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Michigan State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-68
41-30 48-38
Position#108
Record8-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#231
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
26-28
34-24
39-47
37-42
33-39
33-30
41-40
34-42
44-35
24-42
28-28
37-38
26-32
35-35
32-23
32-18
36-32
29-24
38-30
137.6Avg total
69.8Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.566.4135.9+3.167%
Season at home (9)72.467.2139.7+5.278%
Season away (3)60.764.0124.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)69.867.8137.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)63.460.4123.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.775.6144.3-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (21)70.468.5139.0+1.962%
vs Weaker (2)59.562.0121.5-2.550%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#29
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A16/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A19/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
36-40
40-33
32-47
29-24
30-39
38-32
44-42
39-27
47-39
37-31
46-35
51-26
40-27
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
153.9Avg total
80.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.876.3156.1+3.450%
Season at home (7)86.074.1160.1+11.971%
Season away (5)71.079.4150.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)80.773.2153.9+7.550%
Last 5 (5)88.873.0161.8+15.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.688.9162.4-15.314%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.467.5138.9+3.950%
vs Weaker (12)85.370.9156.2+14.4100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.9+1.9
Michigan StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H21/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.564.8-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.330.865.1+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)29.734.864.5-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)33.132.966.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.462.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.735.668.3-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)32.731.564.2+1.252%-
vs Weaker (2)26.533.059.5-6.550%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#29
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A19/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
39.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.872.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.035.173.1+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.334.570.9+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.073.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.641.776.3-7.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.531.364.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker (12)39.334.273.5+5.283%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HOakland67-54
10/12/22HBrown68-50
07/12/22APenn State67-58
05/12/22HNorthwestern63-70
01/12/22ANotre Dame52-70
27/11/22HPortland78-77
26/11/22HOregon74-70
25/11/22HAlabama70-81
19/11/22HVillanova73-71
16/11/22HKentucky86-77 OT
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88
06/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)91-53
03/12/22HSt. Bonaventure83-66
27/11/22HCanisius86-66
21/11/22AGeorge Mason82-74
19/11/22AHoward59-63
18/11/22ADrake72-80
16/11/22AUconn64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %67%78%33%
Points / game69.572.460.7
Allowed / game66.467.264.0
Point differential+3.1+5.2-3.3
Avg total135.9139.7124.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game79.886.071.0
Allowed / game76.374.179.4
Point differential+3.4+11.9-8.4
Avg total156.1160.1150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue13130100%77.260.5+16.7
2 UCLA1311285%80.361.5+18.8
3 Northwestern1210283%68.255.7+12.5
4 Wisconsin119282%68.360.8+7.5
5 Indiana1310377%80.165.3+14.8
6 Maryland1310377%74.861.8+13.0
7 Penn State1310377%75.565.0+10.5
8 USC1310377%71.865.5+6.3
9 Ohio State129375%81.765.1+16.6
10 Illinois139469%78.163.7+14.4
11 Washington139469%70.566.1+4.4
12 Rutgers128467%71.754.3+17.3
13 Michigan State128467%69.566.4+3.1
14 Iowa138562%81.270.5+10.8
15 Michigan127558%75.971.3+4.6
16 Nebraska148657%68.164.8+3.3
17 Oregon137654%69.664.8+4.8
18 Minnesota126650%63.466.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1310377%74.860.8+13.9
2 UMass129375%70.065.7+4.3
3 Ball State139469%76.565.8+10.6
4 Toledo139469%85.079.5+5.5
5 Akron128467%69.861.4+8.3
6 Ohio127558%77.671.1+6.5
7 Buffalo126650%79.876.3+3.4
8 Bowling Green136746%75.874.4+1.5
9 Central Michigan135838%69.070.0-1.0
10 Western Michigan124833%68.667.6+1.0
11 Northern Illinois134931%69.276.2-7.0
12 Eastern Michigan123925%74.981.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State414889
Buffalo303868
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