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Michigan State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-62
37-24 43-38
Position#17
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#305
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2024
MICH80
WEST62
12 Nov 2021
MICH90
WEST46
06 Dec 2020
MICH79
WEST61
29 Dec 2019
MICH95
WEST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
45-47
43-43
43-29
38-28
45-47
38-25
34-31
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
150.2Avg total
80.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.267.5149.7+14.783%
Season at home (10)80.264.7144.9+15.580%
Season away (2)92.081.5173.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.969.3150.2+11.680%
Last 5 (5)87.268.4155.6+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (12)68.364.9133.2+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.166.5146.5+13.680%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-17
44-29
37-39
28-46
29-43
31-36
41-24
51-45
34-33
42-47
36-30
37-32
35-32
34-45
34-36
37-41
28-49
34-49
42-26
31-50
147.6Avg total
72.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.273.5144.7-2.427%
Season at home (5)77.470.0147.4+7.440%
Season away (6)66.076.5142.5-10.517%
Last 10 (10)72.774.9147.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)69.678.0147.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.377.2147.6-6.928%
vs Similar (8)63.472.2135.6-8.925%
vs Weaker (3)88.372.7161.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -5.1-5.1
Michigan StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.3Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.768.2+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.232.167.3+3.261%-
Last 30 away (12)36.033.769.7+2.358%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.468.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.870.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (12)34.031.765.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.732.670.3+5.167%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.266.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.732.666.3+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)30.135.765.8-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.968.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.669.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.235.366.4-4.144%-
vs Similar (8)28.635.964.5-7.212%-
vs Weaker (3)40.729.370.0+11.3100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
0
Western Michigan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
25/11/24HColorado72-56
20/11/24HSamford83-75
16/11/24HBowling Green86-72
12/11/24HKansas69-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HValparaiso73-76
15/12/24ANorth Dakota St62-98
14/12/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)71-77
04/12/24ADayton69-77
27/11/24AYoungstown State73-62
21/11/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes76-80
17/11/24HCanisius92-69
15/11/24HSiu Edwardsville60-79
12/11/24AButler65-85
08/11/24HDavenport Univ.86-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game82.280.292.0
Allowed / game67.564.781.5
Point differential+14.7+15.5+10.5
Avg total149.7144.9173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%50%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game71.277.466.0
Allowed / game73.570.076.5
Point differential-2.4+7.4-10.5
Avg total144.7147.4142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1312192%79.565.6+13.9
2 Maryland1311285%87.261.1+26.2
3 Penn State1311285%88.267.0+21.2
4 UCLA1311285%77.458.7+18.7
5 Michigan State1210283%82.267.5+14.7
6 Nebraska1210283%77.866.9+10.8
7 Michigan1310377%84.066.6+17.4
8 Northwestern1310377%74.663.8+10.8
9 Wisconsin1310377%81.570.9+10.5
10 Indiana1310377%78.769.9+8.8
11 Illinois129375%86.465.6+20.8
12 Iowa129375%87.874.5+13.3
13 Ohio State139469%82.869.8+12.9
14 USC139469%76.468.4+8.0
15 Purdue139469%77.071.2+5.8
16 Washington128467%73.969.1+4.8
17 Minnesota138562%67.963.8+4.1
18 Rutgers127558%78.875.2+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State129375%69.663.6+6.0
2 Miami (Ohio)117464%77.172.3+4.8
3 Akron127558%80.773.2+7.4
4 Central Michigan126650%74.970.8+4.2
5 Toledo126650%77.177.8-0.8
6 Eastern Michigan126650%70.675.8-5.2
7 Ball State115645%74.370.0+4.3
8 Ohio115645%77.877.6+0.2
9 Bowling Green125742%78.474.9+3.5
10 Buffalo125742%73.481.1-7.7
11 UMass135838%74.474.8-0.4
12 Western Michigan113827%71.273.5-2.4
13 Northern Illinois113827%68.776.6-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State374380
Western Michigan243862
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