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Miami (FL) vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 66-64
36-26 30-38
Position#122
Record16-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.8
Miami (FL) 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia
USA
Position#36
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game59.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Virginia
16 Jan 2027
MIAM v VIRG
upcoming
29 Jan 2025
MIAM71
VIRG82
20 Dec 2022
MIAM66
VIRG64
19 Feb 2022
MIAM71
VIRG74
04 Mar 2020
MIAM44
VIRG46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-53
80
53
+27
A04/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
107-105
107
105
+2
H08/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#568
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H11/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
76-103
76
103
-27
A15/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H17/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
50-46
33-34
35-27
28-58
33-30
42-23
38-30
66-52
41-53
34-43
46-30
47-23
38-26
33-50
43-53
37-37
54-39
35-32
36-35
156.7Avg total
81.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.071.8148.9+5.270%
Season at home (16)79.171.0150.1+8.175%
Season away (7)72.473.7146.1-1.357%
Last 10 (10)81.475.3156.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)80.673.6154.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.878.6148.4-8.938%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.074.9148.9-0.978%
vs Weaker (13)79.863.8143.5+16.085%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
17-21
0-0
34-31
0-0
38-30
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-21
0-0
47-21
0-0
30-33
0-0
56-46
0-0
29-31
0-0
41-30
0-0
40-22
0-0
32-23
0-0
34-45
0-0
36-23
0-0
21-22
0-0
41-35
0-0
27-20
0-0
28-30
0-0
26-30
0-0
35-39
127.3Avg total
68.9Scored
58.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.959.1130.0+11.889%
Season at home (7)68.955.0123.9+13.986%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)68.958.4127.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)64.057.8121.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)56.662.9119.4-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.462.7132.1+6.875%
vs Weaker (8)66.156.6122.8+9.588%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +7.6+7.6
Miami (FL)Virginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H08/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H10/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#568
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H11/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A15/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/12
NCAA
78.4Avg total
40.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.269.4+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.334.971.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)33.633.066.6+0.658%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.478.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.074.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.839.872.5-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.435.971.3-0.456%-
vs Weaker (13)36.629.566.2+7.169%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
57.9Avg total
30.4Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.227.356.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.624.654.1+5.067%-
Last 30 away (12)28.831.460.2-2.742%-
Last 10 (10)30.427.557.9+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.627.857.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)25.927.653.4-1.756%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.829.860.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)30.924.255.1+6.662%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami (FL) wins
4
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Miami (FL) v Virginia71-74
05/02/22Virginia v Miami (FL)71-58
01/03/21Virginia v Miami (FL)62-51
05/03/20Miami (FL) v Virginia44-46
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ABellarmine71-67
17/12/22HSt. Francis (PA)91-76
15/12/22ACincinnati76-103
11/12/22HCalumet College85-49
10/12/22HNC State80-73
08/12/22HCornell107-105
04/12/22ALouisville80-53
03/12/22HIndiana State61-88
01/12/22HRutgers68-61
30/11/22HJackson State95-78
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HHouston61-69
07/12/22HJames Madison55-50
03/12/22HFlorida State62-57
30/11/22AMichigan70-68
25/11/22HMd.-East. Shore72-45
20/11/22HIllinois70-61
19/11/22ABaylor86-79
12/11/22HMonmouth89-42
08/11/22HN. Carolina Central73-61
22/03/22HSt. Bonaventure51-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %70%75%57%
Points / game77.079.172.4
Allowed / game71.871.073.7
Point differential+5.2+8.1-1.3
Avg total148.9150.1146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%86%100%
Points / game70.968.978.0
Allowed / game59.155.073.5
Point differential+11.8+13.9+4.5
Avg total130.0123.9151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1211192%76.262.3+13.9
2 Virginia98189%70.959.1+11.8
3 NC State1310377%81.067.8+13.2
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 Clemson129375%75.566.5+9.0
6 Miami (FL)2316770%77.071.8+5.2
7 Wake Forest139469%75.570.8+4.8
8 Pittsburgh128467%75.166.2+8.8
9 North Carolina128467%81.674.4+7.2
10 Syracuse128467%74.868.2+6.6
11 Georgia Tech117464%73.167.2+5.9
12 Notre Dame117464%71.569.6+1.8
13 Boston College126650%63.867.1-3.2
14 Stanford114736%67.563.9+3.6
15 SMU Mustangs103730%66.870.1-3.3
16 Florida State1331023%68.473.3-4.9
17 Louisville1221017%61.273.2-12.1
18 California120120%58.067.6-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)363066
Virginia263864
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