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Michigan State vs Oregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 74-70
33-30 41-40
Position#108
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#140
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v Oregon
16 Jan 2027
MICH v OREG
upcoming
14 Mar 2025
MICH74
OREG64
08 Feb 2025
MICH86
OREG74
25 Nov 2022
MICH74
OREG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
33-38
24-22
45-41
20-27
50-48
32-31
42-42
35-39
41-46
34-20
39-35
38-31
25-33
36-34
26-28
34-24
39-47
37-42
33-39
144.6Avg total
73.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.069.6142.6+3.460%
Season at home (4)75.571.0146.5+4.575%
Season away (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)73.071.6144.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)73.069.6142.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.775.6144.3-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (21)72.469.8142.2+2.762%
vs Weaker (2)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#144
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A16/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/03
NIT
Florida A&M
#352
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H08/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H16/11
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H21/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-46
0-0
42-48
0-0
43-36
0-0
43-36
0-0
30-36
0-0
39-44
0-0
33-37
0-0
50-35
0-0
28-37
0-0
32-38
0-0
36-25
0-0
44-20
0-0
22-35
0-0
34-34
0-0
34-22
0-0
47-29
0-0
24-31
0-0
32-35
0-0
28-39
0-0
31-44
141.1Avg total
70.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.462.8129.2+3.640%
Season at home (5)66.462.8129.2+3.640%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.470.7141.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)66.462.8129.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.874.9141.6-8.125%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.969.7144.6+5.256%
vs Weaker (12)74.167.0141.1+7.175%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.1+3.1
Michigan StateOregon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
33.3Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.665.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.831.966.7+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.433.564.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.330.463.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.266.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.735.668.3-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)33.131.764.8+1.452%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.568.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#144
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A19/03
NIT
Florida A&M
#352
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H21/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
31.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.967.7+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.930.665.4+4.372%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.371.1-1.642%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.465.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.459.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.635.967.5-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.933.069.9+3.978%-
vs Weaker (12)35.630.466.0+5.267%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Oregon wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22HAlabama70-81
19/11/22HVillanova73-71
16/11/22HKentucky86-77 OT
11/11/22AGonzaga63-64
08/11/22HNorthern Arizona73-55
20/03/22ADuke76-85
19/03/22HDavidson74-73
12/03/22APurdue70-75
11/03/22AWisconsin69-63
10/03/22HMaryland76-72
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22HUconn59-83
21/11/22HHouston56-66
16/11/22HMontana State81-51
12/11/22HUC Irvine56-69
08/11/22HFlorida A&M80-45
19/03/22ATexas A&M60-75
16/03/22AUtah State83-72
10/03/22AColorado69-80
09/03/22HOregon State86-72
05/03/22AWashington State74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game73.075.563.0
Allowed / game69.671.064.0
Point differential+3.4+4.5-1.0
Avg total142.6146.5127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%25%0%
Oregon
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %40%40%-
Points / game66.466.4-
Allowed / game62.862.8-
Point differential+3.6+3.6-
Avg total129.2129.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana660100%88.859.3+29.5
2 Iowa550100%91.666.2+25.4
3 Maryland660100%82.761.3+21.3
4 Purdue550100%77.260.2+17.0
5 Penn State76186%74.462.4+12.0
6 Illinois65183%84.761.5+23.2
7 Ohio State65183%79.361.0+18.3
8 Northwestern65183%65.251.7+13.5
9 Wisconsin65183%62.754.0+8.7
10 Michigan65183%77.370.0+7.3
11 Washington65183%69.363.3+6.0
12 Rutgers54180%75.653.6+22.0
13 UCLA64267%83.364.5+18.8
14 Minnesota64267%63.062.5+0.5
15 Michigan State53260%73.069.6+3.4
16 USC74357%72.368.0+4.3
17 Nebraska63350%67.266.2+1.0
18 Oregon52340%66.462.8+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State334174
Oregon304070
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