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Maryland vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 68-57
34-30 34-27
Position#150
Record15-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game64.7
Maryland 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#159
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Maryland v Michigan State
09 Dec 2026
MARY v MICH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
MARY55
MICH58
21 Jan 2024
MARY59
MICH61
01 Feb 2022
MARY63
MICH65
11 Mar 2021
MARY68
MICH57
28 Feb 2021
MARY73
MICH55
29 Feb 2020
MARY66
MICH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
37-33
23-23
27-32
30-35
35-38
44-28
28-31
32-28
32-22
40-33
39-38
28-20
40-39
35-25
38-30
26-28
29-32
33-23
28-43
125.6Avg total
64.8Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.964.7133.7+4.256%
Season at home (17)73.565.2138.7+8.465%
Season away (10)61.164.0125.1-2.940%
Last 10 (10)64.860.8125.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)67.262.2129.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.080.2147.2-13.220%
vs Similar (20)67.163.4130.5+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.061.8136.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
26-30
52-41
36-26
45-46
33-38
38-29
25-35
30-38
26-26
38-32
28-39
22-30
30-26
40-38
134.7Avg total
65.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.570.7140.2-1.258%
Season at home (15)73.567.5141.0+5.980%
Season away (11)64.174.9139.0-10.827%
Last 10 (10)65.269.5134.7-4.360%
Last 5 (5)62.066.2128.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.573.5141.1-6.038%
vs Similar (12)68.466.5134.9+1.975%
vs Weaker (5)84.671.8156.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
MarylandMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H08/03
NCAA
58.5Avg total
31.5Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.130.963.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.331.166.3+4.268%-
Last 30 away (11)26.630.657.3-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)31.527.058.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.425.858.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.241.272.4-10.00%-
vs Similar (20)30.628.859.5+1.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.827.864.5+9.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/03
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.965.4-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.430.464.7+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)30.236.266.4-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)29.032.061.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.861.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.635.167.7-2.531%-
vs Similar (12)31.028.959.9+2.158%-
vs Weaker (5)36.236.672.8-0.460%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maryland wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Maryland v Michigan State73-55
01/03/20Maryland v Michigan State66-78
15/02/20Michigan State v Maryland60-67
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/21HPenn State61-66
04/03/21ANorthwestern55-60
28/02/21HMichigan State73-55
21/02/21ARutgers68-59
18/02/21HNebraska79-71
17/02/21HNebraska64-50
15/02/21HMinnesota72-59
09/02/21HOhio State65-73
06/02/21APenn State50-55
02/02/21HPurdue61-60
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HMichigan70-64
05/03/21AMichigan50-69
03/03/21HIndiana64-58
28/02/21AMaryland55-73
26/02/21HOhio State71-67
24/02/21HIllinois81-72
20/02/21AIndiana78-71
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %56%65%40%
Points / game68.973.561.1
Allowed / game64.765.264.0
Point differential+4.2+8.4-2.9
Avg total133.7138.7125.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%80%27%
Points / game69.573.564.1
Allowed / game70.767.574.9
Point differential-1.2+5.9-10.8
Avg total140.2141.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2219386%76.565.2+11.3
2 Oregon2419579%74.166.9+7.2
3 USC2721678%74.364.1+10.2
4 Illinois2620677%80.768.5+12.2
5 Iowa2720774%85.072.1+12.9
6 Ohio State2618869%76.869.9+6.9
7 Purdue2618869%70.865.5+5.3
8 UCLA2517868%72.667.9+4.7
9 Wisconsin27161159%69.964.0+5.9
10 Rutgers24141058%70.468.1+2.3
11 Michigan State26151158%69.570.7-1.2
12 Maryland27151256%68.964.7+4.2
13 Minnesota28141450%72.473.0-0.6
14 Indiana26121446%70.569.7+0.8
15 Penn State24111346%72.672.9-0.3
16 Northwestern2491538%70.270.0+0.2
17 Nebraska2772026%70.074.2-4.3
18 Washington2652119%67.777.4-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maryland343468
Michigan State302757
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