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Michigan State vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-60
32-24 32-36
Position#104
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#62
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-26
38-32
28-39
22-30
30-26
40-38
30-34
27-34
44-33
33-44
32-39
42-48
46-25
44-21
31-23
42-29
49-31
34-28
23-28
40-33
135.4Avg total
70.4Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.661.0137.6+15.680%
Season at home (4)77.563.2140.8+14.275%
Season away (1)73.052.0125.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.465.0135.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.661.0137.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.374.3141.6-7.031%
vs Similar (9)64.265.8130.0-1.667%
vs Weaker (5)86.861.8148.6+25.0100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#176
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A03/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H06/03
NCAA
DePaul
#314
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#48
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H20/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H09/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#327
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
93-40
93
40
+53
H17/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
42-32
51-24
47-58
45-22
49-38
26-30
30-29
22-33
32-30
52-23
47-25
46-28
43-26
38-22
55-18
37-22
50-41
45-34
38-49
149.0Avg total
85.4Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)96.662.8159.4+33.8100%
Season at home (4)92.051.2143.2+40.8100%
Season away (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.463.6149.0+21.880%
Last 5 (5)96.662.8159.4+33.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (8)70.872.4143.1-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.461.7140.1+16.786%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +8.7+8.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +8.7+8.7
Michigan StateUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
33.9Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.465.0+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.130.865.8+4.361%-
Last 30 away (12)28.834.963.8-6.117%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.464.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.265.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.234.867.1-2.625%-
vs Similar (9)28.029.157.1-1.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.830.872.6+11.0100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#176
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A03/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/03
NCAA
DePaul
#314
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#48
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H20/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#327
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H17/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
38.9Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.929.765.6+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.228.666.7+9.678%-
Last 30 away (12)32.431.563.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.926.465.3+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.625.869.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)32.432.464.8+0.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.528.465.9+9.181%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Uconn wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21HLoyola Chicago63-61
20/11/21HEastern Michigan83-59
18/11/21AButler73-52
12/11/21HWestern Michigan90-46
10/11/21HKansas74-87
19/03/21HUCLA80-86 OT
11/03/21AMaryland57-68
07/03/21HMichigan70-64
05/03/21AMichigan50-69
03/03/21HIndiana64-58
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21AAuburn115-109 OT
20/11/21HBinghamton87-63
17/11/21HLIU Sharks93-40
13/11/21HCoppin State89-54
09/11/21HCentral Connecticut State99-48
20/03/21HMaryland54-63
13/03/21ACreighton56-59
12/03/21HDePaul94-60
06/03/21HGeorgetown98-82
03/03/21ASeton Hall69-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game76.677.573.0
Allowed / game61.063.252.0
Point differential+15.6+14.2+21.0
Avg total137.6140.8125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uconn
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.692.0115.0
Allowed / game62.851.2109.0
Point differential+33.8+40.8+6.0
Avg total159.4143.2224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa550100%99.668.4+31.2
2 Purdue550100%91.468.8+22.6
3 USC440100%85.263.0+22.2
4 Indiana550100%75.052.8+22.2
5 Minnesota550100%72.859.6+13.2
6 Northwestern65183%81.761.3+20.3
7 UCLA65183%86.270.3+15.8
8 Wisconsin65183%67.755.2+12.5
9 Michigan State54180%76.661.0+15.6
10 Maryland54180%71.465.6+5.8
11 Penn State43175%72.568.2+4.2
12 Nebraska64267%76.068.2+7.8
13 Michigan64267%71.864.5+7.3
14 Ohio State64267%75.369.3+6.0
15 Illinois53260%70.460.4+10.0
16 Rutgers53260%63.458.4+5.0
17 Washington74357%72.472.3+0.1
18 Oregon63350%65.066.5-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn550100%96.662.8+33.8
2 DePaul440100%88.272.0+16.2
3 Providence65183%70.263.8+6.3
4 Creighton65183%73.867.7+6.2
5 Marquette65183%74.071.0+3.0
6 St. John's (N.Y.)54180%89.470.2+19.2
7 Seton Hall54180%75.659.2+16.4
8 Xavier64267%72.866.3+6.5
9 Villanova53260%82.670.2+12.4
10 Butler74357%64.158.6+5.6
11 Georgetown42250%71.271.0+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State323264
Uconn243660
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