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Mestre vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-93
25-24 17-26 21-19 21-24
Position#15
Record12-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#14
Record12-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.1
ItalySerie A2Round 27· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Urania Milano
30 Dec 2026
MEST v URAN
upcoming
27 Feb 2026
MEST84
URAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 66
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 66
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 66
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 66
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
66avg 66
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 66
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 66
H21/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
22-24
15-20
18-14
19-16
26-22
12-17
16-20
19-16
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
157.5Avg total
75.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.580.6158.2-3.143%
Season at home (14)77.981.6159.4-3.750%
Season away (14)77.279.7156.9-2.536%
Last 10 (10)75.881.7157.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)79.680.0159.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.982.4157.3-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.879.6160.4+1.258%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
93avg 69
H28/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
54avg 69
A04/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 69
H10/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
66avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
99-81
99
81
+18
99avg 69
H24/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
76-62
76
62
+14
81avg 69
A01/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 69
H07/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 69
A15/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 69
H22/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
27-23
23-22
27-21
22-31
23-14
17-14
6-14
19-16
21-19
9-21
23-23
17-24
14-18
21-18
14-26
13-21
17-14
25-27
18-21
25-19
26-28
28-20
20-14
16-18
27-14
21-19
12-11
21-23
26-18
21-16
22-23
14-28
28-17
19-13
19-14
23-10
19-15
12-13
19-28
156.1Avg total
79.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.981.1158.9-3.243%
Season at home (14)83.482.0165.4+1.457%
Season away (14)72.380.1152.4-7.929%
Last 10 (10)79.476.7156.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)83.672.2155.8+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.784.2159.9-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.377.1156.4+2.254%
vs Weaker (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
MestreUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
38.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.341.480.7-2.046%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.882.0-1.657%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.4-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.679.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.142.680.8-4.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.340.881.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A21/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H24/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A01/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H22/02
Serie A2
80.7Avg total
41.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.677.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.280.3-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.974.3-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.980.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.083.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.640.176.7-3.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.238.878.0+0.562%-
vs Weaker (1)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.416.0
42.8%
50.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
74.4%14.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.3
51.0%
50.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.0
33.5%
34.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
74.4%13.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
WLLWLWLLLL
Urania Milano
WWWWWLLLLW
#15
League position
#14
-4.0
Net rating
+4.4
93.0
Offensive rating
100.5
97.0
Defensive rating
96.0
45.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
33.5%
53.3%
Assist %
62.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 100.5Defence97.0 · 96.0Shooting45.8% · 50.8%3-point %33.1% · 33.5%Ball care12.1% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Urania Milano v Mestre86-85
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HPistoia90-85
15/02/26ABasket Torino73-75
08/02/26ASebastiani Rieti80-82 OT
31/01/26HScafati81-80
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HLibertas Livorno73-66
15/02/26APistoia80-72
07/02/26HCividale90-80
01/02/26ARoseto76-62
24/01/26HForli99-81
21/01/26AFortitudo Bologna73-83
17/01/26ABrindisi66-86
10/01/26HScafati72-79
04/01/26APesaro68-73
28/12/25HCento97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game77.577.977.2
Allowed / game80.681.679.7
Point differential-3.1-3.7-2.5
Avg total158.2159.4156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW43%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game77.983.472.3
Allowed / game81.182.080.1
Point differential-3.2+1.4-7.9
Avg total158.9165.4152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2921872%82.078.2+3.9
2 Brindisi2819968%78.672.2+6.4
3 Fortitudo Bologna28181064%77.172.6+4.5
4 Libertas Livorno29181162%79.672.8+6.7
5 Scafati29181162%82.177.7+4.3
6 Cividale29181162%77.675.9+1.7
7 Rimini28171161%81.678.0+3.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%78.776.8+2.0
9 Avellino Basket27161159%81.278.5+2.7
10 Verona29171259%77.573.7+3.8
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona29141548%74.977.0-2.1
13 Basket Torino29131645%72.874.1-1.3
14 Mestre28121643%77.580.6-3.1
15 Urania Milano28121643%77.981.1-3.2
16 Cento28101836%78.180.9-2.8
17 Forli2891932%76.480.9-4.5
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia2872125%77.382.7-5.4
20 Roseto2842414%77.885.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2517212184
Urania Milano2426192493
← all games of the day
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