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Miami (FL) vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-80
37-34 54-46
Position#122
Record19-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#231
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
76-103
76
103
-27
A15/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H17/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A17/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H23/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#609
W
90-51
90
51
+39
H30/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-50
43-53
37-37
54-39
35-32
36-35
36-26
30-38
32-37
48-51
51-25
39-26
33-34
43-31
29-26
27-42
35-39
35-37
31-32
35-37
146.9Avg total
74.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.971.1147.0+4.863%
Season at home (20)78.370.4148.8+7.970%
Season away (10)70.972.5143.4-1.650%
Last 10 (10)74.272.7146.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)71.665.8137.4+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.880.2150.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.979.0153.9-4.162%
vs Weaker (16)78.663.8142.4+14.975%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
44-42
39-27
47-39
37-31
46-35
51-26
40-27
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
156.3Avg total
83.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.775.9154.6+2.753%
Season at home (9)84.172.6156.7+11.678%
Season away (6)70.581.0151.5-10.517%
Last 10 (10)83.572.8156.3+10.770%
Last 5 (5)86.076.2162.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.886.8160.5-13.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.868.8140.7+3.050%
vs Weaker (9)85.970.1156.0+15.8100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +3.4+3.4
Miami (FL)Buffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A15/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H23/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#609
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H07/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.370.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.934.471.3+2.545%-
Last 30 away (10)33.934.168.0-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.869.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.267.0+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.542.273.7-10.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.237.574.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)36.929.866.6+7.162%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
75.3Avg total
41.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.772.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.234.172.3+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)36.335.471.6+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.075.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.140.575.6-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.231.866.0+2.358%-
vs Weaker (9)40.233.974.1+6.389%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (FL) wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HKent State66-69
05/01/23AGeorgia Tech70-76
04/01/23ACentral Michigan56-68
30/12/22ANotre Dame76-65
30/12/22HSMWC Pomeroys90-51
23/12/22HWright State80-88
21/12/22HVirginia66-64
17/12/22ABellarmine71-67
17/12/22HSt. Francis (PA)91-76
15/12/22ACincinnati76-103
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88
06/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)91-53
03/12/22HSt. Bonaventure83-66
27/11/22HCanisius86-66
21/11/22AGeorge Mason82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL63%
HomeWWLWL70%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %63%70%50%
Points / game75.978.370.9
Allowed / game71.170.472.5
Point differential+4.8+8.0-1.6
Avg total147.0148.8143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%78%17%
Points / game78.784.170.5
Allowed / game75.972.681.0
Point differential+2.7+11.6-10.5
Avg total154.6156.7151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1613381%75.466.7+8.7
2 Virginia1411379%70.059.6+10.4
3 NC State1713476%79.467.8+11.6
4 Duke1612475%72.462.5+9.9
5 Virginia Tech1611569%74.364.8+9.6
6 North Carolina1611569%81.474.2+7.1
7 Pittsburgh1611569%75.268.2+7.0
8 Wake Forest1611569%76.172.2+3.9
9 Miami (FL)30191163%75.971.1+4.8
10 Syracuse1610662%74.669.3+5.3
11 Georgia Tech158753%71.169.1+1.9
12 Notre Dame168850%69.369.3+0.0
13 Boston College168850%64.767.3-2.6
14 SMU Mustangs1661038%67.872.1-4.2
15 Stanford1551033%68.366.7+1.5
16 Florida State1651131%69.073.4-4.4
17 California1631319%61.566.6-5.1
18 Louisville1621412%62.674.4-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1512380%74.761.9+12.8
2 Ball State1511473%76.966.8+10.1
3 Akron1510567%70.761.1+9.6
4 Toledo1510567%86.079.8+6.2
5 UMass1510567%71.168.9+2.3
6 Ohio158753%77.271.7+5.5
7 Bowling Green158753%77.774.1+3.6
8 Buffalo158753%78.775.9+2.7
9 Central Michigan156940%68.168.5-0.5
10 Western Michigan1541127%69.071.3-2.3
11 Eastern Michigan1541127%72.779.8-7.1
12 Northern Illinois1541127%67.576.5-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)375491
Buffalo344680
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