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Michigan vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 94-54
45-33 49-21
Position#6
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#70
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v San Diego State
24 Nov 2025
MICH94
SAN 54
04 Dec 2021
MICH72
SAN 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
121-78
121
78
+43
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
H11/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
46-32
38-34
43-46
21-23
38-30
41-27
27-38
35-39
56-40
29-30
36-48
69-38
52-40
47-34
33-46
33-35
34-28
36-30
50-31
151.8Avg total
80.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.871.5161.2+18.2100%
Season at home (3)97.374.3171.7+23.0100%
Season away (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.970.9151.8+10.090%
Last 5 (5)84.872.8157.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.274.7141.8-7.533%
vs Similar (14)76.672.1148.7+4.486%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.872.8160.6+15.090%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
45-46
33-29
40-36
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
145.5Avg total
74.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.770.0155.7+15.767%
Season at home (3)85.770.0155.7+15.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.071.5145.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.473.4148.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.070.0143.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (14)70.069.3139.3+0.743%
vs Weaker (15)73.162.3135.4+10.987%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
MichiganSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
21-23
21
23
-2
H16/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A29/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
69-38
69
38
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
38.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.773.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.934.475.2+6.559%-
Last 30 away (13)35.535.270.7+0.462%-
Last 10 (10)38.932.671.5+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.476.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.734.767.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (14)36.134.070.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.535.781.2+9.880%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.829.861.6+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.429.162.5+4.374%-
Last 30 away (11)28.931.160.0-2.245%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.864.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)32.131.263.3+0.957%-
vs Weaker (15)31.928.560.5+3.473%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan wins
0
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21Michigan v San Diego State72-58
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.86-61
15/11/25ATCU67-63
11/11/25HWake Forest85-84 OT
04/11/25HOakland121-78
29/03/25AAuburn65-78
22/03/25ATexas A&M91-79
21/03/25HUC San Diego68-65
16/03/25HWisconsin59-53
15/03/25AMaryland81-80
15/03/25HPurdue86-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
26/02/25HNew Mexico73-65
23/02/25AUtah State71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.897.367.0
Allowed / game71.574.363.0
Point differential+18.2+23.0+4.0
Avg total161.2171.7130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game85.785.7-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+15.7+15.7-
Avg total155.7155.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa550100%90.262.6+27.6
2 Indiana550100%88.262.4+25.8
3 Ohio State550100%88.468.8+19.6
4 Michigan440100%89.871.5+18.2
5 Purdue660100%86.569.0+17.5
6 USC550100%94.477.4+17.0
7 Nebraska660100%87.770.8+16.8
8 Michigan State550100%79.063.4+15.6
9 Illinois76186%94.669.7+24.9
10 UCLA65183%77.860.3+17.5
11 Northwestern65183%82.366.8+15.5
12 Penn State65183%79.268.0+11.2
13 Wisconsin54180%88.671.6+17.0
14 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
15 Maryland54180%82.273.4+8.8
16 Oregon54180%74.070.0+4.0
17 Minnesota64267%74.264.8+9.3
18 Rutgers64267%71.868.0+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming65183%84.770.5+14.2
3 Colorado State54180%89.873.4+16.4
4 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
5 San Diego State32167%85.770.0+15.7
6 Boise State64267%75.868.0+7.8
7 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
8 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
9 UNLV53260%93.284.0+9.2
10 Grand Canyon53260%81.674.0+7.6
11 Air Force73443%70.173.9-3.7
12 San Jose State52340%79.874.0+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan454994
San Diego State332154
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