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Michigan vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-58
36-34 36-24
Position#159
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#52
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game57.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan v San Diego State
24 Nov 2025
MICH94
SAN 54
04 Dec 2021
MICH72
SAN 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#80
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H22/03
NCAA
Florida State
#42
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H28/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H31/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H14/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H17/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
43-36
32-21
44-37
23-27
26-24
51-36
37-40
42-23
35-26
31-28
34-39
35-32
39-29
29-37
33-43
31-22
34-32
27-29
24-43
133.9Avg total
69.3Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.965.6134.4+3.357%
Season at home (5)71.465.2136.6+6.260%
Season away (2)62.566.5129.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)69.364.6133.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)63.466.8130.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
vs Similar (7)66.163.6129.7+2.657%
vs Weaker (21)74.363.5137.8+10.881%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H13/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H20/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#36
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
40-38
28-24
40-33
18-32
44-46
40-30
26-23
30-32
30-34
28-30
37-33
31-28
37-34
40-32
33-24
15-22
28-36
35-21
37-26
126.4Avg total
65.4Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.957.9121.7+6.071%
Season at home (6)64.556.5121.0+8.083%
Season away (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)65.461.0126.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)64.257.2121.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)62.263.3125.5-1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)75.560.0135.4+15.595%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
MichiganSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#80
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Florida State
#42
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H28/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H31/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H17/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Arizona
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.4Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.4+4.977%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.728.664.3+7.185%-
Last 30 away (10)34.133.567.6+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)34.429.764.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.660.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.036.576.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (7)30.027.757.7+2.371%-
vs Weaker (21)36.430.566.9+6.081%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#118
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H20/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#36
L
15-22
15
22
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H01/12
NCAA
58.5Avg total
30.2Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.027.162.1+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (22)34.927.562.4+7.482%-
Last 30 away (8)35.126.061.1+9.175%-
Last 10 (10)30.228.358.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)29.826.656.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)28.826.255.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.027.665.6+10.590%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
San Diego State wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21ANorth Carolina51-72
25/11/21HTarleton65-54
22/11/21HArizona62-80
20/11/21AUNLV74-61
17/11/21HSeton Hall65-67
14/11/21HPrairie View A&M77-49
10/11/21HBuffalo88-76
31/03/21HUCLA49-51
28/03/21HFlorida State76-58
22/03/21HLSU86-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/21HLong Beach State72-47
27/11/21HUSC43-58
26/11/21HGeorgetown73-56
21/11/21HUT Arlington68-62
19/11/21HArizona State65-63
13/11/21ABrigham Young60-66
10/11/21HUC Riverside66-53
20/03/21HSyracuse62-78
13/03/21HUtah State68-57
13/03/21HNevada77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game68.971.462.5
Allowed / game65.665.266.5
Point differential+3.3+6.2-4.0
Avg total134.4136.6129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%83%0%
Points / game63.964.560.0
Allowed / game57.956.566.0
Point differential+6.0+8.0-6.0
Avg total121.7121.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue880100%90.564.9+25.6
2 USC770100%80.360.4+19.9
3 Minnesota660100%69.758.5+11.2
4 Iowa87188%91.068.0+23.0
5 Indiana87188%80.463.8+16.6
6 UCLA87188%82.966.8+16.1
7 Wisconsin87188%70.659.1+11.5
8 Illinois86275%76.863.8+13.0
9 Michigan State86275%72.263.0+9.2
10 Northwestern75271%80.463.6+16.9
11 Ohio State75271%74.768.9+5.9
12 Oregon85362%68.563.9+4.6
13 Maryland85362%69.566.6+2.9
14 Michigan74357%68.965.6+3.3
15 Penn State74357%67.364.1+3.1
16 Nebraska95456%77.172.3+4.8
17 Rutgers84450%65.665.9-0.2
18 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming770100%82.759.1+23.6
2 Colorado State880100%86.868.6+18.1
3 Grand Canyon87188%73.060.2+12.8
4 Fresno State76186%68.057.0+11.0
5 Air Force76186%63.357.9+5.4
6 Utah State86275%78.867.1+11.6
7 San Diego State75271%63.957.9+6.0
8 New Mexico85362%82.879.2+3.5
9 San Jose State74357%66.167.9-1.7
10 Boise State84450%64.160.4+3.8
11 UNLV84450%66.665.1+1.5
12 Nevada84450%78.277.4+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan363672
San Diego State342458
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