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Mestre vs Rimini Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game71.8
ItalySerie A2Round 35· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mestre v Rimini
10 Apr 2027
MEST v RIMI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
MEST73
RIMI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 62
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 62
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 62
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 62
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 62
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 62
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 62
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
152.8Avg total
75.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.076.4151.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (4)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.777.1152.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.683.3157.9-8.629%
vs Similar (14)78.477.9156.3+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 76
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
84-59
84
59
+25
79avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
21avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
62avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
99avg 76
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
84-67
84
67
+17
97avg 76
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
96-73
96
73
+23
96avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
28-16
17-15
14-22
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
20-16
26-23
29-17
16-20
22-20
28-16
16-14
18-17
32-25
28-14
10-14
26-20
24-16
25-12
17-22
19-21
23-24
14-18
22-12
17-14
24-21
21-15
12-21
13-24
152.8Avg total
79.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.471.8152.2+8.767%
Season at home (4)83.872.5156.2+11.275%
Season away (5)77.871.2149.0+6.660%
Last 10 (10)79.972.9152.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)82.272.0154.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)80.881.3162.1-0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.674.6162.2+13.090%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
MestreRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.442.880.2-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/11
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
44.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.485.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.387.4+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.582.8+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.181.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.284.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)42.641.884.4+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.840.786.5+5.160%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
71.0%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWWLWLLLWL
Rimini
LWWWWWLLWL
#13
League position
#5
-7.9
Net rating
+6.2
90.1
Offensive rating
101.1
98.0
Defensive rating
94.9
45.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
9.7%
Turnover %
9.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.1%
3-point %
37.0%
43.6%
Assist %
51.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 101.1Defence98.0 · 94.9Shooting45.6% · 52.3%3-point %31.1% · 37.0%Ball care9.7% · 9.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
3
Rimini wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Rimini v Mestre91-76
05/04/26Rimini v Mestre95-81
12/10/25Mestre v Rimini73-92
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AForli70-81
08/11/26HVigevano76-68
30/10/26AUrania Milano85-71
25/10/26HSebastiani Rieti96-73
21/10/26ASassari84-67
18/10/26HMestre91-76
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59
14/06/26HVerona75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.073.077.5
Allowed / game76.478.074.5
Point differential-1.4-5.0+3.0
Avg total151.4151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game80.483.877.8
Allowed / game71.872.571.2
Point differential+8.7+11.2+6.6
Avg total152.2156.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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