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Dayton vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-69
32-35 45-34
Position#62
Record6-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game68.5
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#305
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v Western Michigan
03 Dec 2024
DAYT77
WEST69
30 Nov 2022
DAYT67
WEST47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
38-26
33-40
35-38
40-28
47-29
24-32
47-34
41-26
36-43
41-28
35-27
29-28
45-25
51-33
39-59
41-37
43-52
41-34
44-33
146.1Avg total
77.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.568.5149.0+12.075%
Season at home (7)79.165.1144.3+14.086%
Season away (1)90.092.0182.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)77.568.6146.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)81.871.2153.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar (18)73.268.0141.2+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.364.1145.4+17.2100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H06/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A14/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
36-42
31-45
59-39
22-35
33-47
26-36
30-24
42-17
44-29
37-39
28-46
29-43
31-36
41-24
51-45
34-33
42-47
36-30
37-32
143.8Avg total
71.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.668.7141.3+3.943%
Season at home (4)78.568.5147.0+10.050%
Season away (3)64.769.0133.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)71.872.0143.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)73.275.0148.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.976.6148.6-4.738%
vs Similar (9)63.974.1138.0-10.222%
vs Weaker (3)88.372.7161.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
DaytonWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H21/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.029.964.8+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.530.666.1+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)34.128.662.7+5.564%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.068.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.072.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)32.030.462.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.827.166.9+12.789%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.368.4-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.633.669.1+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)31.036.867.8-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.366.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.869.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.236.267.4-4.944%-
vs Similar (9)29.137.166.2-8.011%-
vs Weaker (3)40.729.370.0+11.3100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dayton wins
0
Western Michigan wins
DateGameScore
01/12/22Dayton v Western Michigan67-47
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HUconn85-67
27/11/24HIowa State84-89
26/11/24ANorth Carolina90-92
21/11/24HNew Mexico State74-53
17/11/24HCapital Crusaders76-55
14/11/24HBall State77-69
10/11/24HNorthwestern71-66
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)87-57
23/03/24AArizona68-78
21/03/24HNevada63-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24AYoungstown State73-62
21/11/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes76-80
17/11/24HCanisius92-69
15/11/24HSiu Edwardsville60-79
12/11/24AButler65-85
08/11/24HDavenport Univ.86-46
05/11/24ACoastal Carolina56-60
14/03/24AOhio55-82
08/03/24HAkron90-84
06/03/24HBowling Green65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%86%0%
Points / game80.579.190.0
Allowed / game68.565.192.0
Point differential+12.0+14.0-2.0
Avg total149.0144.3182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game72.678.564.7
Allowed / game68.768.569.0
Point differential+3.9+10.0-4.3
Avg total141.3147.0133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Loyola Chicago660100%84.863.8+21.0
2 Rhode Island880100%89.670.5+19.1
3 St. Bonaventure87188%74.862.9+11.9
4 George Washington87188%78.867.8+11.0
5 VCU Rams86275%77.160.0+17.1
6 Dayton86275%80.568.5+12.0
7 La Salle86275%79.472.1+7.2
8 St. Louis Billikens75271%80.173.0+7.1
9 Saint Josephs Hawks75271%75.068.4+6.6
10 Davidson75271%79.074.3+4.7
11 George Mason85362%79.664.4+15.2
12 Richmond Spiders84450%71.167.5+3.6
13 Fordham94544%72.972.7+0.2
14 Duquesne71614%65.472.1-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State86275%67.461.0+6.4
2 Miami (Ohio)75271%74.071.1+2.9
3 Akron64267%83.276.3+6.8
4 Eastern Michigan85362%70.970.9+0.0
5 Toledo85362%76.878.9-2.1
6 Central Michigan74357%77.767.3+10.4
7 Buffalo84450%75.881.5-5.8
8 Western Michigan73443%72.668.7+3.9
9 Bowling Green83538%75.972.2+3.6
10 Ball State83538%72.870.4+2.4
11 UMass83538%73.875.1-1.4
12 Ohio83538%77.580.1-2.6
13 Northern Illinois82625%68.873.9-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton324577
Western Michigan353469
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