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Michigan State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 70-64
30-26 40-38
Position#159
Record14-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.9
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#16
Record19-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Michigan
30 Jan 2026
MICH71
MICH83
09 Mar 2025
MICH79
MICH62
30 Jan 2024
MICH81
MICH62
07 Jan 2023
MICH59
MICH53
29 Jan 2022
MICH83
MICH67
07 Mar 2021
MICH70
MICH64
05 Jan 2020
MICH87
MICH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
26-30
52-41
36-26
45-46
33-38
38-29
25-35
30-38
26-26
38-32
28-39
22-30
133.5Avg total
64.8Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.570.9140.4-1.456%
Season at home (14)73.767.8141.5+5.979%
Season away (11)64.174.9139.0-10.827%
Last 10 (10)64.868.7133.5-3.960%
Last 5 (5)64.267.8132.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.374.3141.7-7.033%
vs Similar (12)68.466.5134.9+1.975%
vs Weaker (6)84.870.7155.5+14.2100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#193
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H20/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A23/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A27/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-30
34-45
42-25
45-38
34-21
36-32
27-39
40-20
37-28
34-36
45-43
47-44
32-29
47-28
42-33
31-24
22-33
31-43
39-28
30-22
135.9Avg total
71.8Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.165.0142.1+12.190%
Season at home (14)78.463.7142.1+14.693%
Season away (7)74.767.6142.3+7.186%
Last 10 (10)71.864.1135.9+7.780%
Last 5 (5)73.265.4138.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)70.969.8140.7+1.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.463.7142.1+14.795%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
Michigan StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/03
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.266.1-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.630.665.2+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)30.936.167.0-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.661.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.862.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.835.868.7-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)31.028.959.9+2.158%-
vs Weaker (6)36.736.573.2+0.267%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#193
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A27/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
34.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.066.5+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.329.966.2+6.483%-
Last 30 away (12)34.332.767.0+1.758%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.965.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.269.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.231.062.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.431.068.4+6.486%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
2
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
05/03/21Michigan v Michigan State69-50
08/02/20Michigan v Michigan State77-68
05/01/20Michigan State v Michigan87-69
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21AMichigan50-69
03/03/21HIndiana64-58
28/02/21AMaryland55-73
26/02/21HOhio State71-67
24/02/21HIllinois81-72
20/02/21AIndiana78-71
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21HMichigan State69-50
03/03/21HIllinois53-76
27/02/21AIndiana73-57
26/02/21HIowa79-57
21/02/21AOhio State92-87
19/02/21HRutgers71-64
14/02/21AWisconsin67-59
23/01/21APurdue70-53
20/01/21HMaryland87-63
16/01/21AMinnesota57-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%79%27%
Points / game69.573.764.1
Allowed / game70.967.874.9
Point differential-1.4+5.9-10.8
Avg total140.4141.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %90%93%86%
Points / game77.178.474.7
Allowed / game65.063.767.6
Point differential+12.1+14.6+7.1
Avg total142.1142.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%79%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2119290%77.165.0+12.1
2 Oregon2318578%73.966.9+7.0
3 USC2721678%74.364.1+10.2
4 Illinois2620677%80.768.5+12.2
5 Iowa2720774%85.072.1+12.9
6 Ohio State2618869%76.869.9+6.9
7 Purdue2618869%70.865.5+5.3
8 UCLA2517868%72.667.9+4.7
9 Wisconsin27161159%69.964.0+5.9
10 Rutgers24141058%70.468.1+2.3
11 Maryland26151158%69.264.7+4.5
12 Michigan State25141156%69.570.9-1.4
13 Minnesota27131448%73.274.0-0.8
14 Indiana26121446%70.569.7+0.8
15 Penn State2291341%72.973.8-0.9
16 Northwestern2391439%71.370.9+0.4
17 Nebraska2671927%70.174.3-4.2
18 Washington2552020%66.676.6-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State304070
Michigan263864
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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