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Nebraska vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-80
38-26 29-54
Position#213
Record15-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#108
Record17-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nebraska v Michigan State
02 Jan 2027
NEBR v MICH
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
NEBR58
MICH56
10 Dec 2023
NEBR77
MICH70
28 Feb 2023
NEBR67
MICH80
02 Jan 2021
NEBR77
MICH84
20 Feb 2020
NEBR65
MICH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H26/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
73-63 OT
73
63
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-29
42-47
30-43
33-35
30-40
33-42
37-38
19-34
37-28
35-35
34-46
38-47
24-35
37-26
40-35
42-37
31-24
27-34
37-27
41-40
142.6Avg total
69.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)67.369.0136.3-1.752%
Season at home (16)70.464.5134.9+5.975%
Season away (13)63.574.5138.0-11.123%
Last 10 (10)69.473.2142.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)75.072.2147.2+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.270.7134.9-6.535%
vs Similar (6)71.365.5136.8+5.867%
vs Weaker (4)77.266.2143.5+11.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
34-27
32-37
37-45
30-29
33-32
22-40
39-37
25-19
30-42
31-22
32-36
27-14
35-27
36-33
36-51
35-29
45-36
42-42
59-59
139.9Avg total
70.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.867.0136.8+2.861%
Season at home (17)71.463.9135.3+7.482%
Season away (11)67.571.7139.2-4.327%
Last 10 (10)70.169.8139.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.672.0148.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.470.8137.2-4.322%
vs Similar (18)73.067.6140.6+5.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)64.360.0124.3+4.367%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
NebraskaMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H26/01
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.663.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.131.164.2+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)29.434.363.6-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.566.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.466.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.932.962.8-3.035%-
vs Similar (6)33.032.865.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)36.030.866.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/02
NCAA
61.1Avg total
31.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.063.0+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.428.161.5+5.478%-
Last 30 away (12)32.233.065.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.561.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.062.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.932.464.3-0.656%-
vs Similar (18)33.829.263.1+4.672%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)30.727.758.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nebraska wins
5
Michigan State wins
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HMinnesota78-67
19/02/23HMaryland70-66 OT
15/02/23ARutgers82-72
11/02/23HWisconsin73-63 OT
08/02/23AMichigan72-93
05/02/23HPenn State72-63
01/02/23AIllinois56-72
28/01/23AMaryland63-82
26/01/23HNorthwestern63-78
21/01/23APenn State65-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AIowa106-112 OT
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
19/02/23AMichigan72-84
12/02/23AOhio State62-41
08/02/23HMaryland63-58
04/02/23ARutgers55-61
29/01/23APurdue61-77
27/01/23HIowa63-61
22/01/23AIndiana69-82
19/01/23HRutgers70-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%75%23%
Points / game67.370.463.5
Allowed / game69.064.574.5
Point differential-1.7+5.9-11.1
Avg total136.3134.9138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%19%8%
Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %61%82%27%
Points / game69.871.467.5
Allowed / game67.063.971.7
Point differential+2.8+7.4-4.3
Avg total136.8135.3139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA2925486%73.759.7+14.1
2 Purdue2924583%73.462.2+11.2
3 USC2921872%72.766.3+6.4
4 Maryland2920969%71.262.8+8.4
5 Northwestern2920969%67.962.4+5.5
6 Indiana30201067%75.368.3+7.0
7 Illinois29191066%74.265.6+8.6
8 Iowa30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Rutgers29181162%68.559.7+8.8
10 Michigan State28171161%69.867.0+2.8
11 Michigan29171259%73.468.7+4.7
12 Penn State29171259%72.868.4+4.3
13 Wisconsin28161257%65.163.7+1.5
14 Oregon29161355%70.567.2+3.3
15 Washington30161453%68.769.4-0.7
16 Nebraska29151452%67.369.0-1.7
17 Ohio State29121741%72.969.1+3.8
18 Minnesota2772026%62.070.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska382967
Michigan State265480
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