PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· Romazan Sport Palace
Metallurg will host Desna Bryansk on 10 November 2026 in the Super League, and the Pythia model designates Metallurg as the favourite with a 79% chance of winning, reflecting their 2-4 record, 76.2 points scored and 81.2 allowed per game, and a 10th place league position, compared to Desna Bryansk's 1-5 record, 68.8 points scored and 79.2 allowed per game, and a 12th place standing. Metallurg's home form is 1-2 with 78.7 points for and 83.3 against, while Desna Bryansk's road record is 0-2, 65.5 points for and 90.5 against; Metallurg's last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 83-79 victory over Novosibirsk, whereas Desna Bryansk's last five contain one win and four losses, most recently falling 54-81 to CSKA Moscow. The teams have faced each other twice this season, with Metallurg winning the most recent encounter 81-72. Pythia projects a final score of 81-72, a total of 153.4 points, and gives Metallurg a 79% probability of covering the spread, while Desna Bryansk has a 21% chance of winning; the overtime probability stands at 4%. The game will hinge on Metallurg's ability to maintain their offensive output against Desna Bryansk's defensive struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 74.4 | 80.1 | 154.6 | -5.7 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 78.7 | 83.3 | 162.0 | -4.7 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 71.2 | 77.8 | 149.0 | -6.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.3 | 78.9 | 155.2 | -2.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.2 | 79.0 | 156.2 | -1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 75.5 | 86.2 | 161.6 | -10.7 | 9% |
| vs Similar (12) | 69.2 | 75.6 | 144.8 | -6.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 80.7 | 74.9 | 155.6 | +5.9 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 69.4 | 79.3 | 148.7 | -9.9 | 14% |
| Season at home (5) | 71.0 | 74.8 | 145.8 | -3.8 | 20% |
| Season away (2) | 65.5 | 90.5 | 156.0 | -25.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.8 | 81.3 | 151.1 | -11.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.4 | 80.8 | 150.2 | -11.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 65.3 | 86.7 | 152.0 | -21.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 73.5 | 71.5 | 145.0 | +2.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 82.0 | 60.5 | 142.5 | +21.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.6 | 40.2 | 77.8 | -2.5 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 36.7 | 38.5 | 75.2 | -1.8 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.4 | 41.4 | 79.8 | -3.1 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.9 | 38.0 | 77.9 | +1.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 39.8 | 84.6 | +5.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 37.5 | 43.8 | 81.3 | -6.4 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 36.4 | 37.3 | 73.8 | -0.9 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 40.0 | 39.3 | 79.3 | +0.7 | 57% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (13) | 37.5 | 39.3 | 76.8 | -1.8 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 at home (8) | 37.2 | 37.4 | 74.6 | -0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (5) | 38.0 | 42.4 | 80.4 | -4.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 39.9 | 78.0 | -1.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 40.0 | 78.4 | -1.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 37.3 | 44.0 | 81.3 | -6.7 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 36.0 | 30.5 | 66.5 | +5.5 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 40.0 | 27.0 | 67.0 | +13.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Khimki M. | 64-74 |
| 02/11/26 | A | University-Ugra | 76-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Novosibirsk | 83-79 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Barnaul | 74-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Izhevsk | 89-86 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Tambov | 56-73 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 79-93 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Izhevsk | 81-83 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Tambov | 84-90 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Barnaul | 77-55 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Dynamo Grozny | 73-80 |
| 02/11/26 | H | CSKA Moscow 2 | 54-81 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Temp Sumz Revda | 62-88 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Ufa | 69-93 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Rusichi Kursk | 89-62 |
| 05/10/26 | H | Khimki M. | 63-73 |
| 02/10/26 | H | University-Ugra | 76-78 |
| 19/09/25 | H | BC Moscow | 56-95 |
| 18/09/25 | H | Rusichi Kursk | 85-98 |
| 17/09/25 | A | Khimki-Podmoskovie | 71-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 29% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Points / game | 74.4 | 78.7 | 71.2 |
| Allowed / game | 80.1 | 83.3 | 77.8 |
| Point differential | -5.7 | -4.7 | -6.5 |
| Avg total | 154.6 | 162.0 | 149.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 14% |
| Home | LLWLL | 20% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| Points / game | 69.4 | 71.0 | 65.5 |
| Allowed / game | 79.3 | 74.8 | 90.5 |
| Point differential | -9.9 | -3.8 | -25.0 |
| Avg total | 148.7 | 145.8 | 156.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo Grozny | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 83.6 | 72.8 | +10.9 |
| 2 |  Ufa | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 89.1 | 71.4 | +17.7 |
| 3 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.1 | 77.9 | +13.3 |
| 4 |  Chelyabinsk | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.0 | 89.4 | +2.6 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 73.2 | 66.9 | +6.4 |
| 6 |  Khimki M. | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.5 | 75.6 | +6.9 |
| 7 |  Barnaul | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 82.6 | -2.6 |
| 8 |  Novosibirsk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 89.0 | -7.0 |
| 9 |  University-Ugra | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.4 | 81.9 | -8.5 |
| 10 |  Tambov | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.7 | 76.1 | -2.4 |
| 11 | Metallurg | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.4 | 80.1 | -5.7 |
| 12 |  Izhevsk | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.7 | 87.1 | -8.4 |
| 13 | Desna Bryansk | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 69.4 | 79.3 | -9.9 |
| 14 |  Rusichi Kursk | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 70.9 | 84.9 | -14.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallurg | 10 | 20 | 24 | 15 | 69 |
| Desna Bryansk | 20 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 65 |
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