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Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-62
45-28 35-34
Position#231
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.9
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#271
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Buffalo v Northern Illinois
17 Feb 2026
BUFF70
NORT72
08 Mar 2024
BUFF68
NORT78
07 Jan 2023
BUFF80
NORT62
26 Feb 2022
BUFF70
NORT60
04 Jan 2020
BUFF72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#99
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A19/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
30-39
38-32
44-42
39-27
47-39
37-31
46-35
51-26
40-27
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
154.3Avg total
81.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.676.9155.5+1.650%
Season at home (8)84.673.9158.5+10.875%
Season away (6)70.581.0151.5-10.517%
Last 10 (10)81.472.9154.3+8.560%
Last 5 (5)82.681.4164.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.886.8160.5-13.025%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.169.5140.5+1.645%
vs Weaker (10)84.769.9154.6+14.8100%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A23/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-41
32-47
50-27
36-34
31-32
45-51
42-36
48-34
24-35
23-49
30-36
37-52
26-49
37-41
37-44
41-39
35-29
32-28
26-28
25-48
145.9Avg total
67.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.976.2144.1-8.329%
Season at home (4)77.081.8158.8-4.825%
Season away (10)64.374.0138.3-9.730%
Last 10 (10)67.978.0145.9-10.130%
Last 5 (5)65.278.8144.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.574.7138.2-11.321%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.672.0139.6-4.429%
vs Weaker (3)87.772.3160.0+15.367%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -6.7-6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -6.7-6.7
BuffaloNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#99
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A19/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.871.7+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.734.572.3+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.135.071.1+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.673.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.140.575.6-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.232.265.4+1.055%-
vs Weaker (10)39.633.573.1+6.190%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A23/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A26/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A04/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.966.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
Last 30 away (18)30.634.064.6-3.428%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.768.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.837.268.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.034.663.6-5.621%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.035.666.6-4.629%-
vs Weaker (3)43.034.077.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Buffalo wins
1
Northern Illinois wins
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88
06/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)91-53
03/12/22HSt. Bonaventure83-66
27/11/22HCanisius86-66
21/11/22AGeorge Mason82-74
19/11/22AHoward59-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23AAkron51-76
22/12/22AIndiana State67-57
20/12/22HAlbany78-83
17/12/22AVCU Rams63-90
13/12/22AGonzaga67-88
03/12/22AIdaho47-84
01/12/22AEastern Illinois90-70
26/11/22ANorthern Iowa76-83
23/11/22ALIU Sharks86-61
22/11/22HSam Houston St.54-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%75%17%
Points / game78.684.670.5
Allowed / game76.973.981.0
Point differential+1.6+10.8-10.5
Avg total155.5158.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %29%25%30%
Points / game67.977.064.3
Allowed / game76.281.874.0
Point differential-8.3-4.8-9.7
Avg total144.1158.8138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1411379%75.161.6+13.5
2 Ball State1511473%76.966.8+10.1
3 UMass1410471%71.068.0+3.0
4 Akron1510567%70.761.1+9.6
5 Toledo1510567%86.079.8+6.2
6 Ohio148657%77.170.5+6.6
7 Bowling Green147750%76.973.7+3.2
8 Buffalo147750%78.676.9+1.6
9 Central Michigan146843%68.969.0-0.1
10 Northern Illinois1441029%67.976.2-8.3
11 Western Michigan1541127%69.071.3-2.3
12 Eastern Michigan1431121%73.481.5-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo453580
Northern Illinois283462
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