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Michigan State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-70
37-38 26-32
Position#108
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#87
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game56.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Michigan State v Northwestern
08 Jan 2026
MICH76
NORT66
06 Mar 2024
MICH53
NORT49
04 Dec 2022
MICH63
NORT70
15 Jan 2022
MICH62
NORT64
29 Jan 2020
MICH79
NORT50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
42-42
35-39
41-46
34-20
39-35
38-31
25-33
36-34
26-28
34-24
39-47
37-42
33-39
33-30
41-40
34-42
44-35
24-42
28-28
144.2Avg total
71.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.170.6141.8+0.562%
Season at home (6)75.771.8147.5+3.883%
Season away (2)57.567.0124.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)71.972.3144.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)69.473.8143.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.775.6144.3-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (20)71.570.0141.4+1.560%
vs Weaker (3)67.368.7136.0-1.367%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#245
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H09/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
76-112
76
112
-36
A10/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A15/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Liberty
#30
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
58-87
58
87
-29
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
29-36
25-39
46-30
31-64
45-48
37-21
48-33
36-27
27-19
33-35
42-28
31-24
29-28
28-29
38-23
19-19
23-24
28-37
30-50
131.1Avg total
67.1Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.156.7120.9+7.471%
Season at home (6)62.355.7118.0+6.767%
Season away (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.164.0131.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)60.259.4119.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.175.4139.6-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.671.5139.2-3.931%
vs Weaker (9)73.761.2134.9+12.489%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
Michigan StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Villanova
#196
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.065.8-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.732.266.9+2.571%-
Last 30 away (13)30.234.164.3-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.567.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.735.668.3-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)32.931.764.6+1.255%-
vs Weaker (3)32.035.767.7-3.767%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#245
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A10/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Auburn
#106
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H24/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H29/11
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.464.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.528.561.0+3.953%-
Last 30 away (11)31.939.070.9-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.163.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.828.856.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.938.464.3-12.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.930.862.8+1.146%-
vs Weaker (9)36.130.266.3+5.967%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
2
Northwestern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22ANotre Dame52-70
27/11/22HPortland78-77
26/11/22HOregon74-70
25/11/22HAlabama70-81
19/11/22HVillanova73-71
16/11/22HKentucky86-77 OT
11/11/22AGonzaga63-64
08/11/22HNorthern Arizona73-55
20/03/22ADuke76-85
19/03/22HDavidson74-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22HPittsburgh58-87
24/11/22HAuburn42-43
23/11/22HLiberty66-52
19/11/22HIPFW60-52
15/11/22AGeorgetown75-63
12/11/22HNorthern Illinois63-46
08/11/22HChicago State85-54
10/03/22AIowa76-112
09/03/22HNebraska71-69
07/03/22HMinnesota75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game71.175.757.5
Allowed / game70.671.867.0
Point differential+0.5+3.8-9.5
Avg total141.8147.5124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game64.162.375.0
Allowed / game56.755.763.0
Point differential+7.4+6.7+12.0
Avg total120.9118.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maryland880100%80.861.0+19.8
2 Purdue880100%78.662.0+16.6
3 Indiana87188%82.260.5+21.8
4 Iowa76186%86.467.9+18.6
5 UCLA97278%80.763.2+17.4
6 Washington97278%70.163.9+6.2
7 Illinois86275%80.960.5+20.4
8 Rutgers86275%73.154.1+19.0
9 Ohio State86275%80.563.2+17.2
10 Penn State86275%76.967.2+9.6
11 Wisconsin86275%66.459.9+6.5
12 Northwestern75271%64.156.7+7.4
13 Nebraska96367%69.963.9+6.0
14 USC85362%71.565.9+5.6
15 Michigan85362%75.170.4+4.8
16 Michigan State85362%71.170.6+0.5
17 Minnesota84450%63.166.4-3.2
18 Oregon94544%67.364.4+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State372663
Northwestern383270
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