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Fenerbahce vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-88
24-21 26-19 24-26 16-22
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#4
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game82.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 10· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Tofas
01 Nov 2026
FEN88
TOF77
18 Jan 2026
FEN90
TOF82
14 Dec 2024
FEN90
TOF88
03 Mar 2024
FEN109
TOF77
27 May 2023
FEN93
TOF78
20 Nov 2022
FEN82
TOF68
19 Dec 2021
FEN82
TOF72
10 Feb 2021
FEN81
TOF84
15 Mar 2020
FEN84
TOF75
24 Mar 2019
FEN89
TOF56
13 Jun 2018
FEN94
TOF64
07 Jun 2018
FEN86
TOF78
05 Jun 2018
FEN103
TOF63
02 May 2018
FEN98
TOF78
24 May 2017
FEN92
TOF76
02 Apr 2017
FEN90
TOF75
01 Oct 2013
FEN87
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 84
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 84
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
77avg 84
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 84
A20/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 84
H29/11
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#6
W
98-69
98
69
+29
98avg 84
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#14
L
76-88
76
88
-12
63avg 84
A03/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 84
A05/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 84
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
69-99
69
99
-30
55avg 84
H12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
22-9
32-28
20-18
17-21
26-5
9-21
20-18
21-21
28-14
18-15
19-22
23-22
14-16
19-23
30-21
19-24
18-17
26-25
22-25
27-16
25-19
20-16
26-18
12-26
13-19
22-18
29-25
12-20
25-11
23-16
22-23
19-20
24-10
24-23
18-20
19-17
19-26
16-29
15-27
161.1Avg total
82.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.179.0169.1+11.189%
Season at home (4)86.077.5163.5+8.575%
Season away (5)93.480.2173.6+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)82.678.5161.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)78.077.4155.4+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.978.2164.0+7.781%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#34
W
99-96
99
96
+3
100avg 85
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
94-71
94
71
+23
93avg 85
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
93-61
93
61
+32
97avg 85
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 85
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 85
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
107-99
107
99
+8
102avg 85
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
100avg 85
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
77avg 85
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
98avg 85
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-25
29-24
26-21
18-22
26-17
23-13
27-19
28-13
18-26
23-12
24-10
21-15
25-21
20-22
21-20
24-21
29-22
24-23
20-26
28-22
21-22
26-24
32-31
25-23
17-21
17-24
30-21
21-20
27-18
24-21
24-24
18-17
21-23
20-14
18-16
29-20
29-19
20-23
17-25
179.7Avg total
95.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.482.9174.3+8.6100%
Season at home (5)94.084.2178.2+9.8100%
Season away (4)88.281.2169.5+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.484.3179.7+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)96.889.0185.8+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)83.682.6166.1+1.057%
vs Similar (15)91.389.9181.3+1.467%
vs Weaker (8)90.674.9165.5+15.8100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
FenerbahceTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/11
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#14
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A03/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
75.0Avg total
39.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.377.9+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.837.476.2+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.379.6+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.475.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.037.176.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.037.378.4+3.762%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#34
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
88.2Avg total
46.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.787.6+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.443.690.0+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.885.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)46.941.388.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.088.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.042.185.1+0.971%-
vs Similar (15)45.444.790.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker (8)45.539.585.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.6%
54.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.9
80.1%
76.0%12.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.125.3
64.7%
54.2%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.6
36.9%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
76.0%18.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWLWLWWWW
Tofas
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+1.0
Net rating
+14.3
110.3
Offensive rating
122.5
109.4
Defensive rating
108.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
61.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.1%
3-point %
36.9%
55.0%
Assist %
74.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 122.5Defence109.4 · 108.2Shooting51.5% · 61.2%3-point %35.1% · 36.9%Ball care17.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Fenerbahce v Tofas109-77
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
19/12/21Fenerbahce v Tofas82-72
10/02/21Fenerbahce v Tofas81-84
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HMonaco69-99
08/12/24ATurk Telekom85-73
05/12/24AReal Madrid82-70
03/12/24ABaskonia76-88
01/12/24AMersin SK98-69
29/11/24HOlimpia Milano85-91
20/11/24AVirtus Bologna86-82
17/11/24HAnadolu Efes86-72
15/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas72-65
12/11/24HBayern87-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AFC Porto95-87
08/12/24HAnadolu Efes77-70
04/12/24HMaroussi96-83
29/11/24AManisa109-106 OT
17/11/24HPetkim Spor107-99
13/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig97-92
09/11/24ADarussafaka87-78
06/11/24HAEK Larnaca93-61
03/11/24HBursaspor94-71
30/10/24AKeravnos99-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game90.186.093.4
Allowed / game79.077.580.2
Point differential+11.1+8.5+13.2
Avg total169.1163.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%20%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.494.088.2
Allowed / game82.984.281.2
Point differential+8.6+9.8+7.0
Avg total174.3178.2169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tofas990100%91.482.9+8.6
2 Fenerbahce98189%90.179.0+11.1
3 Anadolu Efes97278%87.375.7+11.7
4 Karsiyaka107370%90.181.6+8.5
5 Galatasaray107370%84.979.0+5.9
6 Besiktas96367%87.182.0+5.1
7 Bahcesehir Kol.96367%82.379.1+3.2
8 Bursaspor105550%82.987.2-4.3
9 Mersin SK105550%80.585.1-4.6
10 Turk Telekom104640%81.981.4+0.5
11 Petkim Spor104640%81.682.1-0.5
12 Merkezefendi92722%77.386.2-8.9
13 Darussafaka92722%81.292.3-11.1
14 Buyukcekmece91811%81.787.1-5.4
15 Manisa91811%81.288.4-7.2
16 Yalovaspor91811%74.687.7-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2426241690
Tofas2119262288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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