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Mestre vs Urania Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record5-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#19
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game82.7
ItalySerie A2Round 18· Palasport Taliercio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mestre v Urania Milano
30 Dec 2026
MEST v URAN
upcoming
27 Feb 2026
MEST84
URAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 65
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 65
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 65
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 65
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
21-17
24-22
23-15
17-19
152.1Avg total
76.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.076.1152.1-0.150%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (5)79.074.2153.2+4.860%
Last 10 (10)76.076.1152.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)77.873.4151.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.785.7160.3-11.017%
vs Similar (16)78.276.7154.9+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
28avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 73
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
44avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
96avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 73
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
12-20
15-19
22-13
21-29
18-19
21-21
21-15
24-21
21-20
21-36
22-19
19-23
16-13
19-28
18-23
26-19
19-13
24-18
21-22
17-15
12-23
15-17
16-23
16-24
12-25
22-17
21-19
20-25
21-21
14-25
11-12
23-34
26-17
14-16
19-15
21-14
16-13
16-24
12-28
157.3Avg total
74.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.682.7157.3-8.110%
Season at home (5)76.480.4156.8-4.020%
Season away (5)72.885.0157.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)74.682.7157.3-8.110%
Last 5 (5)69.483.6153.0-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
vs Similar (9)83.178.7161.8+4.467%
vs Weaker (1)110.086.0196.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
MestreUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/11
Serie A2
81.9Avg total
40.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.781.9-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.342.581.8-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.381.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.481.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.443.881.2-6.425%-
vs Similar (16)41.640.281.8+1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/11
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
37.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.881.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.680.7+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.782.1-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.678.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.040.879.8-1.835%-
vs Similar (9)43.139.983.0+3.278%-
vs Weaker (1)52.049.0101.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.7
32.6%
34.5%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
71.0%15.7
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WLWWLWLLLW
Urania Milano
LLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#19
-7.9
Net rating
-4.7
90.1
Offensive rating
93.4
98.0
Defensive rating
98.1
45.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
9.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.1%
3-point %
32.6%
43.6%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 93.4Defence98.0 · 98.1Shooting45.6% · 50.2%3-point %31.1% · 32.6%Ball care9.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Mestre   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
2
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Mestre v Urania Milano84-93
06/12/25Urania Milano v Mestre86-85
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AJuVi Cremona85-73
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPistoia65-79
11/11/26AAvellino Basket85-93 OT
07/11/26AFortitudo Bologna66-83
30/10/26HRimini71-85
24/10/26ACividale60-78
21/10/26HJuVi Cremona90-72
17/10/26ALibertas Livorno72-87
10/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-96
04/10/26ABrindisi81-84
27/09/26HSassari68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game76.073.079.0
Allowed / game76.178.074.2
Point differential-0.1-5.0+4.8
Avg total152.1151.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%20%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game74.676.472.8
Allowed / game82.780.485.0
Point differential-8.1-4.0-12.2
Avg total157.3156.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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