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Michigan State vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-71
34-24 39-47
Position#108
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#196
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#114
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-43
36-37
46-26
31-41
43-34
33-38
24-22
45-41
20-27
50-48
32-31
42-42
35-39
41-46
34-20
39-35
38-31
25-33
36-34
26-28
144.4Avg total
73.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.065.3139.3+8.767%
Season at home (2)79.566.0145.5+13.5100%
Season away (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)73.371.1144.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)74.470.8145.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.574.7143.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (21)72.869.4142.2+3.362%
vs Weaker (3)75.067.7142.7+7.3100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#62
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Delaware
#96
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H18/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H20/03
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H26/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A02/04
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A12/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
30-28
19-18
35-30
35-25
45-35
39-28
32-33
31-28
32-27
27-20
23-24
29-40
36-41
37-23
44-45
29-34
35-34
24-27
36-23
124.6Avg total
65.1Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.362.0130.3+6.367%
Season at home (2)70.559.0129.5+11.5100%
Season away (1)64.068.0132.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)65.159.5124.6+5.680%
Last 5 (5)64.062.2126.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.569.5141.9+3.077%
vs Weaker (16)71.258.0129.2+13.288%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
Michigan StateVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#114
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H16/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
34.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.265.7+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.231.566.7+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)31.732.964.6-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.764.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.066.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.034.566.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)33.531.965.4+1.652%-
vs Weaker (3)36.329.766.0+6.7100%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#62
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
W
19-18
19
18
+1
H12/03
NCAA
Delaware
#96
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H18/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H20/03
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H24/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H26/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/04
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H14/11
NCAA
57.8Avg total
30.3Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.262.4+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.526.458.9+6.274%-
Last 30 away (11)34.434.268.5+0.245%-
Last 10 (10)30.327.557.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)29.228.858.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.020.047.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.231.265.4+3.162%-
vs Weaker (16)32.828.261.0+4.562%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Villanova wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/22HKentucky86-77 OT
11/11/22AGonzaga63-64
08/11/22HNorthern Arizona73-55
20/03/22ADuke76-85
19/03/22HDavidson74-73
12/03/22APurdue70-75
11/03/22AWisconsin69-63
10/03/22HMaryland76-72
06/03/22HMaryland77-67
04/03/22AOhio State69-80
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/22HDelaware State60-50
12/11/22ATemple64-68
07/11/22HLa Salle81-68
02/04/22AKansas65-81
26/03/22HHouston50-44
24/03/22HMichigan63-55
20/03/22HOhio State71-61
18/03/22HDelaware80-60
12/03/22HCreighton54-48
12/03/22HUconn63-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game74.079.563.0
Allowed / game65.366.064.0
Point differential+8.7+13.5-1.0
Avg total139.3145.5127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game68.370.564.0
Allowed / game62.059.068.0
Point differential+6.3+11.5-4.0
Avg total130.3129.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois330100%92.056.7+35.3
2 Indiana330100%90.060.3+29.7
3 Iowa330100%94.765.3+29.3
4 Ohio State330100%79.350.7+28.7
5 UCLA330100%85.058.3+26.7
6 Maryland330100%72.750.7+22.0
7 Northwestern330100%74.354.3+20.0
8 Purdue330100%74.055.7+18.3
9 Wisconsin330100%67.051.3+15.7
10 Penn State54180%76.664.8+11.8
11 Rutgers43175%75.555.5+20.0
12 Michigan43175%79.071.5+7.5
13 Washington43175%71.564.8+6.8
14 Minnesota43175%63.560.8+2.8
15 Oregon32167%72.355.0+17.3
16 USC32167%72.063.0+9.0
17 Michigan State32167%74.065.3+8.7
18 Nebraska32167%68.065.7+2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn330100%85.058.3+26.7
2 Creighton440100%85.559.2+26.2
3 St. John's (N.Y.)440100%85.266.0+19.2
4 Providence330100%85.068.7+16.3
5 DePaul330100%75.764.3+11.3
6 Marquette43175%85.268.8+16.5
7 Xavier43175%84.870.8+14.0
8 Butler32167%82.062.7+19.3
9 Seton Hall32167%75.359.7+15.7
10 Villanova32167%68.362.0+6.3
11 Georgetown42250%80.076.5+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State343973
Villanova244771
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