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Mestre vs Rimini Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-92
16-33 17-19 28-24 12-16
Position#15
Record3-1
FormLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.5
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Rimini
10 Apr 2027
MEST v RIMI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
MEST73
RIMI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 59
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 59
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 59
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 59
A08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
156.8Avg total
79.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.877.0156.8+2.875%
Season at home (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)70.073.5143.5-3.550%
Last 10 (4)79.877.0156.8+2.875%
Last 5 (4)79.877.0156.8+2.875%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
vs Similar (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
73avg 73
H27/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 73
A30/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
76-64
76
64
+12
67avg 73
A01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
70avg 73
H08/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 73
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 73
A13/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
79avg 73
A20/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 73
H28/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 73
A05/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
79-93
79
93
-14
71avg 73
H08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
29-15
18-20
17-12
16-27
26-14
21-28
15-18
19-17
23-16
17-14
17-17
19-15
20-21
18-23
25-27
23-19
14-11
21-19
8-25
19-18
17-18
25-15
19-34
20-20
24-13
23-14
15-26
20-20
23-23
18-23
14-11
19-22
29-10
22-24
14-15
19-21
22-30
22-15
16-27
157.3Avg total
78.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.078.5158.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Season away (2)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.578.8157.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.079.8159.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
vs Similar (23)79.177.4156.5+1.752%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.077.5158.5+3.567%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
MestreRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
40.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)40.239.880.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (2)46.046.592.5-0.550%-
Last 30 away (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
Last 10 (4)40.239.880.0+0.550%-
Last 5 (4)40.239.880.0+0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (2)46.046.592.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H27/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A20/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H28/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/10
Serie A2
80.1Avg total
42.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.479.2+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.235.376.5+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.180.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.081.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.043.087.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (23)41.037.278.2+3.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.837.282.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.8
55.0%
50.8%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.08.5
44.7%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.210.0
70.2%
74.4%10.0
They take 51.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.7
52.2%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.1
68.9%
74.4%13.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WWWL
Rimini
LWLWLLLWLW
#15
League position
#8
+12.0
Net rating
-0.8
117.8
Offensive rating
103.1
105.7
Defensive rating
103.9
59.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.7%
3-point %
30.9%
39.0%
Assist %
62.5%
75%
Form (last 4/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 103.1Defence105.7 · 103.9Shooting59.5% · 49.6%3-point %44.7% · 30.9%Ball care15.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds22.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 4/10)75% · 40%
■ Mestre   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
0
Rimini wins
No previous meetings.
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HBlu Basket Bergamo79-93
05/10/25AJuVi Cremona84-71
28/09/25HSebastiani Rieti75-77
20/09/25AUrania Milano82-73
13/06/25ACantu80-85
10/06/25HCantu66-74
08/06/25HCantu82-86
01/06/25AForli76-64
30/05/25AForli78-87
27/05/25HForli83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.889.570.0
Allowed / game77.080.573.5
Point differential+2.8+9.0-3.5
Avg total156.8170.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.077.083.0
Allowed / game78.585.072.0
Point differential+1.5-8.0+11.0
Avg total158.5162.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi54180%80.063.4+16.6
2 Fortitudo Bologna43175%91.282.8+8.5
3 Libertas Livorno43175%75.867.5+8.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.870.5+7.2
5 Verona43175%78.573.2+5.2
6 Mestre43175%79.877.0+2.8
7 Blu Basket Bergamo32167%89.385.0+4.3
8 Pesaro32167%79.076.3+2.7
9 Pistoia53260%80.882.0-1.2
10 Rimini42250%80.078.5+1.5
11 Basket Torino42250%77.576.5+1.0
12 Scafati42250%78.279.8-1.5
13 Cento42250%74.076.0-2.0
14 Avellino Basket52340%75.076.6-1.6
15 JuVi Cremona52340%73.881.6-7.8
16 Cividale41325%75.278.8-3.5
17 Urania Milano41325%84.591.0-6.5
18 Forli41325%73.081.0-8.0
19 Roseto51420%86.291.2-5.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia5050%69.885.4-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre1617281273
Rimini3319241692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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