 12· Mersin Universitesi Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mersin SK v Tofas
19 Oct 2025
MES84
TOF80
12 Feb 2025
MES101
TOF95
28 Dec 2024
MES79
TOF58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
81-107
81
107
-26
73avg 75
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 75
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
64avg 75
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
72avg 75
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 75
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
57avg 75
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
97-96
97
96
+1
94avg 75
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
95-73
95
73
+22
97avg 75
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
60-93
60
93
-33
48avg 75
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
23-12
16-14
14-15
22-29
26-26
15-29
18-23
29-28
24-17
20-27
24-16
19-17
8-14
20-16
19-25
20-24
13-27
22-20
21-23
22-26
15-27
22-23
23-25
16-27
19-25
16-20
18-26
18-23
25-21
26-27
28-25
22-19
17-22
28-23
28-9
12-21
12-14
15-26
21-32
166.9Avg total
79.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.685.8164.5-7.245%
Season at home (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Season away (6)76.889.0165.8-12.233%
Last 10 (10)79.087.9166.9-8.940%
Last 5 (5)80.692.2172.8-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.083.6158.6-8.612%
vs Similar (16)79.981.6161.5-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)81.375.7157.0+5.783%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
93-61
93
61
+32
97avg 85
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 85
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 85
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
107-99
107
99
+8
102avg 85
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
100avg 85
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
77avg 85
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
98avg 85
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 85
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 85
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
18-26
23-12
24-10
21-15
25-21
20-22
21-20
24-21
29-22
24-23
20-26
28-22
21-22
26-24
32-31
25-23
17-21
17-24
30-21
21-20
27-18
24-21
24-24
18-17
21-23
20-14
18-16
29-20
29-19
20-23
17-25
21-24
19-26
26-24
22-16
25-21
21-19
20-17
27-25
179.0Avg total
94.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.383.5174.7+7.891%
Season at home (6)93.883.8177.7+10.0100%
Season away (5)88.283.0171.2+5.280%
Last 10 (10)94.284.8179.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)89.882.4172.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.384.0169.3+1.357%
vs Similar (15)92.089.6181.6+2.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.674.9165.5+15.8100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Mersin SKTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.1Avg total
37.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.779.8-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.542.084.5+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)36.139.675.8-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.581.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.080.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.541.177.6-4.638%-
vs Similar (16)39.641.981.4-2.338%-
vs Weaker (6)41.337.278.5+4.267%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.0Avg total
46.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.887.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.543.489.9+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.642.185.7+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.388.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.487.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.343.185.4-0.957%-
vs Similar (15)46.144.390.4+1.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.539.585.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.125.3
64.7%
54.1%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.6
36.9%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
76.0%18.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mersin SK wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AYalovaspor60-93
14/12/24HTurk Telekom95-73
07/12/24ABuyukcekmece97-96
01/12/24HFenerbahce69-98
16/11/24AGalatasaray82-101
10/11/24HAnadolu Efes76-94
02/11/24ABesiktas66-72
27/10/24HManisa97-88
20/10/24AKarsiyaka81-107
13/10/24HPetkim Spor67-57
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HTurk Telekom93-82
14/12/24AFenerbahce88-90
11/12/24AFC Porto95-87
08/12/24HAnadolu Efes77-70
04/12/24HMaroussi96-83
29/11/24AManisa109-106 OT
17/11/24HPetkim Spor107-99
13/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig97-92
09/11/24ADarussafaka87-78
06/11/24HAEK Larnaca93-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game78.680.876.8
Allowed / game85.882.089.0
Point differential-7.2-1.2-12.2
Avg total164.5162.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game91.393.888.2
Allowed / game83.583.883.0
Point differential+7.8+10.0+5.2
Avg total174.7177.7171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1110191%89.479.0+10.4
2 Tofas1110191%91.383.5+7.8
3 Anadolu Efes119282%88.674.9+13.7
4 Karsiyaka118373%91.382.5+8.8
5 Galatasaray118373%86.379.3+7.0
6 Besiktas118373%87.581.3+6.3
7 Bahcesehir Kol.127558%80.878.8+2.0
8 Bursaspor116555%83.386.9-3.6
9 Mersin SK115645%78.685.8-7.2
10 Petkim Spor114736%81.582.6-1.2
11 Turk Telekom124833%80.082.2-2.2
12 Buyukcekmece112918%82.285.1-2.9
13 Manisa112918%82.088.5-6.5
14 Yalovaspor112918%75.484.9-9.5
15 Merkezefendi112918%75.886.5-10.7
16 Darussafaka112918%80.892.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK1924162079
Tofas1417121558
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