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Michigan State vs Indiana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-58
26-26 38-32
Position#159
Record13-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#220
Record12-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Indiana
13 Jan 2026
MICH81
INDI60
11 Feb 2025
MICH67
INDI71
21 Feb 2023
MICH80
INDI65
12 Feb 2022
MICH76
INDI61
02 Mar 2021
MICH64
INDI58
17 Jan 2021
MICH v INDI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#70
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
32-37
43-48
35-36
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
26-30
52-41
36-26
45-46
33-38
38-29
25-35
30-38
139.7Avg total
67.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.671.6142.1-1.057%
Season at home (13)74.568.5143.0+5.977%
Season away (10)65.575.5141.0-10.030%
Last 10 (10)67.472.3139.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)70.071.6141.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.974.8143.7-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.967.4136.3+1.575%
vs Weaker (7)81.370.1151.4+11.186%
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#47
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A22/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
50-32
33-38
37-36
41-34
27-34
33-31
34-34
20-23
34-31
28-38
31-40
35-37
47-35
30-26
41-52
31-35
32-39
33-42
24-31
143.4Avg total
70.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.570.0141.5+1.550%
Season at home (14)70.969.2140.1+1.650%
Season away (10)72.471.2143.6+1.250%
Last 10 (10)70.073.4143.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)66.475.0141.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.270.7135.9-5.527%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.367.9139.2+3.353%
vs Weaker (4)82.564.8147.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
Michigan StateIndiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
31.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.066.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.931.466.4+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)31.534.866.3-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)31.334.165.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.431.861.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.335.568.8-2.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.928.460.3+3.567%-
vs Weaker (7)35.936.972.7-1.057%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#47
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H27/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
31.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.563.8+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.731.865.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (12)30.231.161.2-0.925%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.165.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.667.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.534.064.5-3.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.029.960.9+1.147%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.073.2+11.275%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
1
Indiana wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21Indiana v Michigan State71-78
24/01/20Indiana v Michigan State67-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21AMaryland55-73
26/02/21HOhio State71-67
24/02/21HIllinois81-72
20/02/21AIndiana78-71
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
03/02/21AIowa78-84
31/01/21AOhio State62-79
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HMichigan57-73
25/02/21ARutgers63-74
20/02/21HMichigan State71-78
18/02/21HMinnesota82-72
13/02/21AOhio State59-78
10/02/21ANorthwestern79-76 OT
07/02/21HIowa67-65
03/02/21HIllinois71-75 OT
24/01/21HRutgers70-74
22/01/21AIowa81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%77%30%
Points / game70.674.565.5
Allowed / game71.668.575.5
Point differential-1.0+5.9-10.0
Avg total142.1143.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.570.972.4
Allowed / game70.069.271.2
Point differential+1.5+1.6+1.2
Avg total141.5140.1143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %21%14%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2018290%77.565.8+11.8
2 Oregon2217577%73.566.5+7.0
3 Illinois2519676%81.068.5+12.5
4 USC2519676%74.665.0+9.5
5 UCLA2317674%73.067.5+5.5
6 Iowa2518772%84.772.4+12.3
7 Ohio State2518772%77.269.8+7.4
8 Purdue2416867%70.965.7+5.2
9 Wisconsin2516964%69.863.2+6.6
10 Maryland25151060%69.864.9+4.9
11 Rutgers23131057%70.168.0+2.1
12 Michigan State23131057%70.671.6-1.0
13 Minnesota25131252%73.773.5+0.2
14 Indiana24121250%71.570.0+1.5
15 Penn State2181338%72.474.2-1.8
16 Northwestern2171433%71.571.3+0.2
17 Nebraska2471729%70.073.0-2.9
18 Washington2552020%66.676.6-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State263864
Indiana263258
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