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Mexico City Capitanes vs Texas Legends Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 110-107
Projected total 216.2
Final 107-91
30-24 27-34 25-14 25-19
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game79.0
Vs
59%
41%
■ MEXI 59%■ TEXA 41%
Pythia win probability
Position#26
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mexico City Capitanes v Texas Legends
10 Nov 2026
MEXI97
TEXA93
08 Nov 2026
MEXI107
TEXA91
06 Jan 2026
MEXI122
TEXA109
04 Jan 2026
MEXI118
TEXA113
01 Dec 2025
MEXI119
TEXA105
09 Dec 2024
MEXI100
TEXA97
03 Dec 2024
MEXI92
TEXA108
28 Dec 2023
MEXI111
TEXA112
27 Dec 2023
MEXI120
TEXA114
16 Nov 2022
MEXI114
TEXA127
14 Nov 2022
MEXI120
TEXA97
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Mexico City Capitanes host Texas Legends on 8 November 2026 in the NBA G League, with the Capitanes as the model favourite and a projected 59% chance to win against the Legends' 41% probability. The Capitanes are 1-0 this season, averaging 94.0 points and conceding 79.0, while the Legends are 4-1 in their last five outings and have scored 134-116, 112-106, and 109-106 in recent wins. In the Capitanes' five-game span they have two victories and three defeats, including a 94-79 win over Oklahoma City Blue and losses to Rip City Remix and Austin Toros Spurs. The Legends' five-game stretch features four wins and one loss, highlighted by back-to-back victories over Santa Cruz Warriors and a win over Iowa Wolves. Their head-to-head record stands at 10 meetings with the Capitanes leading 6-4, the most recent contest ending 122-109 in favour of the Capitanes on 6 January 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 110-107, a total of 216.2 points, and a 4% chance of overtime. The Capitanes are expected to cover the home line with a probability that the model does not specify. The game will hinge on the Capitanes' ability to maintain their early season form against a Legends squad that has shown recent offensive potency.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mexico City Capitanes winWon
59.3%fair 1.69
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas Legends winLost
40.7%fair 2.46
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
125-122
125
122
+3
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
109-127
109
127
-18
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
89-131
89
131
-42
A21/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
W
116-105
116
105
+11
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A07/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
29-27
30-22
26-28
24-28
30-27
38-28
33-39
25-31
29-32
29-25
26-39
20-33
29-36
24-31
16-31
25-32
32-31
27-18
32-24
24-27
23-19
36-30
29-23
20-31
21-23
22-26
31-34
19-33
26-32
16-27
25-26
24-38
31-16
26-34
27-25
28-21
16-14
27-22
23-22
216.8Avg total
104.8Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.8112.0216.8-7.250%
Last 5 (5)98.8104.6203.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.0119.0228.0-10.050%
vs Similar (19)112.7111.5224.2+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)112.1108.2220.3+3.978%
This opponent (Texas Legends) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas LegendsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
121-114 OT
121
114
+7
A09/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
L
125-134
125
134
-9
A11/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
119-122
119
122
-3
A13/03
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#15
W
128-106
128
106
+22
H15/03
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#15
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H17/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H18/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
103-110
103
110
-7
H21/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
W
109-106
109
106
+3
H22/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
112-106
112
106
+6
A28/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
134-116
134
116
+18
A29/03
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
29-37
28-32
27-21
37-33
44-26
18-44
26-31
32-33
34-36
18-27
35-26
40-21
22-31
34-22
32-32
23-30
26-22
28-30
39-26
25-39
25-26
25-27
33-12
33-29
21-14
34-30
15-37
33-33
21-21
34-26
21-26
19-31
28-31
32-28
33-16
27-32
38-16
34-43
35-25
230.1Avg total
117.5Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.5112.6230.1+4.970%
Last 5 (5)113.2108.4221.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)110.6114.9225.5-4.333%
vs Similar (13)114.5116.4230.9-1.838%
vs Weaker (5)114.8111.6226.4+3.260%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 226Actual: Under 226
Over 226
29.8%
Under 226
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 231Actual: Under 231
Over 231
21.3%
Under 231
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 236Actual: Under 236
Over 236
14.4%
Under 236
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mexico City Capitanes total 113.5Actual: Mexico City Capitanes under 113.5
Over 113.5
37.3%
Under 113.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mexico City Capitanes total 117.5Actual: Mexico City Capitanes under 117.5
Over 117.5
25.3%
Under 117.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mexico City Capitanes total 121.5Actual: Mexico City Capitanes under 121.5
Over 121.5
15.7%
Under 121.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas Legends total 110Actual: Texas Legends under 110
Over 110
38.2%
Under 110
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas Legends total 114Actual: Texas Legends under 114
Over 114
25.8%
Under 114
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas Legends total 118Actual: Texas Legends under 118
Over 118
16.0%
Under 118
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mexico City Capitanes -3Actual: Mexico City Capitanes -3
MEXI -3
51.6%
TEXA +3
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
MEXI
No market prices yet.
TEXA
No market prices yet.
Spread Mexico City Capitanes 0Actual: Mexico City Capitanes 0
MEXI 0
59.3%
TEXA 0
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
MEXI
No market prices yet.
TEXA
No market prices yet.
Spread Mexico City Capitanes +3Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +3
MEXI +3
67.0%
TEXA -3
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
MEXI
No market prices yet.
TEXA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
Mexico City CapitanesTexas Legends
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Rapids Gold
#23
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A10/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H15/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A21/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/11
NBA - G League
106.0Avg total
49.8Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.256.9111.1-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.557.9116.4+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)49.855.9105.7-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)49.856.2106.0-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)46.450.897.2-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.557.5106.0-9.050%-
vs Similar (19)55.259.0114.2-3.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)53.352.3105.7+1.044%-
This opponent (Texas Legends) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas LegendsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A09/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A11/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/03
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#15
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H15/03
NBA - G League
San Diego Clippers
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H17/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H18/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H21/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H22/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A28/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A29/03
NBA - G League
114.8Avg total
58.5Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.8115.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.956.2111.2-1.335%-
Last 30 away (13)60.859.8120.5+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)58.556.3114.8+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)54.054.4108.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)57.657.5115.1+0.133%-
vs Similar (13)56.859.2116.1-2.438%-
vs Weaker (5)58.854.6113.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AOklahoma City Blue94-79
02/04/26HRip City Remix108-113
29/03/26AAustin Toros Spurs86-118
26/03/26AValley Suns94-114
25/03/26AValley Suns112-99
22/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce116-105
21/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce89-131
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle109-127
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle125-122
10/03/26AGrand Rapids Gold115-112 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ASanta Cruz Warriors134-116
28/03/26ASanta Cruz Warriors112-106
22/03/26HIowa Wolves109-106
21/03/26HIowa Wolves103-110
18/03/26HRio Grande Valley Vipers108-104
17/03/26HSan Diego Clippers116-108
15/03/26HSan Diego Clippers128-106
13/03/26AAustin Toros Spurs119-122
11/03/26ASalt Lake City Stars125-134
09/03/26ASalt Lake City Stars121-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Texas Legends
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware Blue Coats110100%147.0122.0+25.0
2 Santa Cruz Warriors110100%127.0108.0+19.0
3 Maine Celtics220100%109.593.5+16.0
4 Windy City Bulls220100%131.0115.0+16.0
5 Mexico City Capitanes110100%94.079.0+15.0
6 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
7 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
8 Osceola Magic110100%97.089.0+8.0
9 College Park Skyhawks220100%126.5120.5+6.0
10 South Bay Lakers110100%104.098.0+6.0
11 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
12 San Diego Clippers110100%127.0126.0+1.0
13 Greensboro Swarm21150%108.0104.5+3.5
14 Long Island Nets21150%104.5108.0-3.5
15 Valley Suns1010%126.0127.0-1.0
16 Rio Grande Valley Vipers1010%116.0120.0-4.0
17 Raptors 9052020%120.5126.5-6.0
18 Salt Lake City Stars1010%98.0104.0-6.0
19 Birmingham Squadron1010%110.0117.0-7.0
20 Grand Rapids Gold2020%115.0125.0-10.0
21 Oklahoma City Blue2020%84.095.5-11.5
22 Iowa Wolves2020%127.0142.0-15.0
23 Noblesville Boom2020%115.0131.0-16.0
24 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
25 Stockton Kings1010%108.0127.0-19.0
26 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mexico City Capitanes30272525107
Texas Legends2434141991
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